Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread

• I have locked in my best against the spread picks for NFL Week 3
• Through two weeks, my NFL ATS record is 2-4
• Keep reading to see my Week 3 NFL picks against the spread for

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Much like some of the teams that will be mentioned here, the 2024 NFL season has not gotten off to the start that I would have liked. I went 1-2 in both Week 1 and Week 2, which has given me a 2-4 NFL ATS record heading into Week 3.

Despite that, there are three NFL picks that I am excited to place for Sunday and Monday to start the turnaround. Since 2014, NFL teams that start the season 0-2 have gone 52-33 ATS (61%) in Week 3. In my three NFL bets, there are two 0-2 teams that I am targeting this weekend.

See below for my three best NFL against the spread bets for Week 3.

Eagles vs Saints Odds

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ATS Picks #1: Saints -2.5 (vs. Eagles)

The NFL odds list the Saints as 2.5-point favorites at home vs the Eagles. Out of all the NFL Week 3 lines, this one has moved the most. Last Sunday, the NFL Week 3 opening odds had the Saints as 2.5-point underdogs. The line has completely flipped as New Orleans is now favored by 2.5. The Saints are even up to -3 at some books, so this line will continue to move as we get closer to kick-off.

While I would have loved to get the Saints as home underdogs, I still like them at the current price. New Orleans has looked like the best team in the NFL through two weeks. They cruised to a 47-10 over the Panthers in Week 1, then followed up that performance with a 44-19 shellacking over the Cowboys on the road. The Saints have not had to sweat this season, so this should be a good test for them in Week 3.

New offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak has brought life into the once-stagnant New Orleans offense as the Saints are averaging 45.5 points per game. They are third in the NFL in rushing, which has helped the play-action attack that Kubiak and Derek Carr want to instill. In fact, New Orleans scored on its first 15 possessions of the season with 11 touchdowns.

Derek Carr has led 15 drives this season.

All 15 have resulted in a Saints FG or TD 🤯 pic.twitter.com/4uGhMsEOSq

— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) September 15, 2024

Now they are back at home to face the struggling Eagles. Philadelphia is fresh off a late meltdown on Monday Night Football vs the Falcons and has now won just two of their last nine games. Quarterback Jalen Hurts is just 1-8 against the spread in his last nine games and has also struggled as an underdog. Hurts is 1-4 against the spread in his last five games as an underdog and 3-7 ATS in his last ten when getting points. He is also just 2-8 straight up in those games.

While it won’t be this easy for the Saints all season, they are trending in the right direction, while the Eagles are still in a downward spiral dating back to last season. The Eagles’ defense has been vulnerable this season, so New Orleans should be able to take advantage. I’ll take the Saints to stay hot at home and cover the spread on Sunday.

• NFL Pick: Saints -2.5 (-120)

Ravens vs Cowboys Odds

ATS Picks #2: Ravens -1 (vs. Cowboys)

The Ravens start the season at 0-2 for the first time since 2015. Baltimore was a toe away from potentially beating the Chiefs in Week 1, then blew a lead against the Raiders last week. I believe this is the week that the Ravens get back in the win column.

The Cowboys are allowing 4.9 yards per carry, which is the ninth-worst in the NFL, and just allowed the Saints to run all over them, so the Ravens rushing attack of Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry will be able to set the tempo. On the other side of the ball, Dallas will need to throw the ball to win this game.

They pose no threat on the ground with their committee of Ezekiel Elliot, Rico Dowdle, and Deuce Vaughn. Even if Dallas had a good running game, it would be tough sledding for them in this matchup as the Ravens are allowing just 2.7 yards per carry through two games.

Lamar Jackson is an outstanding 20-1 straight up against the NFC in his career. On Sunday, Lamar Jackson should get his 21st win vs the NFC, and Baltimore will be back in the playoff (and Super Bowl) conversation.

• NFL Pick: Ravens -1 (-110)

Jaguars vs Bills Odds

ATS Picks #3: Jaguars +5 (vs. Bills)

The Jaguars play the Bills in one of two Monday Night Football games this week. The Jaguars are another 0-2 team that I like this week. They have been in both games they have played in, but lost on a last-second field goal to the Dolphins then lost by five to the Browns. Jacksonville has struggled offensively which led to those defeats.

Luckily, the Bills defense allows a favorable matchup. Even before the injuries on the defensive side of the ball, the unit has been vulnerable. Even in their big win over the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football, the Bills were actually outgained. Jacksonville is not as bad as they have looked, and this game should be closer than the spread suggests.

We meet again…#JAXvsBUF pic.twitter.com/CTMqBjbHgP

— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 19, 2024

While extra rest can be a good thing, Josh Allen is just 8-14-1 against the spread in his career when getting extra rest. The Jaguars have played the Bills well and have won their last two head-to-head matchups, including last year’s outright win in London when they were underdogs.

I like getting over a field goal with the Jaguars on Monday Night Football.

• NFL Pick: Jaguars +5 (-110)

Reger’s 2024 NFL ATS Record: 2-4 (-2.18 units)

As we enter Week 3 of the NFL season, it’s time to take a look at some of the best picks against the spread for this week’s games. With a mix of intriguing matchups and potential upsets, there are plenty of opportunities to make some money this weekend.

One game that stands out as a potential pick against the spread is the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over the Baltimore Ravens in Week 2, while the Chargers suffered a close loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Despite the Chiefs being favored by a touchdown, the Chargers have shown they can compete with top teams and could keep this game close. Look for the Chargers to cover the spread in this one.

Another game to keep an eye on is the showdown between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Los Angeles Rams. The defending Super Bowl champions are coming off a convincing win over the Atlanta Falcons, while the Rams have looked impressive in their first two games. With both teams boasting high-powered offenses, this game has the potential to be a shootout. The Rams are currently favored by a field goal, but don’t be surprised if the Buccaneers pull off the upset and cover the spread.

For those looking for an underdog pick against the spread, consider taking the Detroit Lions against the Baltimore Ravens. The Lions have had a tough start to the season, but they showed signs of improvement in their close loss to the Green Bay Packers last week. The Ravens, on the other hand, are coming off a disappointing loss to the Chiefs and could be vulnerable in this matchup. With the Lions getting nearly a touchdown as underdogs, they could be a sneaky pick to cover the spread.

Overall, Week 3 of the NFL season offers plenty of opportunities for bettors to make some money with their picks against the spread. Whether you’re looking for favorites to cover or underdogs to pull off upsets, there are plenty of intriguing matchups to keep an eye on this weekend. Good luck with your picks!