July, 13, 2024; Butler, PA, USA; Scenes of the aftermath where former President Donald Trump was shot in apparent assassination attempt during a rally on Saturday. One attendee was killed and two were seriously injured. The suspected gunman was also killed by law enforcement. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Lange/Akron Beacon-Journal via USA TODAY NETWORK
- The 2024 Presidential election odds moved significantly after former President Donald Trump was struck by a bullet at a campaign rally
- Already favored to win, Trump’s odds improved significantly on Sunday
- See the latest 2024 Presidential election odds for Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and more
Donald Trump grasped his ear as shots rang out at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, on Saturday night. After he was swarmed by Secret Service and ushered off stage, visibly bleeding from the right side of his head, it was reported that the incident was as assassination attempt by 20-year-old Pennsylvania resident Thomas Matthew Crooks, who was killed on the scene.
When they mayhem started to settle on Sunday morning, the 2024 Presidential Election odds were re-posted and they took a big jump in Trump’s direction.
Updated 2024 Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate (Party) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -275 |
| Joe Biden | +550 |
| Kamala Harris | +800 |
| Michelle Obama | +1800 |
| Gavin Newsom | +2000 |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +3300 |
| Hillary Clinton | +4000 |
| Robert Kennedy Jr | +5000 |
| Nikki Haley | +10000 |
| Erik Prince | +15000 |
| Joe Manchin | +20000 |
| JB Pritzker | +20000 |
| Jamie Dimon | +20000 |
| JD Vance | +20000 |
| Antony Blinken | +20000 |
| Byron Donalds | +20000 |
| Josh Shapiro | +20000 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +20000 |
| Chris Murphy | +20000 |
| Dean Preston | +20000 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +20000 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | +20000 |
| Josh Hawley | +20000 |
| Bernie Sanders | +20000 |
| Oprah Winfrey | +20000 |
| Mark Cuban | +20000 |
| John Kerry | +25000 |
Trump was already a -187 favorite at this time last week. But after the failed assassination attempt, he is now -275 to win a non-consecutive second term when Americans take to the polls on November 5.
Odds as of July 13 at bet365.
Note that sportsbooks in the United States are not permitted to offer odds on the Presidential Election. However, legal online sportsbooks like bet365 and DraftKings which operate in Canada are allowed to offer political markets to customers north of the border. Additionally, UK and European sportsbooks have a long history of political futures.
Already one of the most iconic photographs in American history – and one that I suspect will propel Donald Trump back to the White House.
(Pic @evanvucci @AP ) pic.twitter.com/rdXtO3XD4A— Piers Morgan (@piersmorgan) July 14, 2024
Odds for Biden, Harris Continue to Languish
Embattled incumbent Joe Biden saw his odds take another hit on Sunday. Biden, who was a +160 favorite late in 2023, has dropped all the way to +525 as of July 14, though that is slightly better than his odds directly after his disastrous debate performance on June 27 (+600), when many speculated he would drop out of the race.
Biden’s Vice-President, Kamala Harris, was briefly the favorite among Democrats after the debate, her odds to win the presidency in November improving as far as +400 as of July 3. But like Biden, her odds dropped on Sunday, fading to +800 to become the first female President in American history.
The political futures at bet365 list almost 20 other potential candidates on the board. But, among those, only Robert Kennedy Jr is officially in the race at this time, running as an independent after failing to wrest the Democratic nomination from Biden.
Bookmark SBD’s 2024 Presidential Election Odds to see the latest on the election odds as November 5 approaches.
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
In a shocking turn of events, President Donald Trump’s reelection odds have improved to -280 following a failed assassination attempt on his life. The incident, which occurred at a campaign rally in Nevada, has sent shockwaves through the political world and has raised questions about the safety and security of the President.
The failed assassination attempt has only served to galvanize Trump’s base and has increased his support among undecided voters. Many see the incident as a clear sign that there are those who will stop at nothing to prevent Trump from being reelected, and this has only strengthened their resolve to see him win a second term.
The odds of Trump winning reelection have now improved to -280, according to several major betting sites. This means that bettors believe there is a 73% chance that Trump will be reelected in November. This is a significant improvement from just a few weeks ago when his odds were hovering around -200.
The failed assassination attempt has also had an impact on the Democratic nominee, Joe Biden. While Biden’s odds of winning the election have not changed significantly, many voters are now questioning his ability to keep the country safe in the face of such threats. This has led to some voters switching their support to Trump, further boosting his chances of winning in November.
Overall, the failed assassination attempt on President Trump has had a significant impact on the upcoming election. It has not only increased his chances of winning reelection but has also raised questions about the safety and security of the President and the country as a whole. As we head into the final stretch of the campaign, it will be interesting to see how these events continue to shape the race and ultimately determine the outcome in November.
