- We’ve made our Yale vs San Diego State prediction for Sunday March Madness
- The SDSU vs Yale odds favor the Aztecs by 5.5 points in Spokane, Washington
- Read on for Yale vs San Diego State prediction, odds and player props to bet
No. 13 seed Yale will try to pull off another stunning upset when it faces No. 5 seed San Diego State in the second round of 2024 March Madness on Sunday night. Tipoff is set for 9:40 p.m. ET from Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, Washington.
The Aztecs are 5.5-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. Yale odds, with the over/under offered at 128.5. Player props favor a strong showing from SDSU star forward Jaedon LeDee.
Let’s delve into our Yale vs San Diego State prediction, as we break down the odds and player props available.
San Diego State vs Yale Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yale | +5.5 (-110) | +200 | Over 128.5 (-110) |
| San Diego St | -5.5 (-110) | -250 | Under 128.5 (-110) |
In the Yale vs SDSU odds, the Aztecs are -250 moneyline favorites against the Bulldogs, giving them an implied win probability of 71%. The over/under is now listed at 128.5 after opening at 127.5.
Odds as of March 23, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Unlock the BetMGM promo code to bet on Yale vs San Diego State. If you already have an MGM account, browse the top March Madness sportsbook apps.
Yale Writing Cinderella Story
Yale advanced to the second round of the NCAA tournament by upsetting fourth-seeded Auburn on Friday afternoon. John Poulakidas made six 3-pointers and scored 28 points, while Samson Aletan made a key blocked shot in the final seconds to power the team to a 78-76 upset victory.
Oddsmakers have undervalued the Bulldogs recently, as the team has covered the spread in 14 of its past 19 games. If you bet $100 on Yale to cover every game during that span, you’d be up around $1500. Can they reward their bettors once again on Sunday?
NO. 13 YALE UPSETS NO. 4 AUBURN IN THE 1ST ROUND 😱
THIS IS MARCH. pic.twitter.com/GDPK9RKPcx
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) March 22, 2024
Yale has had a fairly strong offense this season, averaging 75 points per game, which places them 128th in the nation. The Bulldogs are shooting an impressive 47% from the field, good for 56th nationally. On defense, Yale only gives up 67 points per contest, which ranks 39th.
While Yale’s offensive and defensive metrics look good on paper, it’s important to remember they are members of the Ivy League. Per KenPom’s advanced stats, Yale falls outside the top 80 in both adjusted offensive and defensive effeciency.
Aztecs Boast Elite Defense
San Diego State punched their ticket to the round of 32 with a tight 69-65 victory over UAB in East Region first-round play. Jaedon LeDee recorded 32 points and eight rebounds, while Lamont Butler added 15 points and four steals.
LeDee has been on fire of late, recording at least 22 points in four straight games, including a 34-point, 16-rebound double-double against UNLV in the Mountain West Tournament last week. The experienced 24-year-old is a +7000 longshot in the 2024 Wooded Award odds.
“It’s a tale of two halves. We’ve been in this March Madness thing before. You know, we’re easy in the storm.”
—@Aztec_MBB Jaedon LeDee pic.twitter.com/FTOxLa2sty
— CBS Sports College Basketball 🏀 (@CBSSportsCBB) March 16, 2024
The Aztecs boast one of the best defenses in college basketball. They allow opponents to average only 67 points per game (35th) and shoot 40% from the field. Another key part of this success is their turnover efficiency, exemplified by their 17-5 edge in points off turnovers last game.
Despite their stellar defense, the Aztecs have only managed to cover the spread once in their past seven games. While LeDee is an incredible talent, the team’s overall offense is lackluster. SDSU ranks 60th in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency despite the model ranking the team 20th overall.
Yale vs San Diego State Player Props
College basketball player props are already available for the Yale vs San Diego State showdown, with oddsmakers forecasting Jaedon LeDee to have a big game. LeDee is the only player in this game close to the 20-point mark, as his player prop is set at 21.5 points.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Mahoney | 9.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 2.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) |
| Bez Mbeng | 7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) | 3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 0.5 (Ov -238 | Un +180) |
| Danny Wolf | 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 9.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Darrion Trammell | 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) | 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -195) |
| Jaedon LeDee | 21.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 7.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) |
| John Poulakidas | 13.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) |
| Lamont Butler | 9.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) | 2.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 0.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) |
| Matt Knowling | 10.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | OFF |
| Micah Parrish | 8.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 4.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) |
Yale vs San Diego State player props odds as of March. 23, at DraftKings Sportsbook.
LeDee is the catalyst of this San Diego State offense, and he lands a favorable matchup Sunday. The 6’9″ forward does the majority of his work inside the arc, and Yale allowed Auburn to shoot 20 of 33 (60.6%) from two-point range. Furthermore, the Bulldogs gave the Tigers 22 trips to the free-throw line.
LeDee’s player prop of 21.5 is right in line with his season average (21.4), but his output increase to over 22 points in games in which he logos over 30 minutes of playing time.
Yale vs San Diego State Prediction
San Diego State hasn’t been a profitable college basketball team lately, but we like this matchup for the Aztecs. The Bulldogs went 9 of 20 from deep (45.0%) against Auburn yet only shoot at a 34.9% clip on the year. They now must face an SDSU three-point defense that ranks 27th nationally.
There’s a chance for a letdown performance from Yale following two consecutive emotional victories over Brown and Auburn. They may get frustrated against an elite SDSU defense that held Gonzgzaga to 74 points and St. Mairy’s to 54 points in pivotal non-conference wins this year.
SDSU has played the 21st hardest schedule this year per KenPom, while Yale has played the 118th toughest. We project that SDSU’s postseason experience will pay dividends as the game rolls on. Look for the Aztecs to grind out a low-scoring win on the shoulders of another strong Jaedon LeDee performance.
Yale vs SDSU Pick:
- San Diego State -5.5 (-110)
- Jaedon LeDee Over 21.5 Points (-130)
The highly anticipated matchup between Yale and San Diego State on March 24 is sure to be a thrilling game for college basketball fans. Both teams have had successful seasons and are looking to advance in the NCAA tournament.
Yale, coming off a strong regular season in the Ivy League, will be looking to make a statement in the tournament. Led by standout players such as Paul Atkinson and Azar Swain, the Bulldogs have shown they have what it takes to compete with some of the best teams in the country. With their strong defense and efficient offense, Yale will be a tough opponent for San Diego State.
On the other hand, San Diego State has had an impressive season in the Mountain West Conference, finishing with a 23-4 record. The Aztecs are led by star player Matt Mitchell, who has been a force on both ends of the court. With their high-powered offense and stifling defense, San Diego State will be a formidable opponent for Yale.
In terms of predictions for the game, it is expected to be a close matchup between two evenly matched teams. Both Yale and San Diego State have the talent and experience to come out on top, so it could go either way. However, based on their strong regular season performance and depth of talent, San Diego State may have a slight edge in this game.
As for the odds, sportsbooks currently have San Diego State as the favorite to win the game. The Aztecs are favored by a few points, indicating that they are expected to come out on top. However, with the unpredictability of college basketball, anything can happen on game day.
For those looking to place bets on the game, there are several player props to consider. Players such as Paul Atkinson and Matt Mitchell are likely to have big games for their respective teams, so betting on them to score a certain number of points or grab a certain number of rebounds could be a good option. Additionally, keeping an eye on key matchups and potential X-factors could help inform your betting decisions.
Overall, the Yale vs San Diego State game on March 24 is shaping up to be an exciting showdown between two talented teams. With high stakes and a spot in the next round of the NCAA tournament on the line, both teams will be giving it their all to come out on top. It’s sure to be a game you won’t want to miss.
