Predictions, Picks, and Spread for Georgia vs Auburn Game on Saturday, October 5th

• #5 Georgia is a 24.5-point favorite over Auburn in Week 6 College Football action on Saturday, October 5
• The Tigers rank 75th nationally in EPA/Play on offense
• Check out the latest Auburn vs Georgia Prediction, Picks and Spread below

Heading into Week 6, #5 Georgia (3-1, 1-1 SEC) finds themselves in an unfamiliar position. Trying to bounce back from a regular season loss. The Bulldogs suffered their first regular season defeat since 2020 last week versus Alabama, and will now look to take out their frustrations on storied rival Auburn (2-3, 0-2 SEC).

The SEC foes meet Saturday afternoon, and oddsmakers don’t expect Georgia to break a sweat. The Bulldogs are massive favorites in the College Football odds, as they look for an 8th straight win over the Tigers.

Auburn vs Georgia Odds

Georgia is currently a 24.5-point favorite, in a contest with a total of 52.5. At that spread, 56% of the tickets and 63% of the handle is on Auburn, while 91% of all money wagered on the total is backing the over.

Kickoff is slated for 3:30 pm ET at Sanford Stadium, in Athens, GA, with ABC and ESPN+ providing the broadcast coverage.

Odds as of October 3 (11am ET) at Caesars Sportsbooks. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 6 College Football matchup.

Bulldogs Look to Avoid Another Slow Start

Slow starts have plagued the Bulldogs this season, and last week was no exception. They were outscored 30-7 in the opening half, committing two turnovers and surrendering a safety in their first six drives.

Georgia eventually rallied to take an improbable lead, but Carson Beck looked nothing like a preseason Heisman Trophy odds favorite. Sure, he passed for 439 yards, but he turned the ball over four times, including a backbreaking interception late.

Georgia Defense gets a stop

Carson Beck pic.twitter.com/gWjjelbdhY

— Pardon My Take (@PardonMyTake) September 29, 2024

If you throw out their blowout win over FCS Tennessee Tech, Georgia has been outscored 36-16 in the first half. They’ll need to clean that up to remain a contender in the College Football Playoff odds, and this could be the matchup they’ve been waiting for.

Auburn ranks 90th defensively in expected points added (EPA) per play. They’re 0-3 versus Power 4 opponents, losing by at least six points in each outing. The Tigers’ pass rush is middling, and they struggle to force turnovers.

That spells trouble against Beck, who has massive splits with and without pressure. When kept clean, he’s completing 66% of his throws, averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. Under duress, his completion percentage dips to 35%, and his yards per attempt craters to 3.9.

Tigers a Mess Offensively

They say if you have two quarterbacks, you really don’t have one. Auburn has gone back and forth between Payton Thorne and Hank Brown, but neither has seized the opportunity. Thorne will start on Saturday despite his turnover woes. He’s thrown six interceptions in his last three starts while absorbing nine sacks.

Payton Thorne Last Three Starts

Auburns’s offense ranks 75th in EPA/Play, ahead of only Mississippi State among SEC teams. They’re averaging 24 points per game, but that number is misleading thanks to a 73-3 drubbing of Alabama A&M. In three matchups versus Power 4 schools it’s been a different story.

They’ve yet to clear 21 points in those outings. They’ve been held to two touchdowns or less twice, despite not playing a defense in the same tier as Georgia. The Bulldogs defense coughed up a ton of production last week to Alabama, but in the weeks prior it was a different story.

Prior to Week 5, they’d allowed only two plays of 20+ yards. Expect them to get back on track versus Auburn, and force multiple turnovers along the way.

Auburn vs Georgia Prediction

Laying 24.5 points with Georgia is uncomfortable right now. On the other hand, relying on Auburn to keep the contest close is also hard to stomach.

The unit we should feel the worst about is the Tigers offense. They’re inefficient, turnover-prone, and without a true number one QB. If we’re banking on the Bulldogs defense to bounce back, and look like the unit that didn’t allow a touchdown through three games, we should be all over the under on Auburn’s team total.

That number currently sits at 13.5. We can get plus-money on the under, and that is a screaming value given how they’ve performed and their opponent.

• Auburn Under 13.5 Points (+102)

The highly anticipated matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Auburn Tigers is set to take place on Saturday, October 5th. Both teams are coming off impressive wins and are looking to continue their success in this crucial SEC showdown.

Georgia, currently ranked as the number three team in the country, has been dominant so far this season. Led by quarterback Jake Fromm and a stout defense, the Bulldogs have outscored their opponents by an average of 30 points per game. Their offense has been clicking on all cylinders, while their defense has been suffocating opposing offenses.

On the other hand, Auburn has also been impressive this season, with their only loss coming against a tough Florida team. Quarterback Bo Nix has shown flashes of brilliance, and the Tigers’ defense has been one of the best in the country. They will look to pull off the upset against Georgia and make a statement in the SEC.

In terms of predictions, this game is shaping up to be a close one. Both teams have strong defenses and capable offenses, making it difficult to predict a clear winner. However, Georgia’s experience and talent give them a slight edge in this matchup. Look for Jake Fromm to lead the Bulldogs to a hard-fought victory over Auburn.

As for the spread, Georgia is currently favored by 7 points. While this may seem like a large margin for such a competitive game, the Bulldogs have the talent and depth to cover the spread. Expect Georgia to win by at least 10 points and improve their record to 6-0 on the season.

Overall, this game has all the makings of a classic SEC showdown. With two talented teams battling it out on the field, fans can expect a thrilling game with plenty of excitement. Georgia vs Auburn is sure to be a game that college football fans won’t want to miss.