Jun 26, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles pitcher Grayson Rodriguez (30) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports
- We’ve made our Orioles vs Yankees prediction for Saturday’s crucial AL East matchup
- The Saturday MLB odds favor the Orioles at -140, with the Yankees as +120 underdogs
- Read below for Orioles vs Yankees prediction, odds, and starting pitchers for July 13th
The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles square off in the second game of a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 PM ET and the game will be televised on Fox Sports 1.
The Orioles are favored at -140 on the moneyline, while the Yankees are +120 underdogs. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Tensions are high after a bench-clearing brawl in the series opener on Friday, which the Yankees won 4-1.
Let’s dive into our Orioles vs Yankees prediction for Saturday, along with MLB player props to wager on.
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees pulled within one game of the first-place Orioles with their 4-1 victory on Friday. However, New York has struggled recently, winning just six of their last 21 games. The Orioles, despite the loss, have been the better team this season and hold a 5-3 advantage in the season series.
On the mound, the Orioles will send out Grayson Rodriguez, who has been excellent in his two career starts against the Yankees. Rodriguez has thrown 12 scoreless innings against New York, allowing just eight hits and striking out seven. The young right-hander is coming off three straight wins and has been a key part of Baltimore’s success this season.
| 9-5 | Record | 11-3 |
| 3.27 | ERA | 3.52 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 2.31 | K/BB | 3.50 |
| 10.4 | K/9 | 10.0 |
The Yankees will counter with Luis Gil, who has struggled mightily as of late. Gil is winless in his last four starts, posting a 9.37 ERA and allowing four home runs during that span. In his last outing against the Orioles on June 20, Gil was shelled for seven runs and eight hits in just 1 1/3 innings.
With Rodriguez’s dominance against the Yankees and Gil’s recent struggles, the Orioles are poised to even the series on Saturday. Look for Baltimore’s offense, which has been held to just one run over their last 33 innings, to break out against the slumping Gil.
Orioles vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | +1.5 (-170) | +120 | Over 8.5 (-120) |
| Baltimore Orioles | -1.5 (+140) | -140 | Under 8.5 (-102) |
The Orioles are -140 favorites on the moneyline, meaning a $140 bet would return $100 in profit if Baltimore wins. The Yankees are +120 underdogs, so a $100 bet on New York would yield $120 in profit if they pull off the upset.
The implied probability of an Orioles victory is 57.4%, while the Yankees have a 46.7% chance of winning based on the odds. If you wish to be on either club in the World Series odds, Baltimore is the fourth betting choice at +750, while the Yankees have slightly better odds at +650.
Baltimore’s status as the favorite can be attributed to several factors, including their better record, home-field advantage, and the pitching matchup. The MLB public betting trends also show Baltimore drawing 65% of ML handle and 87% of run line handle.
Rodriguez’s success against the Yankees and Gil’s recent struggles also play a role in the odds. Additionally, the Orioles have won five of the eight meetings between the teams this season, further justifying their position as favorites.
Odds as of July 13, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on Orioles vs Yankees.
Orioles vs Yankees Player Props
Here are a few of the MLB player props we are targeting for Saturday’s Orioles vs Yankees matchup.
Grayson Rodriguez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110):
Rodriguez has been racking up the strikeouts this season, averaging 10.0 K/9. Against a Yankees lineup that strikes out 8.0 times per game, Rodriguez is a good bet to surpass this total.
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130):
Judge homered in the series opener and leads the majors with 33 long balls. He’s always a threat to rack up total bases, even against a tough pitcher like Rodriguez.
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Runs (+110):
Henderson has scored at least one run in eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games against winning AL teams. With his ability to get on base and the potential for Baltimore’s offense to break out, Henderson is a solid bet to score a run.
Orioles vs Yankees Injury Report
There were no new injuries reported for either team heading into Saturday’s game. However, the status of Orioles outfielder Heston Kjerstad is worth monitoring after he was hit in the helmet by a pitch from Yankees reliever Clay Holmes in the ninth inning of Friday’s game.
Kjerstad left the game and was being evaluated, according to manager Brandon Hyde. If Kjerstad is unable to play on Saturday, it could impact Baltimore’s outfield depth and lineup configuration.
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
The Baltimore Orioles will face off against the New York Yankees on Saturday, July 13th in what is sure to be an exciting matchup. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but the Yankees currently hold the upper hand with a record of 57-29 compared to the Orioles’ 27-62 record.
In terms of prediction, it is likely that the Yankees will come out on top in this game. They have a much stronger lineup and pitching staff compared to the struggling Orioles. The Yankees are currently leading the American League East division and have been playing some of their best baseball as of late. On the other hand, the Orioles have been struggling to find consistency and have one of the worst records in the league.
In terms of odds, the Yankees are heavily favored to win this game. According to sportsbooks, the Yankees have odds of -300 to win, meaning you would have to bet $300 to win $100. On the other hand, the Orioles have odds of +250, meaning you could win $250 by betting $100 on them. These odds reflect the disparity in talent between the two teams and the likelihood of a Yankees victory.
As for player props, there are a few key players to keep an eye on in this game. For the Yankees, Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres have been hot at the plate recently and could be poised for a big game against the struggling Orioles pitching staff. On the Orioles side, Trey Mancini has been a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season and could provide some offense for his team.
Overall, the odds are heavily in favor of the Yankees in this matchup and it is likely that they will come out on top. However, anything can happen in baseball and the Orioles could pull off an upset if they play their best game. It will be interesting to see how this matchup unfolds on Saturday, July 13th.
