Jun 27, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles pitcher Corbin Burnes (39) delivers in the second inning against the Texas Rangers at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports
- Our Orioles vs Mariners prediction has Baltimore completing the sweep on Thursday
- The Orioles are -155 moneyline favorites in the July 4th MLB odds
- Read below for Orioles vs Mariners prediction, odds, props and injuries for Thursday’s game
The Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners wrap up their three-game series on the 4th of July in Seattle with the first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM EST. The game will be televised on MASN2.
The Orioles are favored with a moneyline of -155, while the Mariners are underdogs at +130. The run line has Baltimore at -1.5 (+155) and Seattle at +1.5 (-130). The total is set at 7 runs with the over at -110 and the under at -110.
Here is our Orioles vs Mariners prediction for Thursday, along with MLB player props to lock in for July 4th.
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
The Orioles have taken the first two games of this series, including a 4-1 victory on Wednesday night. Ryan O’Hearn led the way for Baltimore, going 2-for-3 with a double, home run, and three RBIs. The Orioles have now won six of their last seven games and hold a two-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East.
Baltimore will send ace Corbin Burnes to the mound in the series finale. Burnes is 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA this season and has won six of his last seven decisions. He faced the Mariners back on May 19, allowing one unearned run over six innings with 11 strikeouts in a 6-3 Orioles win.
Corbin Burnes, Evil 89mph Changeup. 👿
“If that’s not on the PitchingNinja account, I don’t know what ever will be.” pic.twitter.com/c788Oa89W3
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 27, 2024
The Mariners have lost four straight and 10 of their last 13, seeing their lead in the AL West shrink to just two games over the Astros. Seattle’s offense has struggled mightily in this series, scoring just one run over the first two games. They will need a strong outing from starter Bryce Miller to avoid the sweep.
Miller is 6-7 with a 3.88 ERA on the season. He faced the Orioles on May 17 in Baltimore, giving up five runs (four earned) over 5 1/3 innings in a 9-2 loss. Miller has lost his last two starts coming into this matchup.
| 9-3 | Record | 6-7 |
| 2.28 | ERA | 3.88 |
| 17 | Starts | 17 |
| 91 | Strikeouts | 91 |
| 28 | Walks | 28 |
With Burnes on the mound and the Orioles swinging hot bats, Baltimore deserved to be favored in this one. The Mariners will need to find some offense to keep up, but that has been a challenge lately, especially against top-tier pitching.
Expect the Orioles to complete the sweep behind another strong outing from Burnes. We’ve used odds from BetMGM for this story, but our MLB odds page tells us the best odds for Baltimore tonight are at Bet365 Sportsbook.
BAL-SEA Pick:
- Orioles ML (-149 at Bet365)
Orioles vs Mariners Odds
As mentioned, the Orioles are favored in this matchup with a moneyline of -155. This means a $155 bet on Baltimore would return a $100 profit if they win. The Mariners are +130 underdogs, so a $100 bet would net a $130 profit with a Seattle victory.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -1.5 (+115) | -155 | Over 7 (-110) |
| Mariners | +1.5 (-140) | +130 | Under 7 (-110) |
The run line has Baltimore at -1.5 (+115), meaning they need to win by two or more runs for that bet to cash. Seattle is +1.5 (-140), so they can lose by one run or win outright for that bet to hit. The -140 odds indicate Seattle +1.5 is a stronger probability than Baltimore -1.5.
The odds favor Baltimore due to a few key factors. They have won the first two games of the series and six of the last seven overall. The Orioles also have one of the best pitchers in baseball taking the mound in Corbin Burnes. Seattle’s recent struggles, especially on offense, are also likely influencing the odds.
Thursday MLB odds as of July 4, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Browse the top betting apps for Fourth of July baseball.
Orioles vs Mariners Player Props
Here are a few player props to consider for this matchup:
Corbin Burnes Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-115) – Burnes has hit this number in three of his last five starts and racked up 11 Ks against Seattle earlier this year.
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) – The All-Star shortstop has 4 multi-hit games in his last 10. At even odds, this is a solid value.
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits (+150) – Rodriguez is hitting just .244 on the season and has really struggled of late, even getting moved down to 7th in the order. The plus odds make this an intriguing play.
Orioles vs Mariners Injury Report
For the Orioles, starting pitcher Dean Kremer just returned from the IL to pitch five scoreless innings on Wednesday. However, relief pitcher Danny Coulombe remains out.
On the Mariners side, relief pitchers Gregory Santos and Heath Hembree are out, as is rookie starting pitcher Bryan Woo. None of these injuries are expected to have a major impact on Thursday’s game, but the lack of bullpen depth could be something to watch if either starter exits early.
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against the Seattle Mariners on Thursday, July 4th in what is sure to be an exciting matchup. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, but they will be looking to come out on top in this game.
In terms of prediction, the odds are currently in favor of the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have been playing well recently and have a strong lineup that has been producing runs consistently. On the other hand, the Orioles have struggled at times this season and have had trouble putting runs on the board.
However, anything can happen in baseball and the Orioles could certainly pull off an upset in this game. They have a talented roster with players like Trey Mancini and Jonathan Villar who are capable of putting up big numbers on any given day.
When it comes to player props, there are a few key players to keep an eye on in this game. For the Orioles, Trey Mancini is always a threat at the plate and could be a good bet to hit a home run or drive in some runs. Jonathan Villar is another player to watch as he has the speed to steal bases and the power to hit for extra bases.
On the Mariners side, players like Daniel Vogelbach and Domingo Santana have been hot at the plate recently and could be good bets to have a big game. Vogelbach in particular has been hitting for power and could be a good bet to hit a home run in this game.
Overall, this matchup between the Orioles and Mariners should be an exciting one to watch. While the odds may be in favor of the Mariners, anything can happen in baseball and the Orioles have the talent to pull off an upset. Keep an eye on key players like Trey Mancini and Daniel Vogelbach as they could have a big impact on the outcome of this game.
