Vice President Kamala Harris speaks Wednesday during Zeta Phi Beta Sorority’s convention at the Indiana Convention Center in Indianapolis.
- Kamala Harris’ odds to win the 2024 presidential election have improved to +150
- Donald Trump has faded from -285 to -188 over the past ten days
- See the latest 2024 presidential election odds for Harris, Trump, and everyone else remaining on the board
After incumbent Joe Biden dropped his re-election campaign and threw his support behind Vice President Kamala Harris, it didn’t take long for the bulk of Democratic delegates to fall in line, rendering Harris the presumptive nominee ahead of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19-22.
With Harris shortening to -3300 in the Democratic nomination odds, her odds of winning the presidency have also dramatically improved in recent days.
Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate (Party) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump (GOP) | -188 |
| Kamala Harris (Dem) | +150 |
| Michelle Obama (Dem) | +2500 |
| Hillary Clinton (Dem) | +3300 |
| Robert Kennedy Jr (Dem/Independent) | +5000 |
| JD Vance (GOP) | +6600 |
| Gavin Newsom (Dem) | +10000 |
| Mark Kelly (Dem) | +15000 |
| Josh Shapiro (Dem) | +20000 |
| Gretchen Whitmer (Dem) | +20000 |
Harris, who was a +800 longshot on July 14, is now neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump (-188). No one else on the board is shorter than +2500 (Michelle Obama).
Odds as of July 25 at bet365. See the full list of election betting sites. Wagering on the 2024 presidential election is not available to US residents.
Harris Already Has Backing of Majority of Democratic Delegates
Though the Democratic nomination is far from official, Harris already has the support of more than enough delegates to claim the nomination at August’s convention in Chicago.
Joe Biden had already secured 3,904 of the 3,951 delegates in the Democratic primary process before dropping out. When he left the race, those delegates were free move their support to a new candidate. As of Monday, Harris had already secured the support of 2,668, well over the 50% she needs to secure the nomination.
She worked the phones. Her team worked the delegates. When it was over, Kamala Harris had locked down the Democratic nomination in 48 hours. https://t.co/9JzkZii3Ys
— The New York Times (@nytimes) July 25, 2024
Harris’ odds to be the nominee changed drastically this week, as a result. She initially became the -200 favorite to win the nomination when it was announced last week that Biden had contracted COVID. When he officially dropped out of the race that Sunday, Harris improved to -400. And once Biden’s delegates started lining up behind the VEEP, her odds progressed to -900 and then -3300 when she was over the 50% threshold.
Harris has also been highly successful in her early fundraising efforts.
Trump Losing Ground as Harris Gains
The necessary corollary of Harris gaining ground in the election odds is Trump dropping down.
While most of the shift is due to Harris’ ascension, some of it can be chalked up to his Vice Presidential pick of JD Vance, who was the most Trump-ish of the main GOP VP contenders.
The junior senator from Ohio is in lockstep with the most extreme MAGA idealogues. Many political pundits expected Trump to pick a more centrist running mate in order to appease voters weary of “Project 2025“. But Trump doubled-down on his extremist tendencies, and may now be reliant on his most-arden base expanding in order to find victory in the 2024 electoral college.
Stay tuned to the 2024 presidential election odds tracker for the latest odds movement in the race.
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
As the 2024 presidential election draws closer, all eyes are on the potential candidates vying for the highest office in the land. One name that has been gaining significant traction in recent weeks is Vice President Kamala Harris. Despite facing criticism and challenges during her time in office, Harris is now emerging as a strong contender in the race against former President Donald Trump.
According to recent polls and betting odds, Harris has been steadily climbing in popularity and is now seen as a serious threat to Trump’s chances of reclaiming the presidency. This shift in momentum can be attributed to a number of factors, including Harris’ experience as a former prosecutor and senator, as well as her historic role as the first female, Black, and South Asian vice president.
Harris’ strong performance in key policy areas, such as immigration reform, criminal justice reform, and healthcare, has also helped boost her standing among voters. Additionally, her ability to connect with diverse communities and mobilize grassroots support has solidified her position as a formidable candidate in the upcoming election.
On the other hand, Trump continues to face backlash for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, his divisive rhetoric, and his ongoing legal battles. While he still maintains a loyal base of supporters, many Americans are looking for a fresh face and new leadership in the White House.
As the 2024 election approaches, it will be interesting to see how the dynamic between Harris and Trump continues to evolve. With both candidates actively campaigning and building their platforms, the race for the presidency is sure to be a closely contested one. Ultimately, it will be up to the American people to decide who they believe is best suited to lead the country forward in the years to come.
