Week 11 NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets: Predictions for Touchdown Props

• Sportsbooks have now released hundreds of NFL TD props for Week 11 of the 2024-25 NFL season
• I have done the work of looking through the NFL touchdown odds for each player, along with the relevant stats to figure out the best TD picks for Week 11
• See the eight players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 11

We have NFL touchdown props available to us for all 14 games in Week 11 of the 2024-25 NFL season! I have scoured through the hundreds of TD props available, paired with what I feel to be all the relevant statistics/information to predict which players are the most likely to score a touchdown this week, or who have been mispriced by the sportsbooks, and therefore show value.

I went 5-6 on my TD picks last week, winning 0.24 units. I am back with another eight anytime touchdown scorers for Week 11, which can be found in the table below with analysis on each if you keep scrolling.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 11

I am betting eight players to score a touchdown in Week 11 and each of the above is a half-unit bet, except for Jahmyr Gibbs, who is a full-unit bet.

I don’t have any touchdown scorers for SNF or MNF yet, but will be adding a player from each game shortly. There is also a possibility I add a couple TD picks on Sunday, so be sure you’re following me on Twitter/X to get that info as quickly as possible.

I have only touched on NFL TD picks in this article, but if you can see all the passing, rushing, and receiving lines on our NFL props page. (It even does the line shopping for you!)

You can find justification for each of my picks below!

Jalen Hurts

Though the Eagles have leaned quite a bit on Saquon Barkley in his first season with the team, it is Jalen Hurts who leads the team in touchdowns. Hurts has scored ten touchdowns (not including passing) to Barkley’s eight, and he has been especially hot lately.

The Eagles QB has at least one touchdown in each of his last four games, but has also totaled eight in that span. Hurts sees a Washington Commanders team on TNF that ranks 29th in yards per carry allowed. In what I suspect will be a high-scoring game (the sportsbooks back me up on this with a total as high as 49.5), Hurts should have a few red zone opportunities to punch one into the endzone.

• Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-110 at BetMGM)

Cooper Kupp

Though the Rams offense has suffered through some big injuries this season, it comes as a surprise to me that only three players have scored a touchdown for them through their first nine games. Kyren Williams is the leader with ten of the 17 TDs to his name, then Demarcus Robinson with five, and finally Cooper Kupp with two. It’s the latter player on the list that I like to add another touchdown in Week 11 when the Rams take on the Patriots.

Kupp may only have two touchdowns in the five games he has played this season, but he is actually LA’s leader in targets by a fair bit in spite of the lack of time on field. He has seen 56 targets this season, which is 13 more than the next-most targeted player. He is also second on the team in targets inside the ten-yard-line with five – Robinson is the team-leader with six.

The point I’m making here is how much Matthew Stafford loves throwing the ball to Kupp. Against an average-at-best Patriots defense this weekend, in what already feels like a bit of a must-win game after losing last week, I like Stafford to continue leaning on his favorite target, getting him his third TD of the season.

• Pick: Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+145 at FanDuel)

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs has scored a touchdown in six of nine games this season, and has totaled eight on the year – tied for the team-lead with David Montgomery. The second-year pro has yet to be held out of the endzone in back-to-back weeks this season, and he did not score in Detroit’s narrow win over the Texans last week.

Gibbs will face a Jaguars defense that only allows 4.3 yards per carry, but has given up 11 touchdowns on the ground. One of the reasons they have given up all those rushing touchdowns is because their opponents have largely been playing with big leads and have been willing to just sit on the ball and kill some clock. With Mac Jones starting at QB for Jacksonville again this week, I believe Detroit will also have this luxury.

The Lions defense will overwhelm Jones, just as Minnesota did last week, and I believe Dan Campbell will want his offense to make a statement one week after their worst rushing performance of the season. I love both Montgomery and Gibbs to score a TD in this one, but the latter has the longer odds.

• Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD (-150 at Caesars)

Cedric Tillman

Since the Browns traded away Amari Cooper, Cedric Tillman has been a monster for them. Tillman has seen 32 targets in those three games, producing at least 75 receiving yards in each, and has at least one touchdown in two of them (three total).

The Browns are fresh off their bye week, and will take on the Saints in Week 11, which is Jameis Winston’s previous team. I obviously don’t know Winston personally, but feel pretty confident in saying he is the type of guy who gets up for a revenge game. I expect him to be sharp against a Saints defense that has allowed the seventh-most net yards per pass attempt, and are entering their second week without star corner Marshon Lattimore.

I like Tillman to see plenty of opportunities again and love the +200 odds BetMGM is offering on him to score a touchdown.

• Pick: Cedric Tillman Anytime TD (+200 at BetMGM)

De’Von Achane

Though he let me down last week, I am coming back to De’Von Achane to score a touchdown in Week 11. Achane’s 52 yards from scrimmage were by far the lowest he has recorded in a game where Tua Tagovailoa started this season, as he had posted at least 100 in all the others.

However, the encouraging part is that the touches were still there. Achane handled 12 of the 17 running back carries last week, and his five targets were only one behind Jaylen Waddle for the team lead. As long as he sees a similar amount of opportunities against the Raiders on Sunday, which I think he will, I think he’ll find himself back in the endzone.

Las Vegas has allowed the third-most points in the NFL and Gardner Minshew has failed to get much going in his time under center. I believe the Dolphins will find themselves playing with a lead early, and Achane will see plenty of touches.

• Pick: De’Von Achane Anytime TD (-125 at bet365)

Jauan Jennings

I know Ricky Pearsall has made some nice plays when given the opportunities, but I believe Jauan Jennings is going to be the biggest beneficiary of Brandon Aiyuk being out for the rest of the season. In Jennings’ first game back from injury, he turned a team-high 11 targets into seven receptions for 93 yards. You may also remember his 175-yard, three touchdown performance in Week 3 when neither Aiyuk or Deebo Samuel suited up.

Brock Purdy and, maybe more importantly, Kyle Shanahan have a lot of trust in Jennings, and he has made the most of his opportunities when given them. While I do appreciate that Christian McCaffrey will continue to be worked into the offense more, I do not suspect Jennings’ opportunities will dry up, especially while Samuel is also a little banged up.

The 49ers will see the Seahawks, who are 23rd in points allowed and 25th in total yards allowed, in Week 11. When they met five weeks ago, San Francisco scored 36 points. I like the offense to put up a similar number on Sunday, with Jennings seeing a good target share. At +250 odds, I think Jennings to score a touchdown is great value.

• Pick: Jauan Jennings Anytime TD (+250 at bet365)

Courtland Sutton

Ever since he did not see a single target in Denver’s Week 7 matchup with the Saints, Courtland Sutton has been a target monster. Sutton is averaging ten targets per game over the last three weeks, has two 100+ yard games in that span, and has a touchdown in one of those games.

Sutton’s big performances have not surprisingly coincided with rookie QB Bo Nix seeming to get more comfortable in Sean Payton’s offense and with the NFL game overall. Their next game together comes against an Atlanta Falcons defense that ranks 23rd in net pass yards allowed per attempt, and surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air.

At +205 odds, I like the value in Sutton to score a touchdown.

• Pick: Courtland Sutton Anytime TD (+205 at DraftKings)

Travis Kelce

After an incredibly slow start to the 2024-25 season, I believe we are seeing Travis Kelce start to heat up. Over his last three games, Kelce has seen 12, 16, and 12 targets, respectively, and has a touchdown in two of those games. I believe the emergence of DeAndre Hopkins has helped, while Kelce himself looks to be moving a little better than he was early in the season.

The Chiefs will see the Bills on Sunday, who I suspect are going to force Patrick Mahomes to play with some urgency. In seven career regular season games against the Bills, Kelce has four touchdowns, and he most recently scored two TDs against them in their playoff matchup last season.

• Pick: Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+165 at Caesars)

Week 11 of the NFL season is upon us, and that means it’s time to start looking at some anytime touchdown scorer bets. These prop bets can be a fun way to add some excitement to your Sunday football viewing, and they also have the potential to be quite lucrative if you can pick the right players to find the end zone.

One player who looks like a solid bet to score a touchdown in Week 11 is Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints. Kamara has been one of the most dynamic running backs in the league this season, and he has a knack for finding the end zone. He’s facing a tough matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles, but Kamara’s versatility as a runner and receiver should give him plenty of opportunities to score.

Another player to keep an eye on is Tyreek Hill of the Kansas City Chiefs. Hill is one of the fastest players in the NFL, and he’s always a threat to take it to the house whenever he touches the ball. The Chiefs are taking on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11, and Hill should have plenty of chances to make big plays against a suspect Cowboys defense.

If you’re looking for a sleeper pick for a touchdown scorer bet in Week 11, consider Javonte Williams of the Denver Broncos. Williams has been coming on strong in recent weeks, and he’s starting to establish himself as the lead back in Denver’s offense. The Broncos are facing the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 11, and Williams could be in line for a big game against a Chargers defense that has struggled against the run.

Of course, there are no guarantees when it comes to anytime touchdown scorer bets, so it’s always important to do your research and consider factors like matchups, injuries, and recent performance before placing your bets. But if you can make some smart picks, you could end up cashing in big on some touchdown props in Week 11 of the NFL season.