Predictions, Picks, and Odds for the American Express PGA Tournament in 2025

• The American Express from La Quinta, California, tees off Thursday, January 16th
• Xander Schauffele is the +700 favorite to win over Justin Thomas
• See the 2025 The American Express odds, picks, and best value bets below

The third PGA Tour event of the 2025 calendar heads to the mainland, after the first two were contested in Hawaii. It’s The American Express from La Quinta, California, where last year, Nick Dunlap became the first amateur to win on the main circuit since Phil Mickelson in 1991. Headlining the field is two-time major-winner in 2024 Xander Schauffele, along with two-time PGA Champion Justin Thomas, who has been knocking on the door of late to get back into the winners circle. Going low is imperative for success at this event that uses three courses, with 17 straight and 31 of the last 32 players shooting at least 20-under-par en route to the title.

The American Express Odds 2025

The betting favorite is Xander Schauffele, who not only won a pair of majors in 2024, but has finished tied for third as this tournament the last two years. He’s followed closely by Justin Thomas, who had a runner-up and a third place showing to end last year. Sungjae Im, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns round out the top-five.

Odds as of Jan 13 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on The American Express. 

Patrick Fishburn Knocking on the Door

Patrick Fishburn had a very successful rookie campaign in 2024, posting a pair of third place results and five top-10s. He’s also been very strong of late, with a T-12 at the World Wide Technology Championship, a T-8 at the RSM Classic, and a T-6 at last weeks Sony Open in Hawaii, where he entered the final round just one shot off the lead.

Past Five The American Express Winners

This tournament has produced shocking winners in recent memory, with last year amateur (at the time) Nick Dunlap going off at +40000 pre-event, Adam Long +60000 in 2019, and Andrew Landry (2020) and Hudson Swafford (2022) +20000 pre-tourney. While Fishburn doesn’t present quite of juicy longshot odds to claim the trophy, he still has value at +5000, given how well he’s been playing of late, and his strong rookie showing.

The American Express 2025 Predictions, Picks and Value Bets

1. Adam Hadwin (+7000): Adam Hadwin will look to make it back-to-back Canadians to win on tour, after Nick Taylor. He’s done everything but win this tournament in the past, with five top-sixes, including one last year. He also had a three-year stretch of going runner-up, tied third, tied second at the AmEx.
2. Lee Hodges (+9000): Still chasing the dominance that led to a seven stroke victory at the 2023 3M Open, Lee Hodges has quietly had a string of strong performances, with three top-10s and four top-20s in his last five starts. In 2022, he was the 54-hole co-leader at this event, before winding up in a tie for third.
3. Michael Kim (+10000): Another player determined to get his second victory after a run-away title, Michael Kim won the 2018 John Deere Classic by eight shots. With a super low score needed to win, his 4.36 birdies per round average in 2024 ranked eighth, which will serve him well. He was T-6th here in 2024, and has three top-12s in the last five times teeing it up.

The American Express PGA Tournament is one of the most highly anticipated events on the golfing calendar, attracting top players from around the world to compete for a prestigious title and a hefty prize purse. As we look ahead to the 2025 edition of the tournament, fans and bettors alike are eager to see who will come out on top and take home the coveted trophy.

When it comes to making predictions for the American Express PGA Tournament, it’s always a bit of a challenge given the unpredictable nature of golf. However, there are a few players who have consistently performed well at this event in the past and are likely to be strong contenders in 2025.

One player to keep an eye on is Jordan Spieth. The former world number one has had a bit of a resurgence in recent years and has shown that he still has what it takes to compete at the highest level. With his strong iron play and putting prowess, Spieth could be a force to be reckoned with at the American Express PGA Tournament.

Another player to watch is Justin Thomas. The young American has already established himself as one of the top players in the world and has a solid track record at this event. With his powerful driving and accurate iron play, Thomas has the game to excel on the challenging courses typically used for the American Express PGA Tournament.

Of course, no discussion of potential winners would be complete without mentioning Rory McIlroy. The Northern Irishman is a four-time major champion and has proven time and time again that he has the talent and mental fortitude to win on the biggest stages. If McIlroy can find his putting stroke and keep his ball-striking sharp, he could very well be lifting the trophy at the American Express PGA Tournament in 2025.

When it comes to making picks for the tournament, it’s always important to consider the odds offered by bookmakers. While favorites like Spieth, Thomas, and McIlroy are likely to have relatively short odds, there may be some value to be found in backing a dark horse or two.

Ultimately, predicting the outcome of a golf tournament is never an exact science, but by considering factors like past performance, current form, and course suitability, fans and bettors can make informed decisions when it comes to picking a winner for the American Express PGA Tournament in 2025. Regardless of who ultimately emerges victorious, one thing is for certain – it’s sure to be an exciting and memorable event for players and fans alike.