- Alabama meets LSU in a classic “First Saturday in November” matchup
- The LSU Tigers are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games at home
- Check out our updated Alabama vs LSU predictions and odds, below
The premier “First Saturday in November” CFB matchup kicks off this Saturday, November 9 as #11 Alabama (6-2, 3-2 SEC) goes to war with #14 LSU (6-2, 3-1 SEC). This SEC battle is a must-win game for each squad, as the loser will effectively be eliminated from the College Football Playoff bracket. Keep in mind, the winner of this contest made the CFP in nine out of ten years in the four-team playoff era.
Catch this one over on ABC and ESPN + as all the action gets underway at 7:30 ET from Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Look for the updated Alabama vs LSU odds and our expert predictions, below.
Alabama vs LSU Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | -2.5 (-120) | -137 | Over 58.5 (-110) |
| LSU | +2.5 (-102) | +114 | Under 58.5 (-110) |
Alabama are 2.5-point favorites in the college football Week 11 odds. The total for Alabama vs LSU is set at 58.5 points. Bettors love the Crimson Tide in this one, as 67% of spread bets are on Alabama to cover in the latest college football public betting splits.
Odds as of November 9 at FanDuel. Check out the best football betting apps for Alabama vs LSU.
Alabama Betting News & Notes
Alabama enters this crucial SEC clash riding high after blowing out Missouri 34-0 last week. Despite a tough schedule, Kalen DeBoer’s squad sit in the top-15 in the nation defensively in opponent points per game (18.6), yards per play (4.5), and third-down conversion percentage (31.2).
Crucially, the Crimson Tide allow just 3.7 yards per carry and rank 17th in the FBS in EPA allowed per rush. Plus, Kane Wommack’s defense are sixth in passing success rate surrendered.
On offense, the Crimson Tide are extremely run-heavy. Which bodes well against a vulnerable LSU front seven. They rank a stellar 35th in success rate, and are 22nd in EPA per rush this season. Additionally, the Crimson Tide are a big play waiting to happen. A wild 10.2% of their plays gain 20+ yards, the third-highest number in the FBS.
Anyways, Jalen Milroe highlights vs LSU 🔥
pic.twitter.com/awAcbNUWjU https://t.co/8joqsl1qFk
— 18x National Champions 🐘 (@_Tide18Tymes) June 2, 2024
Quarterback Jalen Milroe will have to be at his playmaking best to unlock this offense. The junior pivot has looked pedestrian in losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee. However, he stepped up to the plate and destroyed Georgia earlier this season, with 501 total yards and four touchdowns. If the LSU defense can’t keep him under wraps in the pocket, Milroe will make them pay.
LSU Betting News & Notes
LSU’s offense is solely reliant on the right arm of quarterback Garrett Nussmeier. The joyful junior has tossed for 2,627 yards with 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions on the season.
His unbelievable anticipation skills and deep ball accuracy led the Tigers to a thrilling comeback victory over Ole Miss earlier this season. However, even Nussmeier’s magic tricks weren’t enough to overcome a Texas A&M onslaught in LSU’s last contest.
hop on the bus, Nuss.
you don’t need to discuss muuuccchhhhh.
I’m a big fan of how Garrett Nussmeier has been playing so far this year. Accurate, willing and able to attack all 3 levels and plays with a great feel for the position (pressure to sack rate of just 2.8% so far!) pic.twitter.com/ellCUBYql9
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) October 1, 2024
Concerningly, the Tigers have struggled to run the football and sit dead last in the SEC in rushing offense while totaling just 122 yards per game. LSU sits 83rd in PFF run-blocking grade and rank 112th nationally in EPA per rush (-0.07). Making matters worse, starting left guard Garrett Dellinger will miss this contest with an ankle injury.
On defense, Blake Baker’s unit has been carved up by mobile quarterbacks lately. Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed promptly led the Aggies to a second-half comeback while rushing for three scores in Week 9. If Milroe shakes loose early, it could be game over for the Tigers.
Updated Expert Alabama vs LSU Prediction
Alabama has lost two straight games in Death Valley. However, LSU’s defense looked helpless once Texas A&M switched to a running quarterback. The Aggies dominated in the trenches in the second half and bullied the Tigers beaten up front seven. The Crimson Tide will look to follow that script on Saturday night.
Ultimately, this Alabama vs LSU contest will come down to who can produce more offense in the fourth quarter. With both Jalen Milroe and Garrett Nussmeier capable of creating explosive plays out of nowhere, expect to see a plethora of points scored.
These teams are desperate for a victory and will push to score late. The over has hit in nine of Alabama’s last 12 games as the favorite. Bet on that trend to continue vs LSU.
- Updated Alabama vs LSU pick: Over 58.5 points (-110)
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The highly anticipated matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers on November 9th is shaping up to be one of the biggest games of the college football season. Both teams are powerhouse programs with talented rosters and passionate fan bases, making this game a must-watch for any football enthusiast.
As of now, the latest odds for the game have Alabama listed as the favorite, with most sportsbooks giving them a slight edge over LSU. This is not surprising, as Alabama has been dominant all season, boasting an undefeated record and a high-powered offense led by star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. However, LSU is no slouch either, with a strong defense and an explosive offense of their own led by quarterback Joe Burrow.
Experts are split on who will come out on top in this matchup, with some favoring Alabama’s experience and talent, while others believe that LSU’s home-field advantage and momentum will give them the edge. It’s sure to be a close and exciting game, with both teams having everything to play for as they jockey for position in the College Football Playoff rankings.
One thing is for certain: this game will have major implications for the rest of the season, as the winner will likely have a clear path to the SEC Championship and a shot at a national title. Fans can expect a hard-fought battle between two of the best teams in the country, with plenty of drama and excitement along the way.
So mark your calendars for November 9th and get ready for what promises to be a thrilling showdown between Alabama and LSU. It’s sure to be a game for the ages, with both teams leaving it all on the field in pursuit of victory. Don’t miss out on what is sure to be a classic college football matchup.