November 21, 2024

Sport and Betting News

Prediction, Odds & Spread for UNLV vs Hawaii Football Game on Saturday, November 9th

13 mins
  • UNLV is a 12.5-point road favorite over Hawaii in Week 11 College Football action on Saturday, November 9
  • The Rainbow Warriors are allowing only 15 points per game over their last five home dates
  • Check out the latest UNLV vs Hawaii prediction, odds and spread below

UNLV (6-2, 2-1 MWC) could have easily been undefeated heading into Week 11. Their two losses are by a combined 9 points, and both were the result of blown 4th quarter leads.

The Rebels playoff dreams may be dead, but there’s still plenty left to play for down the stretch. They’re still in contention for a conference championship and a premium Bowl Game appearance. Online sportsbooks believe they’ll improve their stock after a visit to Hawaii (4-5, 2-2 MWC) on Saturday, as they’ve pegged UNLV as massive road chalk in the College Football odds.

UNLV vs Hawaii Odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
UNLV Rebels -12.5 (-110) -450 O 50.5 (-110)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +12.5 (-110) +280 U 50.5 (-110)

The Rebels are 12.5-point favorites, in a contest with a total of 50.5. UNLV actually opened at -14, but early Rainbow Warriors money drove the line down. The Hawaii love hasn’t stopped according to the College Football public betting trends, as they’re currently drawing 78% of the spread wagers and 86% of the ATS handle.

Kickoff for this Mountain West clash is set for 9 pm ET from Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii, with CBSSN providing the broadcast coverage.

Odds as of November 9 at 3:00 pm ET. Be sure to check out the best sportsbook promotions before placing a bet on any Week 11 College Football matchup.

Can Hawaii Contain the Rebels Rushing Attack?

Roughly this time a month again, the Rebels were ranked inside the top-25 for the first time in program history. They were a longshot College Football Playoff odds contender, and on pace for the best season in school history. Losses to Kyle McCord and Syracuse, as well as #12 Boise State squashed those hopes, but the arrow is still pointing up for UNLV.

Offense has been the key to the Rebels’ success, specifically their run game. UNLV is the nation’s 16th highest-scoring offense, and boast a top-15 rushing attack.

Dual-threat QB Hajj-Malik Williams is the team’s leading rusher and TD producer, while a trio of backs have combined for nearly 900 yards. The Rebels average 206 rushing yards per contest, at 5.1 yards per carry, running the ball on 64% of their snaps.

A potent run game is critical, because the passing attack leaves a lot to be desired. Williams has a career 62% completion rate, and absorbs a ton of sacks. He’s been taken down 13 times already in four starts, including six times last time out versus Boise State.

The run game will be even more important this week due to the strength of Hawaii’s rush defense. The Rainbow Warriors are limiting enemy backfields to only 3.9 yards per attempt, and 128 rushing yards per game.

Hawaii checks in as the conference’s top scoring defense, limiting opponents to 22 points per game. They’ve been especially strong at home on the island, holding enemy offenses to an average of 15 points per contest this season.

Rebels Defense Fierce as Well

On the other side of the ball, Hawaii won’t find much traction on the ground either. UNLV’s rush defense is even more stout than the Rainbow Warriors’, yielding only 3.6 yards per carry.

That will put more pressure on the arm of QB Brayden Schager, who’s completing less than 60% of his throws. The senior pivot has a strong track record against the Rebels, throwing for 6 TD in two career starts, but will likely be without his number one weapon.

Wide Receiver Pofele Ashlock was knocked out of last week’s game versus Fresno State with a concussion and is doubtful for Saturday. He leads the team in receptions, yards and touchdowns, and has shown fantastic chemistry with Schager over his two seasons.

UNLV has faced a ton of pass volume thanks to being well ahead in so many of their matchups, but have done well on a down-to-down basis. They’re holding opposing quarterbacks to a 60% completion rate and 6.5 yards per completion. The Rebels also boast a 6.56% sack rate, and that pressure should get home against Schager who’s already been taken down 30 times.

UNLV vs Hawaii Prediction

Given the amount of money coming in on the Rainbow Warriors, we could easily see this spread continue to move in their direction. At +14, Hawaii seems like an obvious play, but as it trickles down, we lose more and more value.

Hawaii Under Trends

Games Played Under Record Total +/-
9 7-2 -6.7

Which brings us to the total. The Rainbow Warriors’ defense matches up well against UNLV, and the absence of Ashlock is a real blow to the Hawaii offense. The Rainbow Warriors are accustom to playing low-scoring games thanks to their defense, and have been a cash cow for under bettors.

Hawaii is 7-2 to the under this season. UNLV is 4-4, but is much more likely to underwhelm offensively on the road. The Rebels road games are 3-1 to the under so far, and this matchup should fall short of the total as well.

  • Pick: Under 50.5 (-110)
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The UNLV Rebels will be facing off against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in a highly anticipated football game on Saturday, November 9th. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, making this matchup an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.

When it comes to predicting the outcome of this game, it’s important to consider a few key factors. UNLV has struggled this season, currently sitting at a record of 2-7. Their offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 22.4 points per game. On the other hand, Hawaii has had a more successful season with a record of 5-4. Their offense has been explosive, averaging 34.6 points per game.

In terms of odds, Hawaii is currently favored to win this game. The Rainbow Warriors have an edge in both offensive production and overall record, making them the likely choice for many bettors. However, UNLV shouldn’t be counted out completely. The Rebels have shown flashes of potential throughout the season and could surprise Hawaii if they can put together a solid performance.

As for the spread, Hawaii is currently favored by 10 points. This means that in order for bettors to win a bet on Hawaii, they would need the Rainbow Warriors to win by more than 10 points. Conversely, if bettors were to place a bet on UNLV, the Rebels would need to either win the game outright or lose by less than 10 points in order for the bet to pay out.

Overall, this game is shaping up to be an exciting matchup between two teams with contrasting seasons. While Hawaii is favored to win, UNLV has the potential to pull off an upset if they can put together a strong performance. Bettors should keep a close eye on this game as it unfolds on Saturday, November 9th.

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