- We’ve made our Texas State vs Troy prediction for Thursday Night CFB
- The latest college football odds favor the Bobcats by two scores under the lights
- Read below for Texas State vs Troy prediction, pick and odds for Thursday
The Texas State Bobcats (2-2) head to the Yellowhammer State for a Thursday night Sun Belt showdown against the Troy Trojans (1-4) at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EDT on ESPNU.
Oddsmakers have pegged the Bobcats as 13-point road favorites, with the over/under total sitting at 56.5 points. The total has climbed near;y three full points since opening, suggesting sharps expect a shootout under the lights in Troy.
Here is our Troy vs Texas State prediction for Thursday Night College Football.
Texas State vs Troy Prediction
If you’re looking for offensive fireworks, this Texas State vs Troy tilt should deliver. The Bobcats have been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging an impressive 37 points per game.
Quarterback Jordan McCloud leads the charge, already throwing for 1,141 yards and 12 TDs in just four games. His dynamic receiving duo of Jaden Williams and Joey Hobert have combined for 557 yards and seven scores.
Jordan McCloud SHEESH pic.twitter.com/JYgoeKVHua
— Unnecessary Roughness (@UnnecRoughness) September 13, 2024
Meanwhile, the Trojans have struggled defensively, giving up 25.8 points and 363 yards per contest. They just allowed 13 points to a Louisiana-Monroe squad that ranks near the bottom of the FBS offensively. If ULM can score on Troy, imagine what the high-powered Bobcats might do.
But don’t sleep on Troy’s offense. While inconsistent, they’ve shown flashes of explosiveness, hanging 38 points on Florida A&M in their lone win. Even in last week’s loss to ULM, they still racked up over 350 yards of total offense.
The recipe is there for a classic Sun Belt shootout. Texas State’s offense should feast against Troy’s miserable defense, while the Trojans have enough firepower to keep pace in a track meet.
I’m not overthinking this one. Take the over 56.5 points in what should be an entertaining, back-and-forth affair. Don’t be surprised if this total hits by the end of the third quarter.
Thursday CFB Pick:
Texas State vs Troy Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | -13.0 (-110) | -500 | Over 56.5 (-115) |
| Troy | +13.0 (-110) | +380 | Under 56.5 (-105) |
The Bobcats enter as 13-point road favorites, with an implied 52.4% probability of covering. Troy’s +380 moneyline gives them just a 20% chance of an outright upset.
The real story is the total, which has jumped from 54 to 56.5 points since opening. That’s a clear signal that sharps expect fireworks. With Texas State’s explosive offense and Troy’s defensive woes, it’s easy to see why.
The over has hit in five of Texas State’s last seven games, while Troy has seen the under cash in four of their last six. However, given how these teams match up, those trends may not matter much. This game has all the makings of an old-fashioned Sun Belt shootout.
Odds as of October 2, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Take Advantage the ESPN Bet promo code to bet on Thursday Night CFB action.
Texas State vs Troy Head to Head
Troy has dominated this matchup recently, winning seven of the last nine meetings straight up. However, Texas State has covered the spread in four of those nine contests.
Here’s a look at the recent results:
| Date | Result | ATS Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Troy 31, Texas State 13 | Troy -7 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Troy 17, Texas State 14 | Texas State +16.5 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Troy 31, Texas State 28 | Texas State +7 |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Troy 37, Texas State 17 | Troy -7 |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Troy 63, Texas State 27 | Troy -7 |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Troy 12, Texas State 7 | Texas State +22 |
| Nov 24, 2017 | Troy 62, Texas State 9 | Troy -23.5 |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Troy 40, Texas State 7 | Troy -28 |
| Nov 29, 2013 | Troy 42, Texas State 28 | Troy -8.5 |
The over/under history is also intriguing. The total has gone over in five of the last nine meetings, including three of the last four. This suggests a tendency for high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.
Despite Troy’s historical dominance, this year’s Bobcats team is different. Their high-powered offense could buck the trend and help push this game over the lofty total.
The Texas State Bobcats will face off against the Troy Trojans in a highly anticipated college football game on Thursday, October 3rd. Both teams are coming off of tough losses and will be looking to bounce back with a win in this matchup.
The Bobcats are currently 2-2 on the season and are coming off of a close loss to the University of Texas at San Antonio. They have shown flashes of potential on offense, but have struggled at times to put points on the board. Quarterback Tyler Vitt will need to have a strong performance if Texas State hopes to come out on top in this game.
On the other side, the Troy Trojans are also 2-2 on the season and are coming off of a tough loss to Akron. They have a balanced offense led by quarterback Kaleb Barker, who has thrown for over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns so far this season. The Trojans will look to exploit the Bobcats’ defense and put up points early in the game.
In terms of predictions, this game is shaping up to be a close one. Both teams have shown flashes of potential on offense, but have also struggled at times to stop their opponents on defense. It could come down to which team is able to make the big plays when it matters most.
As for the odds, Troy is currently favored to win this game by 7 points. The over/under is set at 55 points, indicating that oddsmakers are expecting a relatively high-scoring affair.
Overall, this game has all the makings of an exciting matchup between two evenly matched teams. Fans can expect a competitive game with plenty of action on both sides of the ball. Be sure to tune in on Thursday night to see which team comes out on top in this crucial Sun Belt Conference showdown.