- Opening odds have been posted for the 2028 US presidential election
- Vice President-elect JD Vance is the early favorite to win the 2028 election
- Below, see the early 2028 Presidential Election odds
Less than 24 hours after the Donald Trump/JD Vance ticket swept to a massive Electoral College victory in the 2024 election, sportsbooks have opened the odds for the 2028 presidential election. With Trump at his two-term limit, his Vice President, Vance, has opened as the betting favorite to win the White House in four years’ time.
2028 Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate (Party) | Odds |
|---|---|
| JD Vance (GOP) | +300 |
| Michelle Obama (DEM) | +500 |
| Gavin Newsom (DEM) | +550 |
| Ron DeSantis (GOP) | +800 |
| Tulsi Gabbard (GOP) | +1000 |
| Hillary Clinton (DEM) | +1400 |
| Tucker Carlson (GOP) | +1400 |
| Nikki Haley (GOP) | +2500 |
| Oprah Winfrey (DEM) | +2500 |
| Kamala Harris (DEM) | +2500 |
| Josh Shapiro (GOP) | +3300 |
| Robert F Kennedy Jr (IND) | +3300 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (GOP) | +3300 |
| Donald Trump Jr (GOP) | +4000 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (DEM) | +5000 |
| Doug Burgum (GOP) | +5000 |
| Elon Musk (GOP) | +5000 |
| Gretchen Whitmer (DEM) | +5000 |
| Ivanka Trump (GOP) | +5000 |
| Tim Walz (DEM) | +5000 |
| Dwayne Johnson (TBD) | +6600 |
| Elizabeth Warren (DEM) | +6600 |
| Glenn Youngkin (GOP) | +6600 |
| JB Pritzker (GOP) | +6600 |
| Liz Cheney (GOP) | +6600 |
| Mark Kelly (DEM) | +6600 |
Vance, the current junior senator from Ohio, has opened at +300, which amounts to a 25% implied probability.
Odds as of November 6, 2024, at William Hill. Learn all you need to know about political betting sites.
Michelle Obama Leads Democratic Candidates
After Vice President Kamala Harris’ crushing defeat in the 2024 election, the Democrats are left with a serious leadership vacuum. That’s evidenced by the fact that the Democrat with the best odds to win the 2028 election, former First Lady Michelle Obama, has never held, or even run for, public office.
Obama (+500) is followed closely by California governor Gavin Newsom (+550) but then there’s a steep drop-off to failed 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton (+1400), talk-show host Oprah Winfrey, who would presumably run for the Dems, and Harris (both +2500).
DeSantis Seen as Main Challenger for GOP Nomination
When it comes to potential Republican candidates, Florida governor Ron DeSantis (+800) is seen as the main challenger. DeSantis was briefly the favorite to win GOP nomination in 2024 before Trump big-brothered him out of the way. His official 2024 campaign got off to a rocky start when his official launch on Twitter was plagued with malfunctions, and it never recovered thereafter.
Also high-ish on the list for potential GOP candidates are former Hawaii representative Tulsi Gabbard (+1000), pundit Tucker Carlson (+1400), and former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley (+2500), who was the last person to abandon the fight against Trump for the 2024 Republican nomination.
As the 2028 presidential election approaches, political analysts and betting odds are pointing to JD Vance as the favorite candidate, with former First Lady Michelle Obama coming in a close second.
JD Vance, a former Marine and author of the bestselling memoir “Hillbilly Elegy,” has gained popularity among conservative voters for his views on economic issues and his focus on working-class Americans. Vance’s background growing up in Ohio and his experiences in the military have resonated with many voters who feel left behind by the political establishment. His message of economic opportunity and personal responsibility has struck a chord with voters across the country.
Michelle Obama, on the other hand, is a well-known figure in American politics, having served as First Lady during her husband’s two terms in office. Her advocacy for issues such as education, health, and women’s rights has made her a beloved figure among Democrats and progressives. Many see her as a unifying force who can bring the country together and heal divisions that have deepened in recent years.
While Vance and Obama represent different ends of the political spectrum, both candidates have strong appeal to voters across the country. Vance’s focus on economic issues and Obama’s message of unity and progress have resonated with voters who are looking for change and leadership in the White House.
As the election season heats up, it will be interesting to see how these two candidates fare in the polls and how their platforms evolve to meet the needs of a changing electorate. With Vance as the favorite in the 2028 election odds and Obama close behind, it promises to be an exciting and closely contested race for the presidency.
