Two Sets of NFL Parlay Predictions for Sunday: Free Week 4 NFL Parlay Picks

• The options for Week 4 NFL parlay legs are endless with 15 games still to be played between Sunday and Monday night
• I was a bad Rashid Shaheed performance away from cashing a 132-1 parlay last week
• See my two sets of NFL parlay picks below, one longshot parlay and one higher-probability parlay

While I was worried too much about correlated Seahawks bets in my two parlays from last week, it ended up being the Saints who managed to crush both of them. Derek Carr’s horrendous stat line not only ruined my higher-probability parlay, but I also came up one leg short of hitting the five-leg 132-1 longshot parlay because Rashid Shaheed couldn’t do a single thing with the five targets he received last week. Sadly, four out of five legs gets me nothing.

The good news is Week 4 is here and, therefore, another opportunity to put together some winning NFL parlays. I’m sticking with my typical format of one longshot NFL parlay and one higher-probability NFL parlay. You can jump to either one quickly with the links below or scroll through to see the picks and my analysis for each leg.

Longshot NFL Parlay | Higher-Probability NFL Parlay

My longshot parlay this week has the lowest potential payout so far at just shy of 82-1 odds

Week 4 Longshot NFL Parlay

The best odds for this parlay are +8159 at DraftKings. Though, it doesn’t beat out Caesars by much. If you want to boost this parlay a little further, Caesars does offer a longshot parlay profit boost and this would meet their odds requirements. They are also offering new users a $1,000 first bet on Caesars.

If you placed a $1 bet on this five-leg NFL parlay, you would stand to win $81.59. A $5 bet would hold a potential profit of $407.95. Here’s some quick analysis on why I like each of these legs.

This NFL parlay gets started with Vikings -2.5. I discussed why I like the Vikings in my NFL moneyline picks for Week 4. But the gist here is that I believe Minnesota is playing better football than anyone else in the league and am thoroughly impressed with their last two wins, which were very convincing over two of the league’s best teams.

The next leg is Diontae Johnson for 80+ receiving yards. I predicted Andy Dalton would ignite Carolina’s offense last week and cashed in on the Panthers moneyline at +225 odds. Johnson was Dalton’s favorite target, seeing 14 of his 37 pass attempts. Adam Thielen, who won’t play this weekend, tied for the second-most targets with five. In what I suspect will be a bit of a shootout against the Bengals, I like Johnson to see just as many targets and will make good on them with at least 80 receiving yards.

The third leg of this NFL parlay is the one I like the least, not because I don’t think it happens, but I hate the price DraftKings is offering. I talked about why I liked a Marvin Harrison Jr anytime TD in my favorite NFL TD scorer picks for Week 4, but I was betting him at +120 there. I love points to be scored in this game and would understand if anyone preferred James Conner with not much difference in price.

The fourth leg is Jerome Ford for 50+ rushing yards. One of my favorite upset picks this week was the Browns over Raiders, and I had a lengthy section on them in my NFL moneyline picks only to delete it because the line moved significantly towards Cleveland being favored as I was writing it. My main reasoning was that Cleveland could win this game easily by handing the ball off 50+ times against a Raiders defense that ranks last in the league in yards allowed per carry. I have wondered if Kevin Stefanski has been doing his best to prove Deshaun Watson is a bad QB through the first three weeks, but I believe the Browns need this win to keep themselves in playoff contention, and Stefanski might need it to maintain job security. They get that win by handing the ball off often, and giving it to the back who’s averaging 5.0 YPC.

The last leg is Will Levis for 225+ passing yards. I think this is my favorite leg. Levis’ first two games were ugly and mostly remembered for the horrible mistakes he was making to turn the ball over. But those were two pretty good pass defenses in the Bears and Jets. Levis threw for 260 yards last week against the Packers, and now gets a Dolphins team who allows the 7th-most net yards per pass attempt. I like this bet even more knowing that Tyler Huntley will start for Miami, which I think will result in a much more capable offense than we saw out of the Dolphins for the last six quarters.

Week 4 Higher Probability NFL Parlay

The best odds for this higher-probability 3-leg NFL parlay are also at DraftKings. However, you can play it even safer at a good price of +101 at bet365 if you take CJ Stroud for 200+ passing yards. They just don’t offer the 225+ milestone for passing yards.

As you may be able to tell from my longshot NFL parlay above, I don’t think Houston’s loss last week was just a bad game on their part. I think Minnesota is that good, because I also think very highly of the Texans. I think Houston has one of the best passing games in the league and a pretty good defense. The team they’re playing this week might be the worst team in the NFL. Jacksonville is about to have a lot of frustrations taken out on them by a team who was just severely humbled a week ago. Texans moneyline at -270 is a great way to start this parlay!

With Joe Mixon not seeming to be fully healthy, though he may play, I think Houston relies on CJ Stroud’s arm more than they typically do. After such a lousy outing from the pass game last week, I don’t see Houston taking their foot off the gas very early. Stroud for 225+ passing yards should be no issue – he has gone over this total in two of three, with the early exit from the Minnesota game last week being the only time he failed to reach this milestone.

Finally, the Cardinals over 20.5 points gets us to a nice plus-money bet for the three-leg parlay. Washington’s defense can’t stop the run, can’t stop the pass, and are the worst in the league at getting off the field on third down. I think Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense have no trouble putting up points on Sunday.

As we head into Week 4 of the NFL season, football fans and bettors alike are gearing up for another exciting weekend of games. One popular way to add even more excitement to the games is by placing parlay bets. A parlay bet is a single wager that combines two or more individual bets into one, with the potential for a higher payout if all of the bets are successful.

For those looking to get in on the action this Sunday, here are two sets of NFL parlay predictions that could help you cash in on some big wins:

Set 1:

– New Orleans Saints (-3) over New York Giants
– Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) over Philadelphia Eagles
– Arizona Cardinals (-7) over Los Angeles Rams

This parlay offers a mix of favorites and underdogs, with the Saints, Chiefs, and Cardinals all looking like strong picks to cover the spread in their respective matchups. The Saints have been playing well despite missing key players due to injury, while the Chiefs and Cardinals have both been dominant on offense so far this season.

Set 2:

– Baltimore Ravens (-1) over Denver Broncos
– Green Bay Packers (-6.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers
– Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5) over New England Patriots

In this parlay, we have three teams that are favored to win by at least a touchdown. The Ravens have been one of the top teams in the league so far this season, while the Packers and Buccaneers are both coming off impressive wins in Week 3. The Steelers and Patriots have struggled early on, making them good candidates to fade in this parlay.

Of course, there are no guarantees when it comes to sports betting, and anything can happen on any given Sunday. It’s always important to do your own research and analysis before placing any bets. But if you’re looking for some free NFL parlay picks to consider for Week 4, these two sets of predictions could be a good starting point. Good luck and happy betting!