Maryland vs Florida Sweet 16 Matchup: Betting Lines, Odds, Splits, and Score Projections

• The #1 Florida Gators are sizable favorites over the #4 Maryland Terrapins on Thursday in San Francisco
• The Maryland/Florida public betting splits are all over the Gators to advance
• Below, see the final Maryland vs Florida odds, betting lines, score projections, and betting splits

The chalk held in the West Region and now the #1 Florida Gators (32-4, 26-10 ATS) will beet the #4 Maryland Terrapins (27-8, 18-16-1 ATS) in the Sweet 16 at the Chase Center in San Francisco at 4:39 pm PT/7:39 pm ET on Thursday night. The Gators opened as 6.5-point favorites when the odds were released last Sunday and the spread has mostly held since then.

Maryland vs Florida Odds & Lines

Roughly three hours before tipoff, the Gators remain a 6.5-point neutral-court favorite with -110 odds on both sides. The moneyline has also stayed fairly stagnant; Florida was -325 last Sunday and is a -320 moneyline favorite as of Thursday evening. The game total, on other hand, has moved significantly. After opening at just 154.5, the O/U has ballooned to 157.0.

Odds as of 4:14 pm ET, March 27, at Caesars. Lock in this week’s Caesars Sportsbook promo code to get a bonus to use on the Sweet 16.

Maryland advanced to the Sweet 16 with a sweat-free 81-49 rout of #13 Grand Canyon in the first round, led by a 12-point, 15-rebound, three-assist double-double from standout freshman Derik Queen (16.2 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 1.9 APG). The second round was a much different story; Maryland and Colorado State battled it out in the game of the tournament to date, with the Terms emerging victorious 72-71 on a buzzer-beater from Queen.

Florida’s path to the Sweet 16 paralleled Maryland’s. The Gators cruised through #16 Norfolk State (95-69) but met a ton of resistance against #8 UConn in the round of 32. The two-time defending-champion Huskies led by as many as six in the second half and still led by three with four minutes to play.

But UF would go on a late 6-0 run to take the lead for good and eventually emerge with a narrow 77-75 win as 8.5-point favorites. Senior guard and leading scorer Walter Clayton Jr (17.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 4.2 APG) led the Gators in scoring both games, dropping 23 points against both Norfolk State and UConn.

Florida enters the Sweet 16 as the second-favorite in the March Madness championship odds at +375. Maryland is ninth at +3300.

Maryland vs Florida Betting Splits

The Maryland vs Florida betting splits show the public absolute smashing the Gators on the moneyline. UF is currently getting 94% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline handle in Thursday’s March Madness betting splits.

The public also likes Florida to cover the 6.5-point spread, but the divide isn’t quite as big. As of 4:30 pm ET, the Gators were getting 63% of ATS wagers and 62% of ATS handle.

The public is also hammering the over in Maryland/Florida, putting 81% of O/U tickets and 82% of O/U handle on over 157.0 roughly three hours from tip-off.

Maryland vs Florida Score Projections

The three main analytics/projection sites for college basketball – KenPom, Haslametrics, and Torvik – show some fairly notable disagreement when it comes to the score prediction for Maryland vs Florida. KenPom has the projected score at 81-75 for the Gators, while Torvik has the margin at just three (79-76 Florida win. Haslam is in between projecting a four-point Gator victory.

But the sites are basically aligned when it comes to the total. All three predict the O/U landing between 155 ant 156.4.

The Sweet 16 matchup between the Maryland Terrapins and the Florida Gators is shaping up to be a highly anticipated game for college basketball fans. Both teams have had impressive seasons so far, with Maryland finishing the regular season with a 24-7 record and Florida finishing with a 23-8 record.

When it comes to betting lines and odds for this matchup, sportsbooks have the game as a close one, with Maryland being a slight favorite. The Terrapins are currently listed as -2.5 point favorites, with the over/under set at 140 points. This indicates that oddsmakers expect a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams.

In terms of splits, both teams have shown strengths in different areas throughout the season. Maryland has been dominant on the defensive end, ranking in the top 20 in points allowed per game. On the other hand, Florida has been a strong offensive team, ranking in the top 30 in points scored per game. This sets up an interesting matchup between Maryland’s defense and Florida’s offense.

As for score projections, it’s tough to predict exactly how this game will play out. Both teams have shown the ability to score points and play solid defense, so it could go either way. However, based on their performances throughout the season, it wouldn’t be surprising to see a final score in the range of 70-65 in favor of Maryland.

Overall, this Sweet 16 matchup between Maryland and Florida is sure to be a thrilling game for fans and bettors alike. With close betting lines, contrasting strengths on both sides, and high stakes in the NCAA Tournament, this game has all the makings of a classic March Madness showdown. Be sure to tune in and see which team comes out on top in this exciting matchup.