Predictions, Player Props, and Odds for Ohio State vs Purdue in Big Ten Football

• We’ve made our Ohio State vs Purdue prediction 2024 for Saturday (Nov. 9)
• The latest odds favor the Buckeyes by more than five touchdowns
• Read below for Ohio State vs Purdue prediction, props, odds and injury report

It’s another Big Ten clash as the #2 Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1, 4-1 Big Ten) host the Purdue Boilermakers (1-7, 0-5 Big Ten) at Ohio Stadium in Columbus on Saturday, November 9, 2024.

The Buckeyes are fresh off a statement 20-13 win at Penn State, while Purdue enters on a seven-game losing streak after falling to Northwestern in overtime. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Let’s dive into our Ohio State vs Purdue prediction for Saturday’s Big Ten matchup.

Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction

Don’t be fooled by Ohio State’s hefty spread – the underdog has some sneaky value here. While the Buckeyes boast the nation’s third-ranked scoring defense (12.0 ppg), their offense has been less explosive than in years past, failing to score 40 points since Week 3.

The Buckeyes have become more methodical under quarterback Will Howard, who’s thrown for 1,977 yards and 19 touchdowns this season. Their ground-and-pound approach with running backs Quinshon Judkins (615 yards) and company helps control games but doesn’t always lead to the huge margins oddsmakers expect.

Ryan Day says he gets “excited” when watching running backs TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins: pic.twitter.com/40FOdripiS

— Lantern Sports (@LanternSports) November 7, 2024

Purdue, despite their record, showed signs of life last week with quarterback Hudson Card’s return. Card threw for 267 yards against Northwestern, and the Boilermakers have played two overtime games in their last three contests.

The Buckeyes should win comfortably, but covering a 38-point spread requires style points that haven’t been Ohio State’s focus lately. The betting trends support this view – a slight majority (52%) of bets are backing Purdue to cover.

For my Ohio State vs Purdue prediction 2024, I’m picking Purdue to cover the massive spread while projecting a final score around 48-13 Ohio State. OSU has never been such a heavy favorite against the Boilermakers, and they are only 5-5 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

OSU-PUR Prediction

• Purdue +38 (-110 at BetMGM)

Ohio State vs Purdue Player Props

Here are two player props I’ve locked in for Saturday’s game:

Jeremiah Smith 85+ Receiving Yards (-110)

The freshman sensation has been a dominant force, already surpassing Cris Carter’s freshman receiving record with 678 yards.

Smith faces a Purdue defense that ranks among the worst in the Big Ten against the pass. The Boilermakers have particularly struggled with big plays, which plays right into Smith’s strengths as a downfield threat.

Will Howard Longest Completion Over 44.5 Yards (-115)

Howard has connected on at least one pass of 45+ yards in five games this season. With dynamic receivers like Smith and Emeka Egbuka at his disposal, and facing a Purdue defense that has allowed more 40+ yard plays than any other Big Ten team, this prop is great value.

Ohio State vs Purdue Odds

The oddsmakers have installed Ohio State as a massive favorite in this Big Ten clash. The Buckeyes are laying 38 points, with moneyline odds of -10000. Purdue finds itself as a substantial underdog with moneyline odds of +1325.

The over/under opened at 54 points but has settled at 53.5, meaning bettors expect a relatively controlled game by Ohio State standards.

Odds as of Nov. 8, 2024 at BetMGM. Browse the top college football betting apps for Ohio State vs Purdue.

The lopsided odds reflect Ohio State’s dominance (37.8 ppg) and Purdue’s struggles (20.3 ppg). The Buckeyes’ elite defense, allowing just 12 points per game, poses a major challenge for a Purdue offense that ranks 124th nationally in scoring.

Ohio State vs Purdue Injury Report

The most notable injury situation heading into this Big Ten clash involves Ohio State offensive lineman Josh Simmons, who has been ruled out. Offensive lineman Zen Michalski is questionable.

For Purdue, wide receiver De’Nylon Morrissette and tight end George Burhenn are questionable to play. The Boilermakers are also monitoring the status of wide receiver Jayden Dixon-Veal.

Ohio State and Purdue are set to face off in a highly anticipated Big Ten football matchup, with both teams looking to secure a crucial win in conference play. As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike are eager to see how the odds and player props stack up for this exciting showdown.

In terms of predictions, Ohio State comes into this game as the heavy favorite, boasting a talented roster led by star quarterback Justin Fields. The Buckeyes have been dominant all season, with an explosive offense that ranks among the best in the nation. On the other hand, Purdue has struggled at times this season, but they have shown flashes of potential and could pose a challenge to Ohio State if they can put together a complete performance.

When it comes to player props, all eyes will be on Fields as he looks to continue his stellar play and lead Ohio State to victory. Bettors may want to keep an eye on Fields’ passing yards and touchdown totals, as he has the ability to put up big numbers against any defense. Additionally, running back Master Teague III could be a key player to watch for Ohio State, as he has been a consistent contributor in the rushing game all season.

On the Purdue side, quarterback Aidan O’Connell will be tasked with leading the offense against a tough Ohio State defense. O’Connell has shown promise this season and could be a player to watch in terms of passing yards and touchdown totals. Running back Zander Horvath could also play a key role for Purdue, as he has the ability to make plays both on the ground and through the air.

In terms of odds, Ohio State is currently favored by a significant margin, with many sportsbooks listing them as double-digit favorites. Bettors may want to consider taking the Buckeyes against the spread or on the moneyline, as they have been dominant all season and have the talent to blow out Purdue. However, Purdue could still pull off an upset if they can put together a strong performance and catch Ohio State off guard.

Overall, the Ohio State vs Purdue matchup promises to be an exciting and competitive game with plenty of betting opportunities for fans. Whether you’re looking to make predictions, bet on player props, or wager on the odds, this game is sure to provide plenty of excitement for college football fans everywhere.