How to Place a Winning Home Run Parlay Bet for May 1st with Odds of +9352

  • We’ve got a decent day/night split slate waiting for us on Thursday, May 1
  • Sometimes, the smart move is to get all of the action in on the early slate
  • See below for my +14156 home run parlay today (May 1st)

We made it to May 1st. Honestly, I knew we were going to do it because we do it every year, but still, it feels good. Real good. As we get deeper into the summer, weather is going to play a factor in the home run game we play. Hotter temps mean more home runs. That’s just dinger science. There aren’t many “hot” games today, but there are a few warm ones with winds blowing in the direction we want. We’ll take any edge we can get at this point, even if we can’t see it. The only thing is, we need to get this thing in as quick as possible because these games all happen during the day. Early bird gets the worm. Feels right.

(Please remember to play all three legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/4 unit three-leg parlay.)

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (May 1)

MLB odds as of May 1 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s list of the top sports betting apps for real money.

Thursday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Byron Buxton to Hit a Home Run

I don’t want to take a +300 guy as much as the next man, but sometimes we have to do what we have to do. In my opinion, Buxton should be +240 in this matchup, so when we look at it like that, we’re getting value. At the end of the day, this game we play is all about value.

Seriously, how is a guy smashing like this only +300. That’s crazy.

I know Ben Lively throws the sinker a lot and Buxton rips that pitch from righties but what we really want is the four-seamer. The numbers say we need to be targeting a lefty in the Twins lineup since Lively has given up four of his five dingers to that side of the plate, but I’m not so sure. The underlying metrics say that he’s been lucky not to get ravaged by righties, too, since his hard hit rate is so high on that pitch. One thing I know is that if/when Buxton sees Lively’s four-seamer, it’s going to end up in the stands.

  • The Bet: Byron Buxton to Hit a Home Run (+300) – FanDuel
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Thursday HR Parlay Leg #2 – Kyle Manzardo to Hit a Home Run

We simply have to get someone in this thing from the Cleveland Guardians’ side of the field, and it’s Kyle Manzardo. I went back and fourth between him and Jose Ramirez, but at the end of the day, it turned out to be Kyle. Let’s face it, it was always Kyle.

Just look at what he does to Simeon Woods Richardson’s pitch mix.

Here’s the thing: these dingers have a lot to do with the pitchers as well. On the surface, it feels like a hitter thing, but that’s just on the surface. Once we dig a little, we find out what’s really going on and simply put, Simeon Woods Richardson is a dinger pitcher. He’s only given up four so far this season, but that number is sure to rise given how hard guys are hitting him. Throw in a little wind/temp advantage, and we’ve got a Kyle Manzardo dinger. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Kyle Manzardo to Hit a Home Run (+390) – FanDuel

Thursday HR Parlay Leg #3 – Jackson Chourio to Hit a Home Run

Obviously we need a Jackson in this thing so the books know we’re legit. Given that the other Jacksons aren’t playing, our decision is made for us. The thing is, I would have chosen this Jackson too.

When you dig in a little, it’s easy to see why Jackson Chourio is the man for the job today.

Sure we’ve got a great atmosphere from a weather/ballpark side of things but at the end of the day, it’s all about Sean Burke’s pitch mix. He throws a slider to righties that a little leaguer could take deep. We’re talking a .591 ISO on that pitch people. That’s terrible. What’s even better is, our Jackson destroys that pitch from righties. I can’t see how he doesn’t hit a dinger today. Feels too easy.

  • The Bet: Jackson Chourio to Hit a Home Run (+480) – FanDuel
  • SBD 3-Man HR Strategy Results: -4.575 Units
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If you’re looking to place a winning home run parlay bet for May 1st with odds of +9352, there are a few key strategies you can use to increase your chances of success. A home run parlay bet involves selecting multiple players to hit a home run in their respective games, with the odds increasing significantly with each additional player chosen.

First and foremost, it’s important to do your research and carefully analyze the matchups for the day. Look at factors such as the starting pitchers, ballpark dimensions, weather conditions, and each player’s recent performance to help you make informed decisions on who to include in your parlay bet.

Next, consider diversifying your selections across different games and teams to spread out your risk. While it may be tempting to load up on players from one particular team or game, this can leave you vulnerable if that team has a bad day at the plate. By including players from multiple games, you increase your chances of hitting on at least one home run and potentially cashing in on your bet.

Additionally, consider the odds offered for each player hitting a home run. While it’s tempting to chase the highest odds for a potentially larger payout, it’s important to balance risk and reward. Including a mix of players with varying odds can help you maximize your potential payout while still maintaining a reasonable level of risk.

Finally, be sure to shop around at different sportsbooks to find the best odds for your parlay bet. Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different odds for the same player hitting a home run, so taking the time to compare prices can make a significant difference in your potential payout.

By following these tips and strategies, you can increase your chances of placing a winning home run parlay bet for May 1st with odds of +9352. Remember to do your research, diversify your selections, consider the odds offered, and shop around for the best prices to maximize your chances of success. Good luck!

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