March 26: Analysis and Predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Matchup

March 26: Analysis and Predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Matchup
Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry shooting a floater against the Miami Heat
Dec 28, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) drives to the hoop between Miami Heat forward Nikola Jovic (5) and forward Jaime Jaquez Jr. (11) in the fourth quarter at the Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat kicks off Tuesday’s NBA schedule
  • Golden State is listed as a slight home favorite over a shorthanded Miami squad
  • See the Warriors vs Heat predictions, player props, and odds for March 26

The Golden State Warriors (36-34, 18-15 away, 37-32-1 ATS) try to break out of a two-game losing streak on Tuesday night when they visit the Miami Heat (39-32, 18-16 home, 34-36-1 ATS) at the Kaseya Center at 7:10 pm ET.

Miami is battling a long list of injuries to starters and rotation players, which has led oddsmakers to list Golden State as a slight road favorite on March 26.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Golden State Warriors -1.5 (-115) -135 O 217.5 (-110)
Miami Heat +1.5 (-105) +110 U 217.5 (-110)

Golden State is 1.5-point road chalk in Tuesday’s Warriors vs Heat odds and -135 on the moneyline. Miami, which has been curiously mediocre at home this season, comes back as a +110 underdog to improve its record to 19-16 straight-up at the Kaseya Center. The total is listed at 217.5 in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Odds as of March 26 at BetMGM. Claim the sign up offer for BetMGM before betting on Warriors vs Heat on Tuesday. 

Golden State remains the #10 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, now 2.5 games behind the #9 Lakers and only half a game up on the #11 Rockets, who have won an NBA-best nine straight.

Warriors Drop Back to Back Games

Golden State is perilously close to falling out of the postseason picture altogether after back-to-back losses to Indiana (123-111 home) and Minnesota (114-110 away).

The Warriors led both games at the half but were outscored 57-44 in the second by the Pacers and 68-56 by the Timberwolves. Steph Curry had a team-high 25 against Indiana and 31 against Minnesota.

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The good news for the Dubs is that they’ll head into Tuesday night as the considerably healthier team. Trayce Jackson-Davis (7.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG) is the only player on Golden State’s injury report, listed as questionable with a sore right knee.

Golden State lost its first game with Miami this season, 114-102 at home on Dec. 28 as 6.5-point home favorites.

Heat Demolish Cavs to Win Fourth of Last Six

Miami put the boots to Cleveland on Sunday, crushing the Cavaliers 121-84 in arguably the team’s best defensive performance of the season. Seven different Heat players scored in double-figures, led by 18 off the bench from Haywood Highsmith, as Miami won each of the first three quarters by at least ten points.

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Cleveland was missing leading scorer Donovan Mitchell, but the Heat were also without several significant contributors, which will be the case again on Tuesday.

Tyler Herro (20.8 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.4 APG), Duncan Robinson (13.5 PPG, 40.5 3P%), Kevin Love (9.0 PPG, 6.2RPG), and Josh Richardson (9.9 PPG) are all out, while Caleb Martin (10.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG) and Jaime Jaquez Jr (12.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG) are both questionable.

Miami has now won four of its past six games, but that includes a pair of road wins over the Pistons, and the team is actually just 1-3 straight-up in its last four at home.

GSW vs MIA Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) OFF 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -210)
Bam Adebayo (MIA) 19.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) OFF
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 2.5 (Ov  -160 | Un +124) 1.5 (Ov +180 | Un -238)
Draymond Green (GSW) 7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 0.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Jimmy Butler (MIA) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 5.5 (Ov  -115 | Un -115) 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140)
Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) 2.5 (Ov  +124 | Un -160) 0.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100)
Klay Thompson (GSW) 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) OFF 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nikola Jovic (MIA) 7.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) OFF 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150)
Patty Mills (MIA) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Steph Curry (GSW) 25.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) 4.5 (Ov  -100 | Un -130) 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114)
Terry Rozier (MIA) 18.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 4.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 4.5 (Ov  -150 | Un +120) 1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114)
Trayce Jackson-Davis (GSW) 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 6.5 (Ov -125| Un -105) OFF OFF

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 26. 

Curry has the highest point total of the night at 25.5 while Butler leads the Heat players at 22.5.

Warriors vs Heat Prediction

As good as the Heat looked last time out, and as much as I want to back them at plus money, I have to fade them on Tuesday night. Miami’s litany of injuries is just too long, and Golden State’s position is too perilous. With only 12 games remaining in the regular season, the Warriors will need a playoff effort each and every time out to ensure they’re still playing come late April.

GSW vs MIA picks:

  • Warriors -1.5 (-115)
  • Curry over 25.5 points (-140)

The Golden State Warriors will face off against the Miami Heat on March 26 in what is sure to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. Both teams have had successful seasons so far, with the Warriors currently sitting at the top of the Western Conference and the Heat holding a solid position in the Eastern Conference.

The Warriors have been on a hot streak lately, winning seven of their last ten games. Led by superstars Stephen Curry and Draymond Green, the Warriors have been dominating on both ends of the court. Curry, in particular, has been playing at an MVP level, averaging over 30 points per game and shooting over 40% from three-point range. The Warriors’ fast-paced, high-scoring offense will be a challenge for the Heat to contain.

On the other hand, the Heat have also been playing well, winning six of their last ten games. Jimmy Butler has been leading the charge for Miami, averaging over 20 points per game and providing strong defense on the perimeter. The Heat’s physical style of play and strong team defense will be key factors in trying to slow down the Warriors’ potent offense.

In terms of predictions for this matchup, it’s likely to be a close game with both teams fighting hard for the win. The Warriors will have the advantage on offense with their sharpshooting and fast pace, but the Heat’s defense and physicality could give them trouble. Ultimately, it may come down to which team can execute better down the stretch and make key plays in crunch time.

Overall, this game has all the makings of a thrilling contest between two playoff-bound teams. Fans can expect a high-energy, competitive game with plenty of highlight-reel plays. It’s sure to be a must-watch matchup for basketball fans everywhere.