- The Golden State Warriors are 4.5-point road favorites when they visit the Miami Heat on March 25
- It’s the first meeting between Jimmy Butler and Miami since he was dealt around the trade deadline
- See my Warriors vs Heat predictions, player props, and odds on March 24
It’s the first matchup after the messy breakup, as Jimmy Butler and his new squad, the Golden State Warriors (41-30, 18-16 away) visit his former squad, the Miami Heat (30-41, 16-19 home). Only a weak East has Miami in the 10th and final play-in spot as they’ve struggled badly post-Butler, just ending a 10-game losing streak. It’s been all good in the Bay, though, as Golden State has vaulted into a top-six spot in the West, which would guarantee a playoff berth.
The Heat’s recent struggles rightly have them as the home dogs in Monday’s NBA odds when this one tips off from the Kaseya Center in Miami on Tuesday at 7:30pm ET, with TNT carrying the broadcast.
Warriors vs Heat Odds
The Warriors are 4.5-point road favorites, and a short -198 on the moneyline. Miami is a +166 underdog on the moneyline, and the total comes in at 217 points. The Warriors and Heat have gone Under the total in four straight head-to-head matchups.
Odds as of March 24 at FanDuel. Be sure to check out the best FanDuel promo code before placing a bet on any NBA game on Tuesday night.
This matchup will definitely lose some of its flair if Golden State superstar Steph Curry (pelvis) can’t go. He missed the Dubs’ 124-115 loss in Atlanta last time out. Curry is listed as questionable on Tuesday.
Miami’s got some sharpshooter worries as well. Duncan Robinson (back) is listed as questionable against the Warriors. Nikola Jovic (hand) won’t need surgery, but he doesn’t appear to be ready for game action anytime soon.
GSW vs MIA Player Props
NBA player props from DraftKings on March 24.
If Curry is a go, he’s tied for the highest scoring prop of 22.5 points with Miami’s Tyler Herro. Curry has been silent on the scoring front of late, going Under his scoring line in three of his last four. Herro, meanwhile, is coming off a 29-point effort in the win over Charlotte, the second time in three games he’s gone for 29 points.
Butler is the center of attention here, and is listed at 20.5 points for Tuesday. He’s led the Warriors in scoring in three of the last four games, and has been the top assist man for the Dubs in six of the last seven, picking up at least seven assists in those games — making his dime prop of 6.5 very appealing.
Andrew Wiggins might be hitting the right hot streak as he faces his former team. The Canadian went for 42 against the Hornets, a game after dropping 30 on the Rockets, leading the team in scoring both nights. His total against the Warriors is 21.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Picks
- Warriors vs Heat pick: Warriors -4.5 (-110)
- Heat vs Knicks prop bet: Butler Over 6.5 assists (-125)
It’s gone about as good as it can go for the Dubs since dealing for Butler, as they’ve won 16 of 20 games and climbed into a Top 6 seed in the West.
They have the third-best record in the league during that time, and it hasn’t all been offense, though they do sit 10th in scoring at 118.1 points per game.
The Warriors are just inside the Top 20 in field goal shooting, and outside the Top 10 in 3-point accuracy, but they are tied for the league lead in assists at 30.4 per contest.
At the same time, Golden State has found its defensive form in these 20 games, holding teams to 108.5 points. Only the Celtics and Magic have been stingier. Miami’s outlook hasn’t been as great since its breakup with Butler. The Heat just endured a 10-game losing slide, finally breaking it with a win over the Hornets last time out.
Getting buckets has been tough: over the last 11 games, the Heat are dead last in NBA scoring at 103.3 points per game, including a rough 34.4% clip from 3-point range, which ranks 26th in the league.
They’re also dead last on the glass, and are third-worst in offensive rebounding, at 8.4 per game during this slide.
Miami has won three of four against the Warriors, and will look for a two-game regular-season series sweep with a win Tuesday.
The Warriors have not been a great cover team of late, going 3-6-1 against the spread over the last 10. The Heat may be 1-9 straight up, but they have covered each of the last three contests, twice as an underdog.
I’m writing this on the assumption that Curry plays, and why I like the Dubs to take this one. Butler has morphed into a Pippen 2.0, doing everything that needs to be done, all while letting Curry shine with his daggers all over the court.
GState is also one of the best bounce back teams in the league, going 18-10-1 ATS after a loss. Compare that to Miami going 11-18-0 ATS after a win, and the signs are pointing to a good night for Butler and the Warriors.
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The Golden State Warriors will face off against the Miami Heat on March 25th in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. As fans gear up for the game, many are looking to make predictions, picks, and player props to target for this highly anticipated showdown.
One player to keep an eye on for the Warriors is Stephen Curry. The sharpshooting guard has been on fire this season, averaging over 30 points per game and leading the league in three-point shooting. Curry’s ability to score from anywhere on the court makes him a dangerous threat for any opposing team, and he will likely be a key player to watch in this game.
On the other side of the court, the Miami Heat will be looking to their star player, Jimmy Butler, to lead them to victory. Butler is known for his tenacity on defense and his ability to score in clutch situations. He will be a tough matchup for the Warriors’ defense, and his performance could be a deciding factor in the outcome of the game.
When making predictions and picks for this game, it’s important to consider factors such as each team’s recent performance, injuries, and head-to-head matchups. The Warriors have been playing well as of late, winning seven of their last ten games, while the Heat have struggled with consistency, losing five of their last ten.
In terms of player props to target, one option could be to bet on Curry scoring over a certain number of points. Given his scoring ability and the likelihood that he will be a focal point of the Warriors’ offense, this could be a safe bet. Another option could be to bet on Butler recording a double-double, as he is known for his all-around game and ability to contribute in multiple ways.
Ultimately, predicting the outcome of this game will come down to a combination of research, analysis, and a bit of luck. Both teams have talented rosters and are capable of putting up big numbers, so it should be an exciting matchup for fans to watch. As the Warriors and Heat prepare to face off on March 25th, fans can look forward to a high-energy game with plenty of scoring and excitement.