Top Ten MLB Award Favorites One Month Into the Season, with Judge Leading AL MVP Race

• One month into the season, the odds for the MLB MVPs, Cy Young awards, and Rookies of the Year have all moved significantly
• Aaron Judge’s odds to win AL MVP are by far the shortest on the board for any 2025 MLB award
• See the updated Cy Young, Rookie of the Year, and MVP odds for the AL and NL

The 2025 MLB season is just over a month old and the odds for all of the major individual hardware have shifted considerably since opening day. No sportsbooks are currently offering Reliever of the Year or Manager of the Year odds, but they should be back on the board in the near future.

The tables below list the top-ten favorites for MLB MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year in both the American League and National League as of April 30.

Jump to: MLB MVP Favorites | Cy Young Favorites | MLB Rookie of the Year Favorites

MLB MVP Odds

All odds on this page come from DraftKings on April 30, 2025. Check out DraftKings Missouri if you live in MO.

It’s almost unprecedented for there to be an odds-on MVP favorite this early in the season. But reigning-winner Judge isn’t just the odds-on chalk; he’s a massive -600 favorite to win AL MVP for the third time, which amounts to an 85.71% implied win probability. The second-favorite, Kansas City’s Bobby Witt Jr, is +800, an 11.11% implied win probability.

Judge is still hitting over .400 (.412), leads the AL in RBI (29), and leads the majors in WAR (2.7) and OPS (1.235). It feels like the only thing standing between him and another MVP award is the possibility of injury.

In the National League MVP odds, reigning-winner Shohei Ohtani is also the early favorite, but his +290 odds carry a more tepid 25.64% implied win probability. Kyle Tucker, now with the Cubs, is a close second at +350 (22.22%). Ohtani has a .942 OPS with seven homers. Tucker has a .965 with seven homers. The Mets’ Pete Alonso currently leads the NL in OPS at 1.126 while the Diamondback’s Eugenio Suarez has an MLB-best ten home runs.

Cy Young Odds

The early Cy Young odds favor two absolute flamethrowers. In the NL, preseason favorite Paul Skenes of the Pirates has maintained his perch atop the board at +190. Skenes has a 2.39 ERA, which isn’t in the top-five in the NL, but his sparkling .80 WHIP is the best mark in the league among qualified pitchers.

SEcond-favorite Yoshinobu Yamamoto, playing his second season with the Dodgers, leads the NL in ERA at 1.06 with an excellent 11.4 K/9 and a solid 1.00 WHIP.

Over the in the AL, reigning-Cy Young-winner Tarik Skubal of the Tigers and Garrett Crochet of the Red Sox are +250 co-favorites, with New York’s Max Fried third at +600.

Skubal and Crochet have nearly identical stats at this point; Crochet has a slightly better ERA (2.05 vs 2.34) but Skubal edges him in WHIP (1.04 vs 1.05) and K/9 (10.4 vs 10.2).

MLB ROY Odds

The MLB Rookie of the Year odds in the American League currently show a two-horse race between Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson and Red Sox second baseman Kristian Campbell. Wilson is the slight favorite even though Campbell has the higher OPS (.935 vs .717), more homers (4 vs 3) and as many doubles (8) despite 96 fewer plate appearances.

Wilson, of course, has the advantage of little to no competition for playing time on the rebuilding Athletics.

In the National League, Nationals outfielder Dylan Crews is the favorite largely thanks to his rookie-leading seven home runs. Keep an eye out for rising Marlins star Agustin Ramirez, who has made an immediate impact in his first seven games. The 23-year-old catcher/DH has a rookie-best 1.194 OPS and three long balls in just 29 plate appearances.

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As we approach the one-month mark of the MLB season, it’s time to take a look at the top contenders for the league’s most prestigious awards. In the American League, one player has stood out above the rest and is the early favorite for the AL MVP award: Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees.

Judge, who burst onto the scene in 2017 with a historic rookie campaign, has picked up right where he left off this season. The 29-year-old outfielder leads the league in home runs and runs batted in, while also boasting an impressive batting average and on-base percentage. His combination of power, speed, and defensive prowess make him a complete player and a deserving candidate for MVP honors.

While Judge may be the front-runner for the AL MVP award, there are several other players who are making strong cases for themselves. Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels has been a revelation both on the mound and at the plate, leading many to believe he could be a legitimate two-way MVP candidate. Mike Trout of the Angels is always a threat to win the award, as he continues to put up elite numbers year after year.

In the National League, reigning MVP Freddie Freeman of the Atlanta Braves is off to a hot start and looks to defend his title. Other contenders in the NL include Fernando Tatis Jr. of the San Diego Padres, who has been putting up video game-like numbers, and Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets, who has been dominant on the mound.

As we head into the summer months, the race for the MVP awards will only heat up. It will be interesting to see if Judge can maintain his torrid pace and hold off the competition in the AL, while new challengers emerge in the NL. One thing is for certain: baseball fans are in for an exciting season as these top players battle it out for MVP honors.