Jun 3, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Milwaukee Brewers first base Rhys Hoskins (12) and Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto (10) share a laugh after Hoskins was tagged out at home during the fifth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
- The NL-leading Philadelphia Phillies can claim another series win with a victory over the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday
- The Phillies send Cristopher Sanchez to the mound while the Brewers role with Jared Koenig as an opener
- See the Brewers vs Phillies odds, predictions, picks and starting pitchers for June 4
After a rare home loss on Sunday to St Louis, the National League-leading Philadelphia Phillies (42-19, 25-9 home) – who are tied with the Yankees for the best record in baseball – got right back in the win column on Monday with a 3-1 victory in their series-opener with the Milwaukee Brewers (36-24, 18-14 away). For the game two of the three-game set, the Phillies send Cristopher Sanchez to the mound while the Brewers are likely to counter with a combination of opener Jared Koenig and “starter” Colin Rea.
First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 pm ET on Tuesday night and Philadelphia is a sizable home favorite in the Brewers vs Phillies odds.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers (Koenig/Rea) | +140 | +1.5 (-140) | O 9 (-100) |
| Philadelphia Phillies (Sanchez) | -165 | -1.5 (+118) | U 9 (-120) |
Philadelphia is a -165 home favorite on Tuesday with the Brewers coming back at +140. The odds give Philly a 62.26% implied win probability and the Brewers 41.67%. The over/under is sitting at nine even with the under favored at -120. Milwaukee has been the best over bet in baseball this season, going 34-23-3 over/under in its first 60 games. The Phillies are just 27-30-4 O/U, though.
Odds as of June 4 at Caesars. See the best sportsbook promotions to bet on Tuesday’s Brewers/Phillies game.
The Phillies have surged to third in the 2024 World Series odds at +588 on average, narrowly behind the second-favorite Yankees (+529) but still well back of the outright-favorite Dodgers (+285).
Despite leading the NL Central by seven games, the Brewers are not among the top-ten World Series favorites, currently sitting 11th at +3350.
Brewers vs Phillies Probable Pitchers for June 4
The starting-pitcher matchup on Tuesday appears to weigh in Philly’s favor. Koenig was an effective opener against the Phillies on Monday (no hits, no walks, three groundouts) but Rea is a low-strikeout, flyball pitcher whose style will be courting disaster at Citizens Bank Park, which is eighth in Park Factor this season and seventh in home runs conceded (113).
Rea was solid last time out (one run on five hits and a walk over 5.1 innings against the Cubs) but that came at home, where he has a 3.07 ERA. On the road, Rea’s ERA balloons to 4.45. While Rea has a solid 3.77 ERA his xERA is a concerning 5.45 and it’s just a matter of time before he suffers some regression.
His sample size against the Phillies hitters is limited. In 34 total at-bats, they are slashing just .147/.147/.412 but with three home runs (JT Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber, Nick Castellanos) and six RBI.
Colin Rea vs Cristopher Sanchez
| 4-2 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3.77 | ERA | 2.83 |
| 5.45 | xERA | 3.79 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 1.39 |
| 16.2% | K% | 21.5% |
The 27-year-old Sanchez has been solid in his third campaign with the Phillies. A groundball pitcher who uses his 94 mph sinker 47% of the time, Sanchez is the exact type of pitcher you want in the home-run friendly Citizens Bank Park. Like Rea, his home/road splits are quite stark and skew heavily in favor of home. Sanchez has a sparkling 2.03 ERA in 31.0 at home this season and a 3.68 ERA in 29.1 innings on the road.
Sanches is also coming off his best outing of the season, going six scoreless innings against the Giants, allowing just four hits and a walk with seven strikeouts.
Sanchez has faced the Brewers twice before, once last year as a starter and once in 2022 as a reliever. Neither performance was terribly encouraging. He allowed three runs (though only one earned) on six hits and a walk over 5.0 innings last season in a 5-3 loss. The year prior, he gave up one run on one hit and a walk over 2.1 innings in relief of Zach Wheeler.
Milwaukee’s current lineup is slashing .412/.444/.706 off Sanchez, but that’s over just 17 at-bats. Gary Sanchez has the lone home run.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies aren’t just the best team in the NL this year, they also have the best run differential (+100) and by far the best record at home (25-9). Only one other team in the National League has more than 19 wins at home (Dodgers, 21).
Koenig might do his job in the first inning again, but I expect the Phillies to feast on Rea when he enters the game. With Milwaukee sitting second in baseball (to the Phillies) in runs scored, I have a slight lean to the over in Tuesday’s game, but my favorite pick of the day is just the Phillies moneyline at -165.
MIL vs PHI picks for June 4: Phillies moneyline (-165)
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB betting record: 17-13 (-0.02 units)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
The Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on June 4th in what is expected to be an exciting matchup between two competitive teams. Both teams have had solid starts to the season and will be looking to continue their success in this game.
The Brewers will have Brandon Woodruff on the mound as their starting pitcher. Woodruff has been one of the top pitchers in the league this season, boasting a 4-2 record with a 1.27 ERA. He has been dominant on the mound, striking out batters at a high rate and limiting runs scored against him. Woodruff will look to continue his strong performance and lead the Brewers to victory in this game.
On the other side, the Phillies will have Aaron Nola as their starting pitcher. Nola has also had a solid season so far, with a 3-4 record and a 3.72 ERA. He has been a reliable starter for the Phillies, consistently pitching deep into games and giving his team a chance to win. Nola will be looking to shut down the Brewers’ offense and help his team come out on top in this matchup.
In terms of predictions and odds for this game, it is expected to be a close contest between two evenly matched teams. The Brewers are currently slight favorites to win, with odds of -120, while the Phillies are underdogs with odds of +110. Both teams have strong lineups and pitching staffs, so it could go either way.
Overall, this game is shaping up to be an exciting matchup between two competitive teams. With Woodruff and Nola on the mound, fans can expect a pitching duel with plenty of action on both sides. It will be interesting to see which team comes out on top in this game and continues their success in the season.
