Predictions, Picks, and Odds for Canada vs Finland in the 4 Nations Tournament on Monday, February 17th

• Canada faces Finland in the 4 Nations Face-off on Monday afternoon
• The latest 4 Nations odds favor the red and white, with a finals berth at stake
• Read below for Canada vs Finland prediction, picks & odds for Feb. 17

Win and survive. That’s the motto for both Canada and Finland heading into their 4 Nations showdown on Monday. Both squads are coming off crushing defeats and need to win to keep their championship aspirations alive.

The 4 Nations odds for Monday price Canada as the strong favorites to win in regulation and set up a championship rematch with the Americans. The pesky Finns are notable moneyline underdogs, with the over/under listed at 6.5.

Here is our Canada vs Finland prediction, along with the latest Monday 4 Nations odds.

Canada vs Finland Prediction

• Under 6.5 Goals (-135 at Bet365)

Oddsmakers are ready to crown Canada the winners of this one, setting them as massive favorites over the Finns. This would set up a highly anticipated rematch with USA in the Finals.

While I get why Canada is a heavy favorite, I’m a bit hesitant to lay the juice here. Goalie Jordan Binnington has posted a lackluster .896 save percentage in this tournament, allowing 0.54 goals saved above expected vs. USA.

Canada may opt to start Adin Hill, but even then, you are betting on a goalie who hasn’t started in over a week. The Finns, meanwhile, have pivoted to Kevin Lankinen in net. While he gave up 4 against Sweden, he’s been quite reliable for Vancouver with a .905 save percentage in 32 games played.

I’m looking to the Under in this game, with five of the last seven Finland-Canada games across tournaments coming under 5 total goals. Canada’s defense should also get a boost with Cale Makar expected to return from an illness that kept him out Saturday.

Finland’s top center, Aleksander Barkov, has experience matching up against Canada’s top gun, Connor McDavid. The perennial Selke contender will be the key to ensuring McDavid doesn’t have a breakout game. The reigning NHL MVP has been held to only one goal and one assist so far.

It’s risky betting on the Under in a game featuring explosive playmakers like McDavid and Sidney Crosby. However, elimination games tend to be tighter-checking, with both teams not wanting to take risks. The Americans held Canada to just a single goal, and the Finns did a good job bottling up USA’s offense through 2 periods, before the floodgates opened.

Canada vs Finland Odds

Canada enters as substantial -400 road favorites on the moneyline, meaning you’d need to risk $400 to win $100 if the Canadians emerge victorious. Finland sits as +320 underdogs, offering a potential $320 return on a $100 wager.

The puck line has Canada priced at -165 to cover the -1.5 goals and win by two or more. Finland is available at +145 to either win outright or lose by just one goal – a $100 bet would return $145 if successful.

The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the under favored at -135 and the over available at +115. The juice suggests oddsmakers expect a relatively tight, defensive contest despite Canada’s high-powered offense.

Odds courtesy of Bet365 as of February 16, 2025. Bet on Canada-Finland with the Bet365 bonus code.

What’s at Stake

After falling to Team USA 3-1 in Montreal, Canada faces a must-win scenario in this elimination match at TD Garden. The formula is simple – Canada must defeat Finland in regulation to advance to Wednesday’s championship game and set up a potential rematch with the Americans.

As Connor McDavid put it: “It’s kind of like a Game 7. A lot of guys in this room have been in that situation before. Got to get a win.”

Finland finds themselves in the same do-or-die position after rebounding from a 6-1 loss to the U.S. with a 4-3 overtime victory against Sweden.

Despite missing key defensemen Miro Heiskanen and Rasmus Ristolainen, the Finns have shown resilience with Lankinen stepping up in net after replacing Juuse Saros. Like Canada, they’ll need a regulation win to keep their championship hopes alive.

The 4 Nations Tournament is set to showcase an exciting matchup between Canada and Finland on Monday, February 17th. Both teams have a strong history in international hockey and are expected to put on a thrilling display of skill and talent.

Canada comes into the tournament as the defending champions, having won the gold medal in last year’s competition. Led by a roster filled with NHL talent, including the likes of Connor McDavid, Sidney Crosby, and Carey Price, Canada will be looking to continue their dominance on the international stage.

On the other hand, Finland is known for their strong defensive play and disciplined style of hockey. With players such as Mikko Rantanen, Patrik Laine, and Tuukka Rask leading the way, Finland will be a tough opponent for Canada to overcome.

In terms of predictions, this matchup is expected to be a close one. Both teams have the talent and experience to come out on top, making it difficult to predict a clear winner. However, Canada’s offensive firepower may give them the edge in this game, as they have the ability to score goals in bunches.

As for picks, Canada is the slight favorite to win this game. With their depth and skill up front, they have the potential to outscore Finland and come away with the victory. However, Finland’s strong defensive play could make it a low-scoring affair, with the outcome potentially being decided by a single goal.

In terms of odds, Canada is currently listed as the favorite to win this game. The odds may fluctuate leading up to the matchup, so it’s important to keep an eye on any changes. Bettors looking to place a wager on this game should consider factors such as recent form, injuries, and head-to-head matchups when making their decision.

Overall, the Canada vs Finland matchup in the 4 Nations Tournament is shaping up to be an exciting and competitive game. Both teams have the talent and skill to come out on top, making it a must-watch for hockey fans around the world. Be sure to tune in on Monday, February 17th to see which team will emerge victorious in this highly anticipated showdown.