- We’re getting way too many bangers for NFL Week 11 on November 17th
- My favorite way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
- Getting bets in on Friday is a great strategy, and it’s no different for this week
We made it back to Friday and I couldn’t be happier. I’m so glad we did! For those of you who don’t know, Fridays are by far the best day to bet NFL player props. The books start sprinkling them out around Thursday but no one seems to remember to bet them until Friday. Probably because of the Thursday night game but who really knows? All we really know is, getting down on Friday feels right.
This week I feel like we should go back to a market that we know we can dominate. Like dominate, dominate. The last two Friday releases have been tough so we need to go back to our roots. Lucky for us, we’ve got the Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Then after they’re done, we’re going to see the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. Both of these games feature moves in a market we know we can trust. It’s going to be glorious.
This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.
Week 11 NFL Player Props and Odds
Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
---|---|---|---|
Russell Wilson (Steelers) | 19.5 (Ov -101 / Un -135) | 226.5 (Ov -123 / Un -111) | 2+ Passing TDs (+109) |
Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
Josh Allen (Bills) | 20.5 (Ov -128 / Un -102) | 233.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114) | 2+ Passing TDs (+108) |
Odds as of November 15 at Caesars & FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering.
Russell Wilson Drops Bombs
I don’t know what happened to Russell Wilson but something happened. He looks nothing like the guy we saw in Denver. Nothing at all. It could be because he didn’t have the talent around him or the coaching staff. Who really knows? But one thing we do know is that he has dawgs on his side in Pittsburgh.
On top of that, it appears that Russ also has the Lord on his side. It’s hard to diminish that kind of advantage.
For HIS glory! @Steelers
The heart of man plans his way, but the Lord establishes his steps.
Proverbs 16:9 pic.twitter.com/3AKuX1podL— Russell Wilson (@DangeRussWilson) November 13, 2024
Russell Wilson has started three games for the Steelers this season and he’s thrown for at least two touchdowns in two of them. In the other game, he only threw one but it wasn’t his fault. That game was against the New York Giants and there was no need for Russ to show out. Plus a guy ran back a punt which stole a possession from Russ. He could have easily thrown a TD on that drive.
This week, the Steelers will need all of the touchdowns they can get because they’re hosting the Baltimore Ravens. But here’s the thing, you can’t just run for touchdowns against the Ravens. They’ve only given up five rushing touchdowns all season. That shouldn’t discourage us though.
While they’ve been good at stopping the run, they’ve been equally bad at stopping the pass. Like really bad. Like worst in the NFL. We’re talking 21 passing touchdowns against them bad. So when Russ gets the Steelers near the goal line, we’re looking at a passing TD not a rushing TD. All we need is two.
Sports betting is so easy sometimes.
- The Pick: Russell Wilson 2+ Passing TDs (+109) – Caesars
Josh Allen Also Drops Bombs
The best game Sunday is the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. It legit doesn’t get better than that. We’ve got an undefeated team that is an underdog. I for one, have to see how that plays out.
And while everyone seems to be scratching their heads about the point spread, it actually makes sense when you look at the quarterback matchup.
Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen ahead of their Week 11 match-up 🔥 pic.twitter.com/vUHFYDR5hi
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 13, 2024
Here’s the thing with this game, we don’t care about the spread. We’re player prop people. But it is nice to know that the linemakers respect the great Josh Allen. As they should.
Do you know what I like about this one? It’s the exact same situation we have with our Russell Wilson bet. We’ve got a quarterback that likes to get loose against a defense that won’t allow teams to run the ball into the end zone. In fact, the Chiefs are even better at keeping guys out than Baltimore since they’ve only given up three rushing touchdowns.
Push is going to come to shove on Sunday and Buffalo is going to score. I doubt it’s on the ground so by process of elimination, it’s going to be Josh Allen throws. Just like Russ, we only need two out of this stud. He could easily do that in the first half. Maybe even in the first quarter.
Feels right.
- The Pick: Josh Allen 2+ Passing TDs (+108) – FanDuel
- 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-11 (+2.28 Units)
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As we head into Week 11 of the NFL season, there are plenty of exciting matchups to look forward to on Sunday. While many fans will be focused on their favorite teams and players, others will be looking to get in on the action by placing prop bets on individual player performances.
Player prop bets have become increasingly popular in recent years, offering bettors the opportunity to wager on specific outcomes for individual players rather than just the final score of the game. With that in mind, here are some top NFL player prop bets to consider for the Sunday games on November 17th.
1. Lamar Jackson – Total Passing Yards
One of the most electrifying players in the league, Lamar Jackson has been lighting up defenses all season long. For Sunday’s matchup against the Houston Texans, Jackson’s passing yards prop bet is set at 250.5 yards. With his ability to make plays both through the air and on the ground, Jackson has a good chance of surpassing this total.
2. Christian McCaffrey – Total Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey has been a force to be reckoned with in the Carolina Panthers’ backfield this season. For Sunday’s game against the Atlanta Falcons, McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop bet is set at 100.5 yards. Given his ability to break off big runs and consistently churn out yardage, McCaffrey is a strong bet to hit this mark.
3. Michael Thomas – Total Receiving Yards
Michael Thomas has been putting up video game-like numbers for the New Orleans Saints this season, leading the league in receptions and receiving yards. For Sunday’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Thomas’ receiving yards prop bet is set at 110.5 yards. With his chemistry with quarterback Drew Brees and ability to make tough catches in traffic, Thomas is a good bet to exceed this total.
4. Aaron Jones – Total Touchdowns
Aaron Jones has emerged as a key playmaker for the Green Bay Packers this season, leading the team in both rushing and receiving touchdowns. For Sunday’s game against the San Francisco 49ers, Jones’ total touchdowns prop bet is set at 1.5. With his nose for the end zone and ability to find pay dirt in a variety of ways, Jones is a solid bet to score at least one touchdown in this matchup.
5. Deshaun Watson – Total Passing Touchdowns
Deshaun Watson has been playing at an elite level for the Houston Texans this season, showcasing his ability to make plays with both his arm and his legs. For Sunday’s game against the Baltimore Ravens, Watson’s passing touchdowns prop bet is set at 2.5. With his talented group of receivers and penchant for finding the end zone, Watson is a strong bet to throw for at least three touchdowns in this high-scoring affair.
When placing prop bets on NFL players, it’s important to consider factors such as matchups, injuries, and recent performance trends. By doing your research and staying informed, you can increase your chances of making successful wagers on individual player performances in Week 11’s Sunday games. Good luck and happy betting!