Jun 9, 2024; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Rays first baseman Yandy Diaz (2) tags out Baltimore Orioles second baseman Jordan Westburg (11) in the fourth inning at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
- The Orioles aim for a four-game sweep of the Rays in Tampa Bay on Monday, June 10
- Baltimore sends ace Corbin Burnes to the mound opposite Ryan Pepiot for Tampa
- Below, see the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays odds, predictions, and starting pitcher stats
The Baltimore Orioles (42-22, 21-10 away) can complete a dominant four-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays (31-34, 17-21 home) on Monday at Tropicana Field (first pitch at 6:50 pm ET).
After winning each of the first three games of the series by at least three runs – and a combined score of 20-5 – the O’s are -148 road favorites in the finale behind ace Corbin Burnes.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles (Burnes) | -148 | -1.5 (+114) | O 7.5 (-102) |
| Tampa Bay Rays (Pepiot) | +124 | +1.5 (-135) | U 7.5 (-118) |
The Rays come back at +124 to end their three-game skid while the game total is sitting at just 7.5 with the under favored at -118. Baltimore is also a +114 bet to win by multiple runs (again); Tampa is -135 to keep the score within a run in Monday’s MLB odds.
Odds as of June 10. Lock in a Fanatics Sportsbook promo to bet Orioles vs Rays on Monday.
The Orioles continue to trail the Yankees by two games in the AL East and have faded to +300 in the MLB division odds. Tampa, deadlast in the AL East and already 14 games behind the Pinstripes, are now a +17000 longshot to win the division.
Baltimore Dominating Tampa This Season
With the trio of lopsided victories from Friday to Sunday, the Orioles are now 5-1 against the Rays this season with all five victories coming by multiple runs and the lone setback a 4-3 defeat in which they blew a 3-0 lead over the final five innings.
Baltimore currently sits first in the MLB in team slugging (.452) and third in both wOBA (.331) and wRC+ (118). The Rays are below league-average in almost every hitting category, sitting 25th in wOBA at .294 and 21st in wRC+ at 95.
Unlike in recent years, Tampa’s pitching staff hasn’t been its saving grace. The team currently sits 24th in the MLB in runs allowed (315) and 19th in xFIP (4.10). The O’s are third in the league in runs allowed (230) and 11th in team xFIP (3.88). Their +101 run differential trails only the Yankees and Dodgers, while Tampa’s -62 mark is the fifth-worst in all of baseball.
Corbin Burnes vs Ryan Pepiot
| 6-2 | Record | 4-2 |
| 2.26 | ERA | 3.96 |
| 2.75 | xERA | 2.88 |
| 1.02 | WHIP | 0.96 |
| 24.2% | K% | 28.9% |
The starting pitching matchup on Monday night is as good as it gets. The Orioles have unbeaten ace Corbin Burnes on the mound, and the former Brewers has been lights-out in his last two outings, going 14.0 innings while allowing just a single earned run on seven hits and four walks. This will be Burnes’ first start of the year against Tampa and there is very little history between him and the Rays batters: Tampa’s lineup is batting .200 with a .500 OPS in just ten total at-bats.
Ryan Pepiot has been one of the few bright spots for the Rays this season. Though he’s sporting a mediocre 3.96 ERA, his xERA is a superb 2.88 and his WHIP is under one (0.96), while his K-rate is near the top of the league at 28.9%.
That said, he was better at the start of the season than he has been lately. Pepiot has allowed 11 earned runs in total in just 17.2 innings over his last four starts with a 1.154 WHIP in that stretch. This will be Pepiot’s first career start against the Orioles and the former Dodger has never faced any of the hitters in Baltimore’s current lineup.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
The 26-year-old Pepiot has a ton of arm talent, and he’s raised his average fastball velocity from 94.0 last year to 94.8 this season, but he’s also been trending down over his last four starts, and those were against significantly worse lineups than the one he’ll see on Monday (Marlins, Athletics, Red Sox, Mets).
On the other side, Burnes has regained the Cy Young-caliber form he had early in the season for the O’s – and he’s a close second to Tarik Skubal in the Cy Young odds as a result. It’s difficult to see the finale of this series going much different than the first three games, and I expect the Baltimore lineup, which has scored 20 runs over the last three games, to continue mashing.
BAL vs TB picks:
- Orioles -1.5 (+114)
- Pepiot under 15.5 outs recorded (+105)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
The Baltimore Orioles will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on June 10th in what is sure to be an exciting matchup. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, but there are some key predictions, odds, and player props to keep an eye on for this game.
First off, the odds for this game are likely to favor the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays have been playing solid baseball this season and currently sit near the top of the American League East standings. On the other hand, the Orioles have struggled at times and are currently near the bottom of the division. This means that the Rays are likely to be the favorites heading into this game.
As for player props to target, one player to keep an eye on is Rays outfielder Randy Arozarena. Arozarena has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball this season and has been a key contributor to the Rays’ success. Look for him to potentially have a big game against the Orioles pitching staff.
On the Orioles side, outfielder Cedric Mullins has been a bright spot for the team this season. Mullins has been hitting for average and showing some power at the plate. He could be a player to target for player props in this game.
In terms of predictions, it’s likely that this game will be a close one. Both teams have shown that they can compete with some of the best teams in the league, so expect a competitive matchup between these two division rivals.
Overall, the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays game on June 10th is shaping up to be an intriguing matchup. Keep an eye on the odds, player props, and predictions for this game to make the most out of your betting experience.
