Week 9 NFL Picks Against the Spread

  • I went 12-3 in my ATS picks in NFL Week 8
  • In Week 9, my NFL best bets include three underdogs
  • See below for our NFL Week 9 expert picks against the spread

Where has the time gone? It is officially November, and the NFL season is in its ninth week. After Monday Night Football, we will be halfway through the season, and the playoff race will only get tighter. Week 9 features some intriguing matchups that could potentially impact the standings and playoff picture later in the year. There are five divisional games on Sunday, and I am targeting one of the divisional underdogs in my NFL Week 9 best bets.

NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread

Matchup Spread Pick
Commanders vs Giants WAS -4 Giants +4
Cowboys vs Falcons ATL -3.5 Cowboys +3.5
Broncos vs Ravens BAL -9 Ravens -9
Dolphins vs Bills BUF -6 Dolphins +6
Raiders vs Bengals CIN -7 Raiders +7
Patriots vs Titans TEN -3.5 Titans -3.5
Saints vs Panthers NO -7 Saints -7
Chargers vs Browns LAC -1.5 Browns +1.5
Jaguars vs Eagles PHI -7.5 Jaguars +7.5
Bears vs Cardinals ARI -2 Bears +2
Lions vs Packers DET -3 Packers +3
Rams vs Seahawks LAR -1 Rams -1
Colts vs Vikings MIN -5.5 Colts +5.5
Buccaneers vs Chiefs KC -8.5 Chiefs -8.5

Odds as of November 1 at ESPN BET. Be sure to claim the best ESPN BET promo code before placing your NFL Week 9 bets.

Week 9 ATS Pick #1: Dolphins +6 vs Bills

Despite a loss to the Cardinals last week, the Dolphins offense looked back to normal with Tua Tagovailoa back under center. Tua threw for 238 yards and a touchdown, while Devon Achane ran for 97 yards on just ten carries. They will look to build off that performance against a team that they know well in the Bills. While the Bills have looked great, the Dolphins are much better than their 2-5 record and six points is too much for this AFC East showdown.

A lot of big underdogs have won outright this season, and I do not see that as the case this time. The Bills are 7-1 straight up against Tua and have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Dolphins. The last couple have been blowouts, including earlier this season when Tua was injured, but I believe this time will be different. This feels like a must-win for the Dolphins if they want to get back into playoff contention. The Bills on the other hand have rattled off three straight wins and have not had to break a sweat in their last two games.

Miami’s defense has been sneaky good and are in the top half of the league in most defensive statistics. While a lot of points are expected to be scored in this one, the Dolphins have a unit that could make some key stops and keep this game close. I will take Miami to cover the six points in a big, divisional game for them.

  • Pick: Dolphins +6 (-110)

Week 9 ATS Pick #2: Bears +2 vs Cardinals

The Bears were a hail mary away from 5-2, but now they sit at the bottom of the NFC North with a 4-3 record. I expect them to come out firing on all cylinders to quickly put that loss behind them, and the Cardinals present a favorable matchup for them to do exactly that.

Arizona’s defense has been lackluster this season. The Cardinals have given up the seventh most rushing yards and the sixth most passing yards this season. Chicago’s rushing attack has improved over the last few weeks, and they just ran for over 200 yards against the Commanders last week. They should be able to run the ball all over this defense, which will only help Caleb Williams and the passing game.

After a slow start to the season, Caleb Williams has looked like the real deal and has been at his best late in games. He gave the Bears the lead late in the game last week and is 7-0 against the second-half spread this season. A 2-point spread suggests that this will be a close game, and I trust Caleb Williams and co. to get the job done.

Chicago has a great defense, and even though the Commanders moved the ball all over them, they stiffened in the red zone and only allowed 12 points before the hail mary touchdown. Arizona has a lot of talent on offense, but they have only scored more than 17 points in two of their last six games. The Bears should win this game or, at the minimum, cover the short spread.

  • Pick: Bears +2 (-115)

Week 9 ATS Pick #3: Colts +5.5 vs Vikings

There is one major reason why I love the Colts on Sunday Night Football: Joe Flacco. Indianapolis benched Anthony Richardson after he completed just 44.4% of his passes through six games. With Flacco, this offense becomes a lot more exciting. In the three games where he played the majority of the snaps, Flacco has thrown for 716 yards, seven touchdowns, and just one interception.

Every game the Colts have played this season has been close. Each of them has been decided by six points or less, and I expect this one to be no different.

After their 5-0 start, the Vikings have lost two in a row. They are still a good team, but they have come down to earth, and while Sam Darnold has been effective, I trust Joe Flacco more on Sunday night. Give me the Colts in what should be yet another one-score game.

  • Pick: Colts +5.5 (-110)
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As we head into Week 9 of the NFL season, there are several intriguing matchups on the schedule that have caught the attention of bettors looking to make some money against the spread. With so many teams jockeying for playoff positioning, every game becomes crucial at this point in the season.

One game that stands out in Week 9 is the matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Packers have been one of the top teams in the league this season, led by MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers. They will be facing a Chiefs team that has struggled at times this season, but still has plenty of talent on both sides of the ball.

The spread for this game currently sits at -3 in favor of the Packers. While the Chiefs have been inconsistent this season, they are still a dangerous team when they are firing on all cylinders. With Patrick Mahomes leading the offense, the Chiefs have the ability to put up points in a hurry. However, the Packers have been playing at a high level all season and their defense has been much improved from last year. I would lean towards taking the Packers to cover the spread in this game.

Another interesting matchup in Week 9 is the showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and the Minnesota Vikings. The Ravens have been one of the top teams in the AFC this season, thanks in large part to their dynamic offense led by Lamar Jackson. The Vikings, on the other hand, have been up and down this season but have shown flashes of potential.

The spread for this game currently sits at -6 in favor of the Ravens. While the Vikings have shown they can compete with some of the top teams in the league, I believe the Ravens will be too much for them to handle. Jackson’s ability to make plays with both his arm and his legs makes him a nightmare for opposing defenses. I would take the Ravens to cover the spread in this game.

Overall, Week 9 of the NFL season is shaping up to be an exciting one with plenty of intriguing matchups to keep an eye on. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just looking to have some fun with friends, there are plenty of opportunities to make some money against the spread this week. Good luck and happy betting!