Predictions, Odds, and Picks for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open

  • The Farmers Insurance Open from La Jolla, California, tees off Wednesday, January 22nd
  • Hideki Matsuyama and Ludvig Aberg are +1000 co-favorites to win the title
  • See the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds, picks, and best value bets below

After Sepp Straka won his third event at The American Express, the PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open. Of note, this tournament begins a day earlier than typical tournaments on Wednesday, so it can conclude Saturday to avoid the NFL’s Championship games Sunday. The first two rounds see the field competing on the North and South courses, and those who make the cut play the final two rounds on the much more difficult South track. This event used to be Tiger Woods’ personal playground, but the quality of the field isn’t what it once was in 2025.

Farmers Insurance Open Odds 2025

Golfers DraftKings Odds BetMGM Odds
Hideki Matsuyama +1000 +1200
Ludvig Aberg +1000 +1200
Sungjae Im +2000 +1900
Tony Finau +2000 +2300
Keegan Bradley +2200 +2300
Will Zalatoris +2500 +2600
Max Greyserman +2500 +2600
Jason Day +2800 +2600
Shane Lowry +3000 +3400
Sahith Theegala +3000 +3400
Maverick McNealy +3000 +3400
Max Homa +3500 +3400
Taylor Pendrith +3500 +3400
Kurt Kitayama +3500 +4100
Luke Clanton +4000 +4100
Si Woo Kim +4000 +4600
Akshay Bhatia +4500 +4100
Aaron Rai +5000 +4100
Ben Griffin +5000 +4600
Beau Hossler +5000 +5100

Two big names that were expected to compete won’t be at Torrey Pines, including local favorite and two-time major winner in 2024 Xander Schauffele and another two-time major champ in Collin Morikawa. Scottie Scheffler (hand) still hasn’t teed it up in 2025. Hideki Matsuyama, who won the season opener at the Sentry, is +1000 co-favorite with rising star Ludvig Aberg. They’re the only two players in the top-ten of the world rankings teeing it up.

Odds updated Jan 20 at DraftKings and BetMGM. Claim a BetMGM promo code to bet on Farmers Insurance Open. 

Stephan Jaeger Out to Avenge Loss Last Year

Stephan Jaeger found himself straight in the mix at the Farmers Insurance Open in 2024, as he was the 54-hole leader. He eventually wound up in a tie for third, as he was unable to secure his first PGA Tour victory. He claimed that elusive title a few months later at the Houston Open, clipping Scottie Scheffler by one stroke.

Past Five Farmers Insurance Open Winners

Year Winner
2024 Matthieu Pavon
2023 Max Homa
2022 Luke List
2021 Patrick Reed
2020 Marc Leishman

Not only was he close here a year ago, Jaeger very nearly won his last time teeing it up at the Sony Open, finishing one shot out of a playoff. Just three times before that, the German found himself as the runner-up at the Black Desert Championship. Because he’s not a household name, his odds are higher than what they should be, and at +6000 over at DraftKings, you can get him at tremendous value.

Farmers Insurance Open 2025 Predictions, Picks and Value Bets

  1. Patrick Rodgers (+7500): Patrick Rodgers has done everything but win on the main circuit with four career runner-ups, but the former amateur world #1 seems destined to finally get it done at some point. These are intriguing odds, given that he’s he’s posted three top-10s at this championship, including a T-9th last year, and ended 2024 with four top-25s in five tournaments.
  2. Justin Lower (+9000): Justin Lower has been knocking on the door of late, racking up three top-5s in his last five starts. That includes a tie for third at the American Express, where he was in contention all the way to the end.
  3. Taylor Moore (+10000): Taylor Moore is a great longshot bet to win or place in the top 10/20 range. He’s coming off a tie for seventh at last weeks American Express and had a very respectable tie for eleventh at this event in 2023.
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The Farmers Insurance Open is one of the most anticipated events on the PGA Tour, attracting top golfers from around the world to compete for the coveted title. As we look ahead to the 2025 edition of the tournament, fans and experts alike are already speculating on who will come out on top.

Predictions for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open are always a hot topic of discussion among golf enthusiasts. While it’s impossible to predict with certainty who will emerge victorious, there are a few players who are likely to be in contention based on their recent performances and track record at Torrey Pines Golf Course.

One player who will undoubtedly be a favorite heading into the tournament is Rory McIlroy. The Northern Irishman has been one of the top players in the world for years and has a strong record at the Farmers Insurance Open. With his powerful driving and precise iron play, McIlroy has the game to excel on the challenging layout at Torrey Pines.

Another player to keep an eye on is Jon Rahm. The Spanish star has been on a tear in recent years, winning multiple PGA Tour events and establishing himself as one of the top players in the world. Rahm’s aggressive style of play and ability to hit towering drives make him a formidable opponent on any course, including Torrey Pines.

Of course, no discussion of potential winners would be complete without mentioning defending champion Xander Schauffele. The American star captured his first Farmers Insurance Open title in 2024 and will be looking to repeat his success in 2025. Schauffele’s consistent ball-striking and clutch putting make him a threat to win any tournament he enters.

In terms of odds, bookmakers will likely have McIlroy, Rahm, and Schauffele as the top favorites to win the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open. However, golf is a notoriously unpredictable sport, and there are always dark horses who can surprise everyone with a strong performance.

As for picks, it’s always a good idea to consider players who have a history of success at Torrey Pines. Veterans like Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods have both won multiple times at the course and could be worth a look as potential contenders. Young up-and-comers like Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland could also make a splash at the tournament.

Ultimately, predicting the outcome of a golf tournament is a challenging task, but one thing is for certain – the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open is sure to provide plenty of excitement and drama for fans around the world. Stay tuned for what promises to be an unforgettable week of golf at Torrey Pines.