- One of the best road teams in the league, the Miami Heat visit the Sacramento Kings on Monday night
- Both teams enter Monday on three-game win streaks, but Heat star Jimmy Butler is serving a one-game suspension
- See the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings odds, player props, picks, and available betting promos on Feb. 26
Two teams battling for playoff positioning in their respective conferences meet on Monday night as the Miami Heat (31-25, 16-12 away, 27-28-1 ATS) travel to Sacramento to face the Kings (33-23, 16-9 home, 29-26-1 ATS) at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET.
Despite Miami boasting a 16-12 straight-up record away from home, the Kings are listed as 6.5-point home favorites for Monday’s game at the Golden 1 Center. Miami star Jimmy Butler will be out of Monday’s NBA lineups while serving a one game suspension.
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | +6.5 (-110) | +220 | Over 225.5 (-105) |
| Sacramento Kings | -6.5 (-110) | -278 | Under 225.5 (-115) |
The Kings are also heavy -278 favorites on the moneyline with the Heat coming back at +220 to win straight-up in Monday’s NBA odds.
Odds as of Feb. 26 at BetMGM. New users can click the BetMGM banner above to claim $150 in bonus bets for Heat vs Kings.
Coming off a run to the NBA finals as a #8 seed, Miami (+3925) is just outside the top-ten in the NBA championship odds. The Kings (+6625) have the 15th-best odds to win the title.
If the NBA playoff bracket was cemented today, the Heat would be forced to go the Play-In route again, just like last year. Miami is currently the #7 seed in the East and would host #8 Orlando in the 7-vs-8 game. Sacramento occupies the #5 seed in the West and would have the unenviable task of facing the LA Clippers in a best-of-seven without home-court advantage.
Miami Riding Three-Game (Road) Win Streak
The Heat entered the All-Star break with two impressive road wins: 123-97 win at Milwaukee as 7.5-point road underdogs and 109-105 at Philadelphia as 2.5-point underdogs. They maintained that momentum in their first game back, routing the Pelicans 108-96 in New Orleans on Friday. But three players (Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, and Thomas Bryant) were suspended in the aftermath for their roles in an on-court dust-up.
Bam Adebayo had a team-high 24 points and seven rebounds, while Butler added 23 points, nine boards, and six assists. Miami’s smothering defense held the Pelicans to just 37.5% shooting from the field and 21.9% from three.
Defense has been the Heat’s calling card all season, sitting seventh in Defensive Rating (112.7). Miami’s offense, however, has been just as mediocre as it was last regular season: the Heat are 22nd in O-Rating (113.2) and just 17th in Net Rating (+0.5) as a result.
Kings Dominate Clippers in Front Half of Back-to-Backs
The Kings recorded one of their most-impressive wins of the season last night, crushing the Clippers 123-107 in LA. De’Aaron Fox had a team-high 33 points plus seven assists and six rebounds in the win, while Domantas Sabonis posted a ludicrous triple-double: 17 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists plus three steals and just one turnover.
The domination on the glass was nothing new for Sabonis, who leads the league in rebounding (13.2 RPG) while also averaging 20.1 points and a team-high 8.4 assists per game.
But coming off a 48-34 regular season last year (and a #3 seed in the West), this campaign hasn’t quite lived up to expectations for the team as a whole. Their point differential has tumbled from +2.6 last season to just +0.8 this year, which is just ninth-best in the Western Conference. The offense has been decent (117.0, 13th) but the defense has been lackluster (116.2, 19th).
MIA vs SAC Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo (MIA) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | OFF |
| De’Aaron Fox (SAC) | 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) | 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) |
| Domantas Sabonis (SAC) | 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 13.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 9.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 0.5 (Ov +170 | Un -220) |
| Harrison Barnes (SAC) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) |
| Keegan Murray (SAC) | 13.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 5.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) |
| Kevin Huerter (SAC) | 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) |
| Malik Monk (SAC) | 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) |
| Tyler Herro (MIA) | 21.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
NBA player props from DraftKings on Feb. 26. Click here to see the latest on the BetMGM North Carolina promo available on March 11.
De’Aaron Fox has the highest point total of the night, but at 24.5, is pegged 2.5 points below his season average (26.9 PPG). With Butler out of the lineup, both Adebayo and Herro are at 21.5 O/U for the Heat.
Heat vs Kings Prediction
I am not going to suggest Miami is better off without Butler, the Heat are at least very used to playing without him. Butler has only played 38 of Miami’s 56 games this season and the Heat are 11-7 in the 18 games he’s missed. That includes the wins over Milwaukee and Philadelphia just before the All-Star break.
With the Kings playing the second of back-to-backs, and travelling to/from Los Angeles in the process, this 6.5-point spread is too big for my taste.
Miami vs Sacramento pick: Heat +6.5 (-110)
Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:
- 17-21 moneyline (+4.06 units)
- 11-12-2 ATS (-0.87 units)
- 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
- 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise
The Miami Heat will face off against the Sacramento Kings on February 26 in what is sure to be an exciting matchup. Both teams have been playing well recently, making this game a must-watch for basketball fans and bettors alike. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, here is a comprehensive betting guide to help you make an informed decision.
Odds:
As of now, the Miami Heat are favored to win this game with odds of -150, while the Sacramento Kings are the underdogs with odds of +130. The over/under for total points scored in the game is set at 218.5. These odds are subject to change as the game approaches, so be sure to keep an eye on them if you’re planning to place a bet.
Player Props:
When it comes to player props, there are several options to consider for this game. Some popular player props to bet on include points scored, rebounds, assists, and steals. For the Miami Heat, players like Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Tyler Herro are likely to be popular choices for player props. On the Sacramento Kings side, De’Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield, and Harrison Barnes are all players to watch for potential player props bets.
Predictions:
Predicting the outcome of a basketball game can be difficult, but based on recent performances and team matchups, it’s likely that the Miami Heat will come out on top in this game. The Heat have been playing well and have a strong roster that can match up well against the Kings. However, the Kings have also been playing solid basketball and could potentially pull off an upset. Ultimately, this game could go either way, so it’s important to do your research and consider all factors before making a prediction.
Promotions:
If you’re looking to place a bet on the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings game, be sure to take advantage of any promotions or bonuses offered by sportsbooks. Many sportsbooks offer promotions such as free bets, deposit bonuses, and odds boosts for specific games or events. By taking advantage of these promotions, you can maximize your potential winnings and enhance your overall betting experience.
In conclusion, the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings game on February 26 is shaping up to be an exciting matchup with plenty of betting opportunities. By considering the odds, player props, predictions, and promotions outlined in this guide, you can make an informed decision when placing your bets on this game. Good luck!
