- The latest Alabama vs Tennessee odds favor the Crimson Tide
- Our Bama vs Tennessee prediction is siding with the favorite
- Read below for Alabama vs Tennessee prediction and updated odds
The Third Saturday in October rivalry is set to light up Neyland Stadium as No. 7 Alabama (5-1) faces No. 11 Tennessee (5-1) in a key SEC matchup. Both teams come into this showdown with the same record and plenty to prove after recent setbacks.
The Alabama vs Tennessee odds have been shifting in favor of Kalen DeBoer’s squad, with the Tide now favored by a field goal. Kickoff for Bama vs Tennessee is 12:30 pm ET on Saturday, with ABC carrying the broadcast.
Here is our Alabama vs Tennessee prediction, along with a look at the latest SEC betting odds.
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction
Alabama’s offense, led by the unpredictable Jalen Milroe, has been up and down this season. Milroe can hurt defenses with his arm and legs, but he’s been a mixed bag for the Tide. He’s piled up 1,617 total yards and 16 touchdowns, but he’s also thrown seven picks.
Freshman receiver Ryan Williams (28 catches, 476 yards, 5 TDs) has given Alabama a big-play threat, but this offense still struggles to find its rhythm at times.
ABSOLUTE SCENES IN TUSCALOOSA!!!
RYAN WILLIAMS WITH A 75-YARD TD TO RETAKE THE LEAD! pic.twitter.com/pvc9ML7E7G
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 29, 2024
Tennessee’s offense has hit a wall since starting SEC play. Freshman QB Nico Iamaleava hasn’t topped 200 passing yards in a conference game yet, and he’s thrown just one TD in three SEC matchups. The Vols will probably rely heavily on their ground game, led by Dylan Sampson, who’s been a touchdown machine with 15 scores this year.
On defense, Tennessee has been tough, ranking second in the country in opponent EPA/play. This unit could give Milroe and the Alabama offense fits, especially early on. Alabama’s defense isn’t as dominant as in years past, but they can still make game-changing plays, especially when it comes to forcing turnovers.
“At no point since I’ve been here, has it been anything other than all of us together.”
Tennessee coach Josh Heupel discussed the Vols’ defense stepping up when needed this season. pic.twitter.com/DsQrs7JtRK
— Josh Ward (@Josh_Ward) October 13, 2024
Recent history favors Alabama, who have covered the spread in two of their last three games against Tennessee. The Crimson Tide have also covered in eight of their last 14 games overall, good for a 9% ROI. This trend, plus Kalen DeBoer’s knack for making key adjustments during games, makes me think they could pull away late.
The line has moved from Alabama -1.5 to -3, hinting that sharp bettors see value in the Tide. The rowdy Knoxville crowd could give Tennessee an early boost, but Milroe’s playmaking and Alabama’s opportunistic defense should be the difference in the end.
- Pick: Alabama -3 (-110)
Updated Alabama vs Tennessee Odds
As kickoff nears, the betting lines have settled with Alabama favored by 3 points and the over/under at 56.5 points. The moneyline odds are Alabama -150 and Tennessee +125, giving the Crimson Tide about a 61% chance to win and the Volunteers a 44% shot.
The line moving from Alabama -1.5 to -3 suggests sharp money has come in on the Tide. This shift shows that pro bettors like Alabama to cover, even though they’ve been up and down lately.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | -3 (-110) | -150 | Over 57.5 (-110) |
| Tennessee | +3 (-110) | +125 | Under 57.5 (-120) |
Both teams can light up the scoreboard. Alabama’s games have gone over the total in five out of six this season, while Tennessee’s have been split with three overs and three unders. The 56.5-point total shows oddsmakers expect plenty of scoring, which fits with recent games in this rivalry.
The betting public is all over Alabama, with all the bets and money backing the Crimson Tide. This heavy support could be pushing the line up and might create some value for those thinking about taking Tennessee.
The over/under of 56.5 points is interesting given Tennessee’s strong defense and Alabama’s explosive offense. While the Vols’ D is tough, Alabama’s big-play ability could lead to quick scores that push this game over the total.
Odds as of October 18, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM bonus code to bet on Bama vs Tennessee.
Alabama vs Tennessee Head to Head
Alabama has owned this rivalry lately, 16 of the past 17 meetings. They’ve also covered the spread twice in the past three affairs.
Last year in Tuscaloosa, Alabama rallied from a 20-7 halftime hole to win 34-20. This comeback showed the Tide’s grit and ability to make key halftime tweaks, which could be crucial in this year’s game.
The 2022 matchup in Knoxville was an instant classic. Tennessee pulled out a wild 52-49 win that ended with fans tearing down the goalposts. This game snapped Alabama’s 15-game winning streak in the series and breathed new life into the rivalry.
All three recent matchups have gone over the total, hinting at high-scoring affairs when these teams meet. Tennessee has been outscored by 39 points in their last three games against Alabama, showing the Tide’s overall dominance even as the Vols have improved.
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In Week 8 of college football, one of the most highly anticipated matchups is between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Tennessee Volunteers. Both teams have had successful seasons so far, with Alabama boasting a perfect 6-0 record and Tennessee sitting at 4-2.
Alabama, led by head coach Nick Saban, is coming off a dominant win over Mississippi State last week. The Crimson Tide have been firing on all cylinders on offense, averaging over 45 points per game. Quarterback Bryce Young has been impressive in his first season as a starter, throwing for over 2,000 yards and 20 touchdowns.
On the other side of the ball, Alabama’s defense has been stout, allowing just 17 points per game. They will look to continue their strong play against a Tennessee offense that has been inconsistent at times.
The Volunteers, coached by Josh Heupel, are coming off a tough loss to Ole Miss last week. Despite the loss, Tennessee has shown flashes of brilliance on offense, averaging over 36 points per game. Quarterback Hendon Hooker has been a dual-threat weapon for the Volunteers, throwing for over 1,400 yards and rushing for over 300 yards.
Defensively, Tennessee has struggled at times, allowing over 26 points per game. They will need to step up their play against a high-powered Alabama offense if they want to pull off the upset.
As for the betting odds, Alabama is currently favored by double digits in this matchup. The Crimson Tide are listed as 17-point favorites, with the over/under set at 66.5 points.
In terms of a prediction, it’s hard to bet against Alabama in this game. The Crimson Tide have been dominant all season and should have no trouble putting up points against Tennessee’s defense. While the Volunteers have the potential to keep it close, ultimately Alabama’s talent and coaching should lead them to a comfortable victory.
Overall, this matchup between Alabama and Tennessee is sure to be an exciting one for college football fans. With high-powered offenses on both sides, expect plenty of scoring and big plays. And if you’re looking to place a bet on this game, consider taking Alabama to cover the spread and the over on total points scored.