Predictions and Betting Splits for Alabama vs Duke Closing Odds

• The Alabama vs Duke spread favors the Blue Devils by 7.5 points in Saturday’s Elite Eight matchup
• The over/under has fluctuated between 172.5 and 176.0 points throughout the week
• Check out the latest Alabama vs Duke odds, line movement analysis, score predictions, and public betting splits below

The No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (28-8) will square off against the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (34-3) in an epic Elite Eight showdown at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ on Saturday, March 29. The game is scheduled for 8:49 pm ET with TBS/truTV handling the broadcast.

Both teams enter this clash with their offenses firing on all cylinders. Alabama just dropped 113 points on BYU in the Sweet 16, draining an NCAA Tournament record 25 three-pointers. Not to be outdone, the Blue Devils also eclipsed the century mark in a 100-93 shootout win over Arizona. Duke is averaging a blistering 94 points per game through three tournament contests, a program record pace.

Jump To: Latest Alabama vs Duke Odds | Alabama vs Duke Projected Score | Alabama vs Duke Public Betting Splits

Latest Alabama vs Duke Odds

Duke opened as 6.5-point favorites last Sunday but the line has since moved to Duke -7.5 at most sportsbooks. Alabama’s moneyline odds of +253 carry a 28.3% implied probability while the Blue Devils are hefty -310 chalk to advance to the Final Four.

The spread has toggled between Duke -6.5 and Duke -7.5 since markets opened, suggesting relatively balanced betting action from the public. Most shops opened the Blue Devils at either -6.5 or -7.0, with the line ticking up to the current consensus of -7.5. The lack of any dramatic spread movement indicates oddsmakers and sharp bettors view this as roughly a 7-point game.

FanDuel, one of the market-setting sportsbooks, opened at Duke -6.5 (-110) on Friday morning and has frequently adjusted the juice rather than the number, bouncing between -115 and -122 on the -6.5 spread. They briefly touched Duke -7.5 a couple times over the weekend but have settled back at the opener of Duke -6.5, now with inflated -122 juice.

Odds as of March 29, 2025 (6pm ET), at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on Alabama vs Duke.

The total opened at 173.5 and has held steady there for much of the week leading up to tip-off. Currently, FanDuel is dealing over 173.5 at -114, with the under 173.5 priced at -106. There has been some yo-yoing of the total, though, with the number bouncing between 172.5 and 176.0 at various shops.

Dips to 172.5-173.5 have likely come from respected money on the under, while the moves up to 175.0-176.0 probably reflect an avalanche of public over bets. With the total now back at the opener across the entire market, it appears sportsbooks have found the number that balances liabilities on both sides.

Alabama vs Duke Projected Score

The average Bama vs Duke projected score from KenPom, Haslam, and Torvik has Jon Scheyer’s team prevailing by a 6-point margin, 86-80. All three trusted analytics models project the game to surpass the 173.5-point total with some room to spare.

KenPom has the highest total at 168 combined points, and gives the Blue Devils a 70% overall win probability.

Alabama vs Duke Public Betting Splits

The public is expecting a shootout and is heavily backing the over, with 80% of total bets and 79% of the total handle coming in on over 173.5 points. Alabama is drawing the majority of the spread action as 7.5-point underdogs, garnering 59% of ATS bets and 57% of the ATS money.

But on the moneyline, bettors are siding with the favored Blue Devils, as 91% of moneyline tickets and 87% of ML dollars are on Duke to reach the Final Four.

Alabama is a +1000 longshot in the latest odds to win March Madness. Duke, meanwhile, now has the shortest odds of any remaining team at +150.

As the highly anticipated matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Duke Blue Devils approaches, sports bettors and fans alike are eagerly awaiting the closing odds for this exciting college football game. With both teams boasting strong rosters and talented players, the outcome of this game is sure to be a close one.

According to various sportsbooks and betting sites, the current predictions for the closing odds of the Alabama vs Duke game are leaning towards the Crimson Tide as the favorites. Alabama, led by head coach Nick Saban, is coming off a successful season and is expected to have a strong showing against Duke. The Tide’s offense, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, is known for its explosive plays and high-scoring capabilities, making them a formidable opponent for any team.

On the other hand, Duke, under the leadership of head coach David Cutcliffe, is not to be underestimated. The Blue Devils have shown improvement in recent years and have a solid defense that could potentially give Alabama’s offense some trouble. Quarterback Quentin Harris will be looking to lead his team to an upset victory over the Crimson Tide and make a statement in the college football world.

In terms of betting splits, it is expected that the majority of bettors will be placing their money on Alabama to cover the spread and win the game. However, there may be some value in betting on Duke as the underdog, especially if they can keep the game close and pull off a surprise victory. As always, it is important for bettors to do their research and consider all factors before placing any bets on this game.

Overall, the closing odds for the Alabama vs Duke game are sure to be exciting and unpredictable. With two talented teams facing off against each other, anything can happen on game day. Whether you’re a fan of college football or just looking to place a bet, this matchup is one that you won’t want to miss. Stay tuned for the final odds and get ready for an action-packed game between these two powerhouse teams.