Predictions for NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets in Week 7

• Sportsbooks have released NFL touchdown props for all 15 games of Week 7 in the NFL
• I have done the work of going through the NFL TD scorer odds for each player in each game
• See the 10 players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 7

NFL touchdown props are now available for all 15 games of Week 7, and I have spent the time going through the odds for every player. NFL TD props are by far the most popular prop according to all sportsbooks, but I do appreciate how difficult it can be to research that many games/players. But I have done that work for you and come up with ten players I am betting to score a TD in Week 7.

If you tailed my picks last week, you know I went an ugly 3-6, losing 1.5 units. I truly cannot believe Breece Hall and Jahmyr Gibbs were held out of the endzone in their respective matchups. (The Lions scored 47 damn points!!)

I’m hoping for some better luck this week with the ten players I am predicting to score a touchdown. As usual, I am staying away from first TD scorer props and focusing on anytime TD props. Check out who I’m betting below!

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 7

I am risking a half-unit on each of the NFL TD picks above, outside of JK Dobbins, who is a full-unit bet. There are a couple players above whose statuses/involvement in their respective games are still a touch unclear due to injuries, but I am confident enough to place the bets now.

The one primetime game of Week 7 that I have not offered an anytime TD pick for above is the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Jets and Steelers. At the time of writing this, no sportsbook is offering TD props for the matchup as we await firm news on whether Russell Wilson will in fact take over under center in Pittsburgh, as well as how involved Davante Adams will be in the Jets offense. Once we get some clarity (and odds), I may add a pick for that game. You can follow me on Twitter/X to get notified right away.

If you’re looking for more than just NFL TD props, you can check out our NFL odds page, which displays all the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders, while also shopping for the best lines on each bet for you.

If you want to know why I like each of the ten players above to score a TD in Week 7, you can get my analysis below!

Bo Nix

Admittedly, this is not a game where I absolutely love anyone to score a touchdown. The Saints are starting a rookie QB against a very good Broncos defense, and Denver’s offense has struggled to put points on the board. However, I do think there is some value to be had betting anytime TDs in this game.

The most obvious pick here would be Alvin Kamara, who has been a touchdown machine this season, scoring seven in six games. If this were not Spencer Rattler under center, I would love his -110 price. I think Kamara’s ability as a pass-catcher can expose one of the holes in Denver’s defense, which is their LBs in man coverage. But I don’t trust Rattler enough to bet him at this price. If his odds get a little longer prior to the game – I’m looking for about +110 – then I would likely lock him in.

The pick I am making for this game comes from the Broncos offense. The Saints defense has given up more yards than any other team in the league, and are allowing 5.2 yards per carry, which ranks 30th. I think Javonte Williams and the running game can help Denver move the ball between the 20s, but his +155 odds are a little too short for me considering he has not scored a touchdown yet this season.

The two main reasons he has not scored this season are: (1) he has not been very successful with his four carries inside of the five-yard-line this season, only managing four yards; and (2) Bo Nix has just as many rushing attempts inside the five-yard line as Williams does. Nix, on the other hand, has converted three of those rushing attempts into touchdowns.

The rookie QB is actually Denver’s leader in touchdowns this season and is second on the team in rushing attempts. At +255 odds to score a touchdown, I think Nix presents the best value for Thursday night’s matchup.

• Pick: Bo Nix Anytime TD (+255 at DraftKings)

Demario Douglas

Last week I included Demario Douglas in one of my parlays, betting him to record 50+ receiving yards. He cleared that easily, racking up six receptions for 92 yards on a team-high nine targets. He also scored a touchdown in that game, where the Pats were playing a pretty good Texans defense. New England will not be dealing with even a decent defense in Week 7 when they travel to London to take on the Jaguars.

Jacksonville ranks second-worst in both yards and points allowed, and they are 29th in net yards allowed per pass attempt. We just watched Caleb Williams and the Bears offense shred the Jags last week, and though I don’t think New England will be scoring 35 points (as the Bears did) in this one, I do think they’ll at least match the 21 they put up last week.

#Patriots QB Drake Maye on his chemistry with WR DeMario Douglas:

“Pop, you can’t guard him in a phone booth… he’s got a knack for finding his own… makes my job a little easier.” pic.twitter.com/xJ8SXDxXUt

— Carlos Talks Pats (@LosTalksPats) October 16, 2024

As I proclaimed last week, I believe Douglas is the Patriots’ best playmaker, and it seems the team thinks so too. No other player saw more than five targets last week, as Douglas saw nine of Drake Maye’s 33 pass attempts. It’s the second straight game Douglas has seen nine targets, and the third time in four weeks. Though last week was his first touchdown of the season, I think the second-year WR will be put in much better positions to make plays with Maye as the starter. I also think Maye being under center means New England is less likely to take their foot off the gas early should they find themselves with a big lead, and believe Maye will push the ball downfield better than Jacoby Brissett if they’re playing from behind.

• Pick: Demario Douglas Anytime TD (+360 at FanDuel)

Chase Brown

I was a little torn between Chase Brown and Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown in Cincinnati’s matchup with Cleveland in Week 7, but the +150 odds FanDuel is offering on Brown pushed me towards the RB.

Brown is second on the Bengals in touchdowns with four, only trailing Ja’Marr Chase’s five, but he has scored all of his touchdowns in the last three games. Those touchdowns have been the result of Brown receiving more touches than he was early in the season. Brown only touched the ball ten times in the first two games of the season combined, but has seen at least 12 touches, maxing out at 17, in each of his last three.

Though a Zack Moss injury may have been one of the reasons for Brown’s extra touches in Weeks 5 and 6, you can’t overlook two things here: (1) Moss did not receive another touch after fumbling on the Bengals’ opening drive of the third quarter last week, and (2) Brown is averaging 5.5 YPC versus Moss’ 3.6.

I think we continue to see Brown lead the way in Cincinnati’s backfield, and I like him to score in his fourth straight game when he takes on a Browns defense that has allowed eight rushing touchdowns this season.

• Pick: Chase Brown Anytime TD (+150 at FanDuel)

Joe Mixon

In the two games Joe Mixon has played from start to finish (not gotten injured), he has scored a total of three touchdowns. All three of those touchdowns have come on touches inside the red zone, with two of them being touches inside the ten-yard-line.

Mixon is Houston’s short yardage / red zone / goal line solution. In the two games where Mixon has played start to finish, Week 1 against the Colts and Week 6 against the Patriots, the Texans have posted their two highest-scoring games of the season. I’m not suggesting Houston would have scored a lot more points against the Bears or Vikings, two very good defenses, if Mixon played, but I think there is a very good argument that the Texans score a lot more than the 24 they put up against the Jaguars, who are one of the league’s worst defenses.

Houston is sixth in total yards gained, but just 14th in points scored. Mixon is the key to Houston finishing drives in the endzone. While Green Bay has been very good against the run this season, I’m not betting Mixon to put up a ton of yards. I just like him to punch in at least one of the red zone carries he will receive, especially at +105 odds.

• Pick: Joe Mixon Anytime TD (+105 at bet365)

Drake London

I was expecting to see all sportsbooks list Drake London around even-money to score a touchdown in Week 7, but BetMGM has gone and offered him at +125, which is too much value to pass up. I appreciate that the way most teams have attacked the Seahawks defense is on the ground, but I don’t think that is a result of their pass defense being anything special. Seattle is just really bad at stopping the run.

While I do suspect we’ll see one of Bijan Robinson or Tyler Allgeier get some opportunities in the red zone, I think we have to come to terms with the possibility that Zac Robinson and the Falcons just don’t like running the football, in spite of being pretty good at it. Atlanta is 11th in the league in average yards per carry, but are 24th in rushing attempts. Meanwhile, they’re 8th in passing attempts and I believe London has established himself as the clear alpha of the group over the last few weeks.

London has seen nine, 12, 13, and 10 targets over his last four games, respectively, while taking a 33.3% target share last week against the Panthers. The third-year WR now has a touchdown in four of his last five, and I like him to make it five of the last six when he takes on the Seahawks in Week 7.

• Pick: Drake London Anytime TD (+125 at BetMGM)

Tyler Goodson

I’m locking this one in now, but would understand if you wanted to wait for further injury updates. It appears (at the time of writing this) Jonathan Taylor will miss another game, but Trey Sermon is trending in the right direction. It also sounds as if Anthony Richardson is going to make his return to the lineup in Week 7 when the Colts take on the Dolphins.

All that is to say, I expect the Colts to get back to leaning on their ground game more than they did with Joe Flacco under center, and it will be Sermon and Tyler Goodson lobbying for the RB touches. In the two full games without Taylor in the lineup, Sermon has out-carried Goodson 28 to 13. However, Goodson has out-rushed Sermon 77 to 67, and is averaging 5.9 YPC this season versus Sermon’s 2.5 YPC.

I believe the reason the Colts have stuck with Sermon over the last two weeks is that his pass-blocking is far superior to Goodson’s. But as I mentioned earlier, I don’t think pass-blocking is going to be as important to the Colts with Richardson back under center. I think Indianapolis will want the more explosive of the two backs on the field more frequently against a Miami defense that is allowing 4.7 YPC (23rd).

I also believe Shane Steichen may be a little cautious with his QB in his first game back. I suspect there will be fewer called runs for Richardson this Sunday.

• Pick: Tyler Goodson Anytime TD (+187 at bet365)

Brian Robinson Jr.

Just as I did last week, I’m going to play Brian Robinson to score a touchdown in spite of his status for Week 7 being rather uncertain. If he suits up, I’m confident Robinson will get some goal line work early in the game against a Panthers defense that has allowed the most points in the league, as well as the most rushing touchdowns (12).

Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in four of the five games he has played this season, including two in Week 5 against the Browns.

I’m betting this now because I don’t believe we will get anywhere close to -135 odds on him to score a TD if he is confirmed to be playing, and if he doesn’t suit up, the bet will void (as it did last week).

• Pick: Brian Robinson Anytime TD (-135 at Caesars)

Brock Bowers

You won’t see me bet many Raiders to score touchdowns this season, since they have scored the sixth-fewest points in the league, but there’s too much value in +225 odds for Brock Bowers to score against a bad Rams defense.

The Rams have given up the fourth-most points in the league and are dead-last in net yards allowed per pass attempt. This bodes well for the receivers left in Las Vegas after they traded Davante Adams to the Jets earlier this week. Bowers, who was already the Raiders’ leader in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, has now seen a 25% target share of Aidan O’Connell’s passes in each of the last two games. With only Jakobi Meyers, Tre Tucker, and DJ Turner among others to compete with for targets, I wouldn’t be surprised if he sees an even bigger share against the Rams.

The other reason I like Bowers to score a TD is I expect the Rams offense to put up some points, likely putting the Raiders in a negative game script for a good portion of this game.

• Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD (+225 at Caesars)

Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin has been a very reliable anytime TD scorer bet for me this season, and I’m going back to him again this week. Godwin is tied for the Buccaneers’ team lead in touchdowns scored with five, and has at least one touchdown in four of six games played this season.

Tampa Bay takes on the Ravens in Week 7, who are the league’s best defense against the run, only allowing 3.0 YPC, but have been dreadful trying to defend the pass. Baltimore is 27th in net yards allowed per pass attempt, and have given up 11 TDs through the air (27th).

I especially like this bet because of how bad the Bucs have been at defending the run. They’re allowing 4.7 YPC and now get to see the league’s leading rusher in Derrick Henry (plus Lamar Jackson’s legs). The Bucs are going to have to score to keep this game competitive, and I like Godwin to be a part of that scoring. I can’t believe I’m still getting +165 odds with him.

• Pick: Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+165 at DraftKings)

JK Dobbins

I expected we would see JK Dobbins’ anytime TD odds around -150 or so for his Week 7 matchup with the Cardinals. Getting -114 anytime TD odds at Caesars is the reason this is a full-unit bet for me.

Dobbins has scored a touchdown in three of five games this season, and is the Chargers’ unquestioned workhorse. He has 81 of the team’s 153 rushing attempts, with Gus Edwards being the closest to him with 38. However, 29 of Edwards’ carries came in the first two weeks when he was a big, though unproductive, part of the offense. Edwards has only recorded nine rushing attempts in his last two games, but he did miss LA’s game last week.

The only two games Dobbins has not scored in this season came against the Steelers and Chiefs, which are two very good defenses. The Cardinals do not have a good defense. Arizona allows 4.7 YPC and have surrendered eight touchdowns on the ground this season.

I like Dobbins to see another 20+ rushing attempts in Week 7, with some of those coming in the red zone / at the goal line.

• Pick: JK Dobbins Anytime TD (-114 at Caesars)

As we head into Week 7 of the NFL season, there are several players who stand out as potential anytime touchdown scorers for bettors to consider. With injuries, matchups, and recent performances all playing a role in predicting who will find the end zone, here are some predictions for NFL anytime touchdown scorer bets in Week 7.

One player to keep an eye on is Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans. Henry has been a force to be reckoned with this season, leading the league in rushing yards and touchdowns. In Week 7, the Titans are set to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs, who have struggled against the run this season. With Henry’s ability to break tackles and find the end zone, he is a strong candidate to score a touchdown in this matchup.

Another player to consider is Davante Adams of the Green Bay Packers. Adams has been a favorite target of quarterback Aaron Rodgers this season, leading the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. In Week 7, the Packers will be taking on the Washington Football Team, who have had issues defending against top wide receivers. With Adams’ route running and hands, he is a solid choice to score a touchdown in this game.

For those looking for a sleeper pick, consider Mike Davis of the Carolina Panthers. With star running back Christian McCaffrey sidelined due to injury, Davis has stepped up in his absence and proven to be a reliable option for the Panthers. In Week 7, the Panthers will be facing the New Orleans Saints, who have struggled against the run at times this season. Davis’ ability to catch passes out of the backfield and find the end zone makes him a sneaky pick to score a touchdown in this game.

Ultimately, predicting anytime touchdown scorers in the NFL can be a challenging task, but by considering factors such as matchups, recent performances, and injuries, bettors can make informed decisions when placing their bets. Keep an eye on players like Derrick Henry, Davante Adams, and Mike Davis in Week 7 as they have the potential to find the end zone and help bettors cash in on their bets.