Predictions and Best Odds for Thursday Night Football (Week 11) Matchup Between Commanders and Eagles

• The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles battle for first-place in the NFC East on Thursday
• The Eagles have won five of the last six against the Commanders, including both games last year
• See the Commanders vs Eagles predictions and best bets for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 14

The two-horse race in the NFC East will take center stage on Thursday Night Football in Week 11 as the Washington Commanders (7-3, 3-2 away, ATS) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2, 3-1 home, ATS) at Lincoln Financial Field at 8:15 pm ET. Winners of five straight, the red-hot Eagles are 3.5-point betting favorites. A win on Thursday would give Philly a 1.5-game lead on Washington with just six games remaining on the Commanders’ schedule.

WSH Commanders vs PHI Eagles Predictions

• Commanders +3.5 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
• Over 48.5 points (-110) at ESPN Bet
   Odds as of Nov. 13. See the latest sportsbook promotions for Thursday Night Football. 

With Washington catching more than a field goal, I’m taking the visitors to cover in what’s sure to be a ferociously-hostile, playoff-like atmosphere at the Linc. At this point, rookie QB Jayden Daniels is a rookie in name only. The 23-year-old, who is the runaway favorite in the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, also finds himself a top-five favorite in the NFL MVP odds in his first season thanks to a 101.7 passer rating plus a team-leading 464 rushing yards.

Though they sit half a game behind Philly in the standings, the Commanders have a slightly better point differential (+73 vs +72) and a slightly better DVOA rating (+19.4%, 7th vs +17.6%, 8th) than the Eagles. Their defense hasn’t been great but it’s still one of the most-improved units, on either side of the ball, compared to last year. Washington is allowing just 21.7 PPG, more than a touchdown better than last season, when they gave up a league-worst 30.5 PPG.

Philadelphia’s win streak is undeniably impressive, but every single victory came against a team that’s at least two games under .500. The combined record of the teams the Eagles have played over the last five weeks (Browns, Giants, Bengals, Jaguars, Cowboys sans Dak Prescott) is 13-35. Nick Sirianni has certainly built a capable team, and Saquon Barkley is proving there’s still a ton of juice left in his 27-year-old legs (it was being a Giant that was the problem), but this is a big spread to cover against an offense as electric as Washington’s.

The Commanders just put up 27 points on TJ Watt and the Steelers in a losing effort (28-27), more than ten points higher than Pittsburgh’s defensive scoring average for the season, which was 14.9 PPG heading into the game. Daniels and company will keep this one close throughout.

I am also expecting the over to hit. As much as Washington’s defense has improved, the Eagles are still going to score some points. Philly has hit at least 28 points in each of its last four games.

 Best Commanders vs Eagles Odds

The Commanders/Eagles lines have been bet into near uniformity over the last couple days. The point spread is currently Eagles -3.5 at all books with only slight variations in the odds. Most books have the spread at -110 both ways but Caesars is offering -105 on the Commanders to cover, while BetMGM and FanDuel have the Eagles -3.5 at -105.

There is almost no discrepancy in the game total, either, in the latest NFL odds. Almost every sportsbook has the total at 48.5 with -110 odds both ways. The only outlier at the moment is DraftKings, which has the under priced at -108 and the over at -112, though that could always change in the next 36 hours.

On the moneyline, BetMGM also has the best line on a Philly SU win at -183 (all other books are -190 or shorter). ESPN Bet has the longest odds on a Washington victory at +165.

As well as Daniels has played this season, oddsmakers still don’t give the idea of a rookie QB winning a championship much credence. Washington remains a +2500 longshot in the 2025 Super Bowl odds, more than twice as long as the Eagles (+1100).

Thursday Night Football in Week 11 features a matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles. Both teams are coming off of losses in Week 10 and will be looking to bounce back with a win in this divisional showdown.

The Commanders are currently sitting at 3-6 on the season and are in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. They are coming off a tough loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 10, where they struggled to get anything going on offense. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke will need to step up and lead his team to victory if they want to have a chance against the Eagles.

On the other side, the Eagles are also coming off a loss in Week 10 to the Denver Broncos. They are currently sitting at 4-6 on the season and are looking to get back on track with a win over their division rival. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has shown flashes of brilliance this season and will need to have a big game if the Eagles want to come out on top.

In terms of predictions and best odds for this matchup, the Eagles are currently favored to win by 3.5 points according to most sportsbooks. The over/under for the game is set at 48 points, indicating that it could be a high-scoring affair.

When looking at the matchup between these two teams, it is important to consider their strengths and weaknesses. The Commanders have a solid defense that is capable of shutting down opposing offenses, while the Eagles have a dynamic offense led by Hurts.

Ultimately, this game could go either way and will likely come down to which team can execute their game plan better on Thursday night. Both teams will be hungry for a win, making this a must-watch game for football fans.

In conclusion, the matchup between the Commanders and Eagles in Week 11 is shaping up to be an exciting game with playoff implications on the line. With both teams looking to bounce back from losses in Week 10, it will be interesting to see which team comes out on top. Be sure to tune in on Thursday night to see all the action unfold.