Predictions, Expert Picks, and Player Props for the NCAA Tournament Matchup Between James Madison and Duke

Predictions, Expert Picks, and Player Props for the NCAA Tournament Matchup Between James Madison and Duke
James Madison Dukes guard Terrence Edwards Jr pumping up the crowd after a basket
Mar 22, 2024; Brooklyn, NY, USA; James Madison Dukes guard Terrence Edwards Jr. (5) reacts after defeating the Wisconsin Badgers in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament at the Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The #12 James Madison Dukes upset Wisconsin to set up a second-round matchup with the #4 Duke Blue Devils
  • With 32 wins on the season, no DI team has more victories than JMU
  • See the James Madison vs Duke predictions, player props and picks for Sunday, March 24

The co-winningest team in the nation, the #12 James Madison Dukes (32-3, 6-0 neutral, 19-14-1 ATS) pulled off a small upset over #5 Wisconsin on Friday night, setting up a second-round battle with the #4 Duke Blue Devils (25-8, 3-1 neutral, 19-13-1 ATS) in the South Region of the NCAA Tournament.

Duke, which covered as double-digit favorites over #13 Vermont, head into Sunday’s game as 7.5-point betting favorites at the Barclays Center in New York (5:15 pm ET).

James Madison vs Duke Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
James Madison Dukes +7.5 (-110) +260 O 148.5 (-110)
Duke Blue Devils  -7.5 (-110) -320 U 148.5 (-110)

The Blue Devils are also heavy -320 moneyline favorites in the college basketball odds for Sunday, with JMU a +260 underdog to advance to its first Sweet 16 in program history.

Odds as of March 23 at ESPN Bet. Download the ESPN Bet app in NC.  

Duke enters the round of 32 as the third-favorite to win the South Region, sitting at +500 in the Final Four odds. James Madison is +3500 to cut down the nets. Top-seeded Houston is the chalk at +120 followed by #2 Marquette at +360.

JMU Crushes Wisconsin in First Round

James Madison made good as a popular upset pick in the first round against #5 Wisconsin, taking an early 15-4 lead and never allowing the gap to get below six in the second half en route to a 72-61 win.

Four Dukes scored at least 11 points in the win, led by Terrance Edwards with 14, though JMU was only 5-of-17 from beyond the arc as a team. The poor shooting from three was unusual for the Dukes, who hit at a 36.3% clip (44th-best in DI). JMU’s tenacious defense was the real MVP of the victory, forcing 19 turnovers from the Badgers (including 14 steals).

YouTube video

JMU has now won a DI-best 14 straight games, dating back to a Jan. 27 loss at App State (82-76). The Dukes worst loss this year was an 81-71 setback at Southern Miss.

Prior to the Wisconsin game, JMU had only played one top-75 KenPom team, stunning Michigan State 79-67 in OT in East Lansing in the season-opener for both sides.

In his fourth year with the Dukes, head coach Mark Byington is in his first trip to the NCAA Tournament. He failed to make it in seven seasons with Georgia Southern (despite three 20-win campaigns).

Duke Rolls Over Vermont After Tight First Half

The Blue Devils found themselves in a first-half dogfight with #14 Vermont on Friday night. Duke took a narrow 34-29 lead into the break but pulled away in the second thanks to its smothering defense. Duke allowed just 18 second-half points to the Catamounts as they covered the 12.5-point spread in a 64-47 win.

YouTube video

Duke was able to pull away despite leading scorer Kyle Filipowski (16.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1.6 BPG) scoring just three points on one field-goal attempt.  Sophomore forward Mark Mitchell had 15 on 6-of-9 shooting while freshman guard Jared McCain also had 15, going 4-of-9 from the field.

Duke is 7-6 against teams in the top 60 at KenPom, but dropped its last two: 84-79 at home to UNC in the last game of the regular season, and 74-69 to NC State in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals.

JMU vs DUKE Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Jared McCain (DUKE) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -130) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180) 1.5 (Ov -190 | Un +145)
Jeremy Roach (DUKE) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -130) 2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un -105) 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
Julien Wooden (JMU) 7.5 (Ov -135 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) OFF 0.5 (Ov -245 | Un +180)
Kyle Filipowski (DUKE) 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) 0.5 (Ov -230 | Un +170)
Mark Mitchell (DUKE) 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) OFF 0.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
Noah Freidel (JMU) 10.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) OFF 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -190)
TJ Bickerstaff (JMU) 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) 7.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115) OFF OFF
Terrence Edwards (JMU) 15.5 (Ov -135 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -130) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -215)
Tyrese Proctor (DUKE) 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -140| Un -100) 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -190| Un +145)

JMU vs Duke player props from DraftKings North Carolina on March 23.

Despite the whisper-quiet performance against Vermont, Filipowski has a game-high point total of 16.5 O/U, slightly ahead of JMU’s Edwards at 15.5. The Duke big man also has the highest rebound total on the board at 8.5, one more than Bickerstaff at 7.5.

James Madison vs Duke Picks

This is a massive spread against a team as talented and experienced as James Madison. The Dukes were full value for the win over Wisconsin; they looked like (and were) the better team from the opening tip, and that was a Badger side that was top-20 at KenPom heading into the game.

JMU has an excellent chance to pull the upset, but I will stick with an ATS play on the Dukes catching a bucket-load of points.

JMU vs DUKE prediction:

  • James Madison +7.5 (-110)
  • Filipowski under 16.5 points (-120)

The NCAA Tournament matchup between James Madison and Duke is shaping up to be an exciting game with plenty of storylines to follow. As we look ahead to this highly anticipated showdown, let’s take a closer look at some predictions, expert picks, and player props for this game.

Duke, a perennial powerhouse in college basketball, comes into this game as the heavy favorite. Led by head coach Mike Krzyzewski, the Blue Devils boast a talented roster filled with future NBA prospects. Players like Paolo Banchero, AJ Griffin, and Trevor Keels have been instrumental in Duke’s success this season, and they will be looking to make a statement in this tournament matchup.

On the other hand, James Madison is a team that has flown under the radar this season but has the potential to pull off an upset. The Dukes have a balanced scoring attack led by players like Vado Morse and Justin Amadi, who have the ability to take over a game when needed. While they may not have the same level of talent as Duke, James Madison is a team that should not be taken lightly.

In terms of predictions, it’s hard to bet against Duke in this matchup. The Blue Devils have been playing at a high level all season and have the experience and talent to come out on top. However, James Madison has shown that they can compete with top teams and could potentially make this game closer than many expect.

As for expert picks, most analysts are leaning towards Duke to win this game comfortably. The Blue Devils’ size, athleticism, and depth give them a significant advantage over James Madison, and it’s likely that they will be able to impose their will on both ends of the court.

When it comes to player props, keep an eye on Paolo Banchero for Duke. The freshman forward has been a force all season and is capable of putting up big numbers in this tournament matchup. Look for him to have a big game and lead the Blue Devils to victory.

Overall, the NCAA Tournament matchup between James Madison and Duke promises to be an exciting game with plenty of intrigue. While Duke is the favorite, don’t count out James Madison just yet. Anything can happen in March Madness, and this game could provide some unexpected twists and turns. Be sure to tune in and see how it all unfolds.