- The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) visit the Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) on Wednesday night
- We’ve made our Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights prediction for March 5, 2025
- Read below for Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights prediction, odds and player prop picks for tonight’s game on TNT
The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) head to T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025. Puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 PM Eastern Time, with national coverage provided by TNT.
The Golden Knights are -160 favorites at home, with the over/under set at 6 goals. Can Jack Eichel and Vegas keep up their dominant home-ice performance against Auston Matthews and the Maple Leafs?
Here is our Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights prediction and pick for Wednesday night’s matchup.
Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights Prediction
I’m taking the Golden Knights to secure the win on home ice against the Maple Leafs. While Toronto has been one of the league’s best road teams since mid-December, Vegas has been nearly unbeatable at T-Mobile Arena this season with a 22-6-3 record.
The Golden Knights are led by Jack Eichel, who tops the team with 72 points in 60 games. Eichel has been fantastic at both ends of the ice this season. Mark Stone (51 points) and Shea Theodore (48 points) provide additional scoring punch for a Vegas squad averaging 3.30 goals per game (6th).
Vegas also boasts the league’s third-ranked power play unit, converting at a 28.5% clip. That could be a major factor against a Toronto penalty kill that sits just 15th overall (79.4%). The Golden Knights are coming off back-to-back wins and have taken five of their last six contests overall.
The Maple Leafs, meanwhile, had their five-game winning streak snapped in stunning fashion Monday, losing 3-2 in a shootout to the San Jose Sharks, who entered the game with just one victory in their previous 15 outings. Toronto has relied heavily on their power play recently, but the Knights’ 7th-ranked penalty kill (82.9%) should prove a tough test.
Expect Adin Hill (22-10-4, 2.52 GAA, .906 SV%) to get the start for Vegas opposite Joseph Woll (21-11-0, 2.70 GAA, .907 SV%). Hill is coming off three straight wins, allowing just two total goals in that span. He should outduel Woll as the Golden Knights continue their dominance on home ice.
Wednesday NHL Pick:
- Golden Knights ML (-160 at Caesars)
Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR Maple Leafs | +1.5 (-190) | +135 | Over 6.0 (-120) |
| VGK Golden Knights | -1.5 (+158) | -160 | Under 6.0 (+100) |
The Golden Knights are currently solid home favorites in this one, with the moneyline set at -160. This means that a $160 bet on Vegas would return a profit of $100 if they get the win. The Maple Leafs are +135 road underdogs, offering a potential return of $135 on a $100 wager.
Vegas is listed at -1.5 (+158) on the puck line, while Toronto is +1.5 (-190). Bettors taking the Golden Knights puck line would need them to win by two or more goals, but they’d receive a notably higher payout. The Maple Leafs puck line bet would cash if they either win outright or lose by a single goal.
The total (over/under) for this game is set at 6 goals, with the over juiced up to -120 and the under at even money (+100). This indicates oddsmakers believe there’s a greater likelihood of the game going over the total.
NHL odds as of March 5, 2025 at Caesars Sportsbook. Check out the Caesars Rewards to unlock the best betting promos for Wednesday’s game.
Leafs vs Knights Player Props
Stay tuned for NHL player prop recommendations for this game closer to the puck drop.
Wednesday night hockey is set to be an exciting matchup as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Vegas Golden Knights. Both teams have been performing well this season, making this game a highly anticipated one for fans and bettors alike.
In terms of predictions, the Maple Leafs have been on a hot streak recently, winning six of their last seven games. Led by star players Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, the Leafs have been dominating offensively and will look to continue their winning ways against the Golden Knights.
On the other hand, the Golden Knights have also been playing well, with a solid record of 7-4-0 in their last 11 games. They have a strong defensive core led by Shea Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo, which will make it difficult for the Maple Leafs to score.
In terms of odds, the Maple Leafs are currently favored to win this matchup, with odds of -150. The Golden Knights are the underdogs with odds of +130. This means that if you were to bet $100 on the Maple Leafs and they win, you would make a profit of $66.67. If you were to bet on the Golden Knights and they win, you would make a profit of $130.
As for player props, Auston Matthews is a safe bet to score a goal in this game. He leads the league in goals scored and has been on fire recently. Mitch Marner is also a good bet to record an assist, as he leads the league in assists and has great chemistry with Matthews.
Overall, this Wednesday night hockey matchup between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights is sure to be an exciting one. With predictions favoring the Maple Leafs, odds in their favor, and strong player props for Matthews and Marner, this game is one to watch for hockey fans and bettors alike.
