- We’ve made our Rice vs Memphis prediction for Friday night AAC action
- The Tigers are 7-point home favorites after opening at -9.5
- Read below for Rice vs Memphis prediction, pick and betting analysis
The Rice Owls (3-6, 2-3 AAC) fly into the Liberty Bowl to face the Memphis Tigers (7-2, 3-2 AAC) in an American Athletic Conference showdown on Friday, November 8. This primetime matchup kicks off at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2, and could shake up the AAC standings.
Memphis opened as a 9.5-point home favorite, but the line has since dipped to 7, suggesting some intriguing betting market dynamics at play. The over/under set at 50.5 points for a game featung Memphis talented pivot Seth Henigan.
The Tigers need a win to keep their AAC title game hopes alive, while the Owls look to play spoiler and build off last week’s big upset victory.
Rice vs Memphis Prediction
Rice is riding high after shocking Navy 24-10 as 13-point home underdogs last week. It was an impressive debut for interim head coach Pete Alamar, who took the reins after Mike Bloomgren’s firing on October 27.
The Owls’ defense rose to the occasion, holding Navy’s triple-option attack to just 140 rushing yards. QB E.J. Warner returned from injury to throw for 239 yards and a TD. Rice has now covered in 3 of their last 4.
On the other sideline, Memphis is reeling after a deflating 44-36 loss at UTSA as 7-point road favorites. QB Seth Henigan did his part, throwing for 454 yards and 4 TDs, but the Tigers’ defense couldn’t get stops when it mattered most.
Memphis has now surrendered 40+ points in 3 of its last 5 games and is a dismal 1-5 ATS in its last 6 overall. It’s not heard to see why sharps are hammering the other side in the CFB public betting trends.
Toe tap 👟@seth_henigan x @kobydrake_53 #ALLIN | #GoTigersGo pic.twitter.com/4WAPtcK5p1
— Memphis Football (@MemphisFB) November 6, 2024
The key matchup to watch? Memphis’ high-flying passing game (282.9 ypg, 21st in FBS) against Rice’s stingy pass defense (159.2 ypg allowed, 7th in FBS). If the Owls can ground the Tigers’ aerial attack, this one could come down to the wire.
I predict Memphis to come away with the W, but laying 8.5 points is a tall order given the Tigers’ recent ATS struggles and potential for a post-UTSA hangover. Expect Rice’s defense to do just enough to secure the cover. Take Rice 7.
- Pick: Rice +7 (-110)
Rice vs Memphis Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Rice | +7 (-110) | +240 | Over 50.5 (-110) |
Memphis | -7 (-110) | -300 | Under 50.5 (-110) |
Odds as of November 8, at ESPN Bet. Check out ESPN Bet reviews or browse other top sports betting sites.
Currently, most sportsbooks have Memphis listed as a 7-point home favorite over Rice, with an over/under of 50.5. The -7 spread implies Memphis has about a 67.4% chance of winning by 9 or more.
The line movement from Memphis -9.5 to -7 is noteworthy, suggesting sharp bettors believe the Tigers are overvalued and the Owls undervalued. This likely stems from Memphis’ ATS woes (1-5 in last 6) and Rice’s new-coach bounce.
With Rice’s sturdy pass defense and Memphis’ recent defensive lapses, the 50.5-point total feels a tad inflated. Don’t be surprised if the under cashes, particularly if Rice can control the clock with its ground game.
Rice vs Memphis Head to Head
Rice and Memphis have met four times previously, with the series tied 2-2 both straight up and against the spread. The over/under is also an even 2-2.
Here’s a look at their historical meetings:
Date | Result | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Oct 6, 2012 | MEM 14-10 | MEM -5 | Under 60 |
Oct 8, 2011 | Rice 28-6 | Rice -20.5 | Under 58 |
Sep 6, 2008 | MEM 42-35 | Rice +2.5 | Over 65.5 |
Oct 20, 2007 | Rice 38-35 | MEM PK | Over 64.5 |
Their last encounter was over a decade ago in 2012, so there may not be a ton to glean from this head-to-head history. However, it’s worth noting that Rice has covered and won outright as an underdog in their past meetings.
Underdog Rice looks like a solid bet getting 8.5 points against a Memphis squad that has consistently failed to cover big numbers. Bank on the Owls’ pass defense keeping this one close in an entertaining AAC battle.
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The Rice Owls will face off against the Memphis Tigers on November 8th in what is expected to be an exciting college football matchup. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but they will be looking to come out on top in this game.
The Owls have had a tough season so far, with a record of 2-6. However, they have shown flashes of potential in some of their games and will be looking to put it all together against Memphis. Quarterback Wiley Green has shown some promise this season, throwing for 1,126 yards and 7 touchdowns. Running back Aston Walter has also been a bright spot for the Owls, rushing for 528 yards and 6 touchdowns.
On the other side, the Memphis Tigers have had a solid season with a record of 7-1. They are coming off a big win against SMU and will be looking to keep their momentum going against Rice. Quarterback Brady White has been impressive this season, throwing for 2,020 yards and 20 touchdowns. Running back Kenneth Gainwell has also been a key player for the Tigers, rushing for 1,067 yards and 12 touchdowns.
In terms of predictions for this game, it is likely that Memphis will come out on top. They have a more talented roster and have been playing at a higher level than Rice this season. The betting line currently favors Memphis by 21 points, which seems like a reasonable prediction given their recent performances.
Overall, this game should be an exciting matchup between two teams with different levels of success this season. While Rice will be looking to pull off an upset, Memphis is the clear favorite in this game. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out on November 8th.