May 29, 2024; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid (97) makes a move on Dallas Stars defensemen Miro Heiskanen (4) during the third period in game four of the Western Conference Final of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
- The Western Conference Final continues with Oilers vs Stars Game 5 on Friday
- Dallas is a slim home favorite despite uncertainty around Chris Tanev’s injury
- Read below for Oilers vs Stars Game 5 prediction, odds, and player props to bet
The Dallas Stars are favored to bounce back in their Western Conference Final playoff series with the Edmonton Oilers on Friday night. Pete DeBoer’s team is a -130 favorite for Game 5 on Friday, May 31 at American Airlines Center. The puck drops at 8:30 pm ET on TNT.
The series is tied 2-2 after the Oilers stunned the Stars on Tuesday with a convincing 5-2 victory. To make matters worse for the team from Texas, valuable blueliner Chris Tanev suffered an injury and is listed as questionable to play.
Here is our Oilers vs Stars Game 5 prediction, along with betting odds and player props recommendations.
Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Game 5 Prediction
Oilers vs Stars has been one of the more unpredictable NHL Playoff series in recent memory, with momentum switching on a nightly basis. The Stars appeared on the verge of pushing the Oilers to the brink of elimination in Game 4, only for the Oilers to rally from 2-0 down to even the series 2-2.
Given how different each game has played out, we can’t be overly confident that each team’s play from Game 4 will carry over to Game 5. Aside from the hot start, Tuesday was one of the Stars’ worst performances of the postseason, as they managed just one high-danger chance at five-on-five (per Natural Stat Trick).
While the “over” hit in both games played in Edmonton, we’re betting on the two teams to play a lower-scoring affair on Friday. The “under” hit in each of the previous two meetings played in Dallas, plus has cashed in six of the seven games following a loss.
We expect the Stars to clamp down defensively on Friday night, aiming to keep Connor McDavid and company on the outside. Goalie Jake Oettinger should also be sharper, as he boasts a .950 save percentage in games following a loss this postseason.
The under is an ugly play following a game that just produced seven goals, but it’s the smart bet based on the metrics. Even going back over the past several seasons, the under has been profitable in seven of Edmonton’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
With Stuart Skinner regaining some confidence and Oettinger poised for a bounce-back showing, this game should be low-scoring as both teams try to avoid being pushed to the brink of elimination.
Game 5 Pick
- Under 6 Goals (-120)
Oilers vs Stars Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL Stars | +1.5 (-238) | +110 | Over 6 (+105) |
| EDM Oilers | -1.5 (+195) | -130 | Under 6 (-125) |
Odds as of May. 31, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Check out the Bet365 promotions for the NHL Playoffs.
Dallas is a -130 favorite in the Game 5 NHL odds, while Edmonton is the +110 underdog. These betting odds imply a 56.52% chance of the Stars emerging victorious and a 43.48% chance of the Oilers pulling an upset.
Based on Corsi and expected goals, the Oilers have been the better five-on-five team in the series. The Oilers have a 55 CF% in the series along with a .53 XGF%. However, no team has been able to make an impact with their power play, with the Oilers going 0-for-6 and the Stars going 0-for-9.
“We would like the same standard.”
Kris Knoblauch discusses the lack of penalties called on the Oilers so far. pic.twitter.com/1IZjXpXeAE
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) May 26, 2024
The Oilers’ puck line could be a decent addition to your same-game parlay tonight given the possession edge. But why are the Stars still favored? The goalie matchup is clearly a primary factor, with Oettinger (.919 sv%) simply more reliable than Skinner (.887 sv%) despite Tuesday’s result.
The over/under is priced at six goals, with juice towards the under. FanDuel currently has this line at 5.5. The best odds you can get for the under is -120 on BetMGM, Bet365, and Caesars. Books such as DraftKings have this line as short as -135, so make sure to shop around and find the best price.
Oilers vs Stars Player Props
Stay tuned for our best Oilers vs Stars player props as we get closer to game time.
Oilers vs Stars Injury Report
The biggest injury that could potentially impact the Oilers vs Stars betting line is the ankle injury to Stars’ defender Chris Tanev. The veteran rearguard left Tuesday’s game after blocking a shot from Evander Kane. He was unable to return to the game due to a lower-body injury.
Chris Tanev in his walking boot #nhl @nhl #dallasstars #edmontonoilers #nhlplayoffs #tanev pic.twitter.com/BVCW4fOFwN
— Mason Katcherin (@MKatcherin) May 30, 2024
Stars coach Pete DeBoer says he is hopeful that Tanev will be available for Game 5, although the d-man’s injury status is uncertain. It’s not encouraging Tanev was spotted in a walking boot following the game. The 28-year-old has been an essential piece for the Stars in this postseason, averaging 23:26 of ice time and blocking 65 shots.
Outside of Tanev, there are no major injuries to report for either team. Roope Hintz returned for Dallas in Game 3 and made an immediate impact, although he was much quieter in Game 4.
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars are set to face off in Game 5 of their playoff series on Friday, May 31st. The series is currently tied at 2-2, making this game crucial for both teams as they look to gain the upper hand and advance to the next round.
In terms of predictions, this game is shaping up to be a close one. Both teams have shown strong performances throughout the series, with the Oilers’ high-powered offense going up against the Stars’ solid defense. It will likely come down to which team can execute their game plan more effectively and capitalize on their opportunities.
As for the odds, the Oilers are currently slight favorites to win Game 5. However, the Stars have proven to be a resilient team and should not be counted out. It could go either way, making for an exciting and unpredictable matchup.
In terms of player props, keep an eye on Connor McDavid for the Oilers and Tyler Seguin for the Stars. Both players have been key contributors for their respective teams and will likely play a big role in determining the outcome of the game. Look for them to make an impact on the scoresheet and potentially lead their teams to victory.
In terms of injuries, both teams are relatively healthy heading into Game 5. However, it’s always possible that new injuries could occur during the game, so it will be important for both teams to stay focused and play smart to avoid any unnecessary risks.
Overall, Game 5 between the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars is shaping up to be a thrilling and competitive matchup. With both teams hungry for a win, fans can expect an intense battle on the ice as they fight for a chance to advance in the playoffs. Be sure to tune in on Friday, May 31st to see which team comes out on top.