Predictions for Touchdown Prop Bets in NFL Conference Championships

• NFL TD props for 2025 NFL Conference Championships are available at all sportsbooks
• With only two games on the schedule, I have gone deep into both to find the best NFL touchdown scorer picks
• See the six players I am betting to score a TD in the Conference Championships below

We are down to just four teams standing in the 2025 NFL Playoffs, as we enter the NFL Conference Championships, which means there are only two games to pick from when putting together NFL TD scorers this weekend. But with fewer players to consider, I have gone even deeper on every player who has odds to score a touchdown on Sunday, and have found six NFL anytime TD picks I am betting.

I went an ugly 3-6 in my TD picks last week, losing 1.4 units. It was a horrific week and I’m eager to move on from the fact that four of my six losses saw goal line looks in their respective games, but couldn’t convert. One of the losses was even tied for the second-most red zone looks, while two others tied for fifth. That’s what I typically call a good read with a bad result. But I’m here for results! I’m responding in the NFL Conference Championships with the following NFL anytime TD scorers:

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Conference Championships

I am betting six player to score a touchdown in the NFL Conference Championships, with three from NFC Championship and three from the AFC Championship. Each of the six TD scorer picks above are half-unit bets. If Jalen Hurts were fully healthy, I likely would have made him a full-unit bet.

As usual, I am just covering NFL TD picks in this article. But if you wanted some more NFL player markets, check out our NFL props tool, which gathers all of the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders from most sportsbooks, while also doing the line shopping for you!

Jalen Hurts

For basically all the same reasons as last week, I am betting Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown against the Commanders in the NFC Championship. Saquon Barkley is again (rightfully) given very short odds to score a touchdown, the longest odds I could find when writing this were -220, but Hurts is not getting the same respect for some reason.

Hurts has two fewer touchdowns than Barkley this season (including playoffs), but has played one less game than his RB. Hurts averages 1.12 goal line looks per game, while Barkley averages 1.11. Barkley has a clear advantage in red zone looks, 3.89 versus 2.94, but that’s still a very healthy number of red zone opportunities Hurts sees.

The Eagles QB has a touchdown in four of his last six games, and nine of his last 12. He will face a Commanders team who finished the regular season ranked 28th in yards allowed per carry, and just gave up 201 yards on the ground to the Lions last week. The only reason that number wasn’t higher is because Detroit had to abandon the run late to try and play catch-up. Philadelphia won’t commit the same turnovers Detroit did, and won’t have to abandon the run in this one.

• Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-110 at bet365)

Terry McLaurin

I appreciate how good the Eagles defense has been this season, but I cannot pass up these odds on Terry McLaurin to score a touchdown. The Commanders’ star WR has a TD in each of his last three games, and seven of his last eight. He has scored a total of nine touchdowns in his last eight games as well.

One of those games came against the Eagles in Week 16, when McLaurin recorded 60 yards and a touchdown. Philadelphia was able to lockdown McLaurin in their first meeting this season, though, when he only managed one catch for ten yards on two targets.

I don’t foresee that happening again on Sunday. I think Washington will come out with a similar gameplan as they had last week: play fast from the start and attempt to force their opponent out of their offensive scheme. If that doesn’t work, Washington will likely find themselves playing from behind and throwing a lot. So, either way, I think McLaurin is going to see plenty of opportunities in this one, and the weather currently appears to be set up for offenses to get to work.

• Pick: Terry McLaurin Anytime TD (+140 at BetMGM)

Dyami Brown

Though Dyami Brown did not come through for me last week, I am coming back to him for the Conference Championships. While Brown did not score a TD in the Divisional Round, he did see a season-high eight targets, which he turned into six catches for 98 yards, both of which were also season-bests.

For similar reasons as I touched on with McLaurin above, I like Dyami Brown to find the endzone for the third time this season. I suspect Philadelphia will do everything they can to limit McLaurin, leaving Brown with some room to work. The last time these two teams met, Brown hauled in four of his five targets for 56 yards.

I think he has another game similar to last week, where he was targeted more than any other Commander, but manages to punch one of his opportunities in for a touchdown.

• Pick: Dyami Brown Anytime TD (+350 at BetMGM)

Josh Allen

Whether he wins NFL MVP or not, Josh Allen has been playing some incredible football this season. But nothing he has done prior to this game against the Chiefs matters anymore. This is a legacy game for Allen. He’s 0-3 against the Chiefs in the playoffs, and is very aware that he needs to get this win. That’s one of the reasons I like Allen to score a touchdown as he attempts to put the Bills’ offense on his back and will them to victory.

The other reason is the fact that Buffalo has realized they need Allen’s legs, especially down in the red zone, to be as efficient as possible. Since Week 14, Allen has been stealing more of the goal line looks in the Bills offense. Allen has averaged a team-high 1.57 goal line looks per game, while James Cook has seen 1.43 per game. Prior to Week 14, Allen was only averaging 0.25 per game. Up against a Kansas City defense who allowed the fourth-fewest points in the NFL during the regular season, and the seventh-fewest yards per carry, Allen will need to continue helping with the dirty work.

Allen scored two touchdowns against a very good Ravens run defense last week, and has a touchdown in seven of his last nine games (excluding his Week 18 “start”). To beat this Chiefs team, I think he’ll need to score at least one TD on Sunday.

• Pick: Josh Allen Anytime TD (+100 at BetMGM)

Xavier Worthy

Here’s another guy who cost me money last week that I am coming back to in the Conference Championships. While Xavier Worthy did not score a TD last week, he got all the opportunities I expected him to. The rookie WR saw one of Kansas City’s two goal line looks, and he saw a team-high four red zone looks.

Since Week 13, Worthy has led the Chiefs in red zone looks with 16, while the next-best is 12, and he accounts for 30% of their red zone targets in that span, which is tied for the team lead with Travis Kelce. The Chiefs have been able to integrate him into the offense in a more fitting way, allowing them to take advantage of his incredible speed. I think they’ll need that speed, specifically in the red zone, on Sunday against the Bills, who only allowed 13 rushing TDs during the regular season

• Pick: Xavier Worthy Anytime TD (+200 at bet365)

Travis Kelce

After a very quiet season, which saw him only score three touchdowns in the regular season, I understand why many are predicting this will be Travis Kelce’s last season. However, playoff Kelce is always a little different, and he showed that last week, when he recorded seven catches for a season-high 117 yards and a TD. Since 2017, Travis Kelce has 20 touchdowns in 20 playoff games. The star tight end has a touchdown in three of his last four playoff games, and 14 of the last 18. That’s pretty insane.

I’m also encouraged by Kelce’s heightening involvement in the Chiefs offense over the second half of the season. Since Week 12, Kelce is averaging 2.0 red zone looks per game, while he was only averaging 1.4 per game prior. Over his last two games, he is averaging 3.0 red zone looks per game and 33.3% of Kansas City’s red zone targets, which are both team-highs in that span.

Kelce has also been a bit of a Bills-killer, as he has scored nine touchdowns in the 11 games he has suited up against them, and eight TDs in the last eight games. If you isolate the playoff games he has played against the Bills, he has scored at least one TD in all three, and has a total of five touchdowns in those games. My money says he continues his incredible play against the Bills, and adds another touchdown.

• Pick: Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+130 at BetMGM)

As the NFL Conference Championships approach, football fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the exciting matchups that will determine which teams will advance to the Super Bowl. One popular type of bet that many fans enjoy placing is a touchdown prop bet, where bettors wager on which players will score touchdowns during the game.

In the upcoming Conference Championships, there are several key players who are likely to be popular choices for touchdown prop bets. In the AFC Championship game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is always a strong candidate to score a touchdown, whether it be through the air or on the ground. Mahomes’ ability to extend plays and make big plays in crucial moments makes him a constant threat in the red zone.

On the Bills’ side, quarterback Josh Allen has also been a dynamic playmaker this season, using his arm and his legs to score touchdowns. Allen’s chemistry with star receiver Stefon Diggs makes him a strong candidate to find the end zone in the AFC Championship game.

In the NFC Championship game between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is another player who is always a threat to score touchdowns. Rodgers’ accuracy and decision-making in the red zone make him a dangerous weapon for the Packers offense.

On the Buccaneers’ side, quarterback Tom Brady has shown time and time again that he can deliver in clutch situations, especially in the playoffs. Brady’s experience and leadership make him a reliable option for touchdown prop bets in the NFC Championship game.

In addition to these key players, there are also several other factors to consider when making touchdown prop bets. The weather conditions, injuries, and game flow can all impact which players are more likely to score touchdowns. It’s important for bettors to do their research and consider all of these factors before placing their bets.

Overall, touchdown prop bets can add an extra layer of excitement to the NFL Conference Championships, as fans root for their favorite players to find the end zone. By considering key players and important factors, bettors can make informed decisions and potentially cash in on their bets.