How to Get 103-1 Odds on NFL Parlay Picks for Conference Championships

• NFL parlay options are pretty limited as we enter the NFL Conference Championships, which only contain two games on Sunday
• I have built two NFL parlays for the NFC and AFC Championships
• See my 103-1 NFL parlay for the Conference Championships below

With just two games to be played during the NFL Conference Championships, my options for NFL parlays are certainly limited. However, I believe I have found some players sportsbooks are really undervaluing from the NFC and AFC Championships, respectively. So, I was still able to pull together a five-leg NFL parlay with +10300 odds, as well as a “safer” parlay at +139 odds.

My parlays missed last week, as I only hit two of the five legs in my longshot parlay, where you would have lost a little bit of money betting them as singles, and the higher-probability parlay was a dud too. But with this being the last week of the season with multiple games on the same day, I have really honed in this week, and am playing the following two NFL parlays:

NFL Parlay for Conference Championships

My favorite NFL parlay for the Conference Championships is the five-leg parlay above that comes to +10300 odds if you play it at bet365. This means a $10 bet on this parlay would win $1,030. If you try to play this parlay at DraftKings or FanDuel, you would have to take a higher milestone on Saquon Barkley’s receiving yards, and just about every other leg comes in at worse odds. So, you’re barely getting a better price with the higher milestone.

Here’s why I like each of the five legs in my NFL parlay above.

Dyami Brown 60+ Receiving Yards

Dyami Brown has broken out for the Commanders in their two playoff games. In the 15 games he played in during the regular season, Brown averaged just 19.5 receiving yards per game and was seeing an average of 2.4 targets per game. He has now seen 13 total targets in the playoffs, and he was the team-leader in targets in their win over the Lions last week – eight of Jayden Daniels’ 31 pass attempts went his direction, good for a 25.8% target share.

In those two games, he has recorded 89 and 98 yards, respectively, while playing a season-high 83% of Washington’s offensive snaps last week. Brown is going to be on the field and he is going to receive his opportunities after proving himself over the last two weeks.

Washington is going to come out and attempt to play fast, and Brown is a big part of that offense now.

Saquon Barkley 20+ Receiving Yards

Saquon Barkley has not been used as a receiver very often this season. He has only recorded 20+ receiving yards in seven of the 18 games he has played. However, his best game as a receiver came in their first meeting with the Commanders, when he totaled 52 receiving yards, and he is fresh off 27 receiving yards against the Rams last week, when he tied his season-high for receptions with four.

I like this bet because I’m not certain Jalen Hurts will be able to run the ball effectively. If he’s unable to do that, we will see Washington sellout to stop Saquon running the ball, as they did in the second half of their Week 16 meeting when Hurts was knocked out of the game. If that’s the case, Kellen Moore will have to find more creative ways to get the ball in the hands of his best playmaker. I like that to lead to a handful of targets for Barkley, which he will make good use of.

Khalil Shakir 60+ Receiving Yards

In spite of the Bills taking Keon Coleman with their first pick in the draft and trading for Amari Cooper ahead of the deadline, Khalil Shakir has remained Buffalo’s most targeted receiver. He is averaging 6.7 targets and 54.7 receiving yards per game this season.

But he has posted better-than-average numbers in both playoff games so far, recording 61 and 67 receiving yards, respectively. I think he continues this trend against the Chiefs, who he saw a season-high 12 targets against when they played in mid-November, turning the extra looks into 70 receiving yards.

Shakir has the best matchup among Bills receivers in this game, as he will likely line up across from Chamarri Conner for the vast majority of his snaps. The slot corner is without a doubt Kansas City’s weakest corner in coverage, and I think he is the player Buffalo will opt to pick on Sunday.

Travis Kelce 80+ Receiving Yards

I am not betting on 2024 regular season Travis Kelce here. I am banking on Playoff Travis Kelce showing up again for the Chiefs this weekend. Kelce averaged just 51.4 receiving yards per game this regular season, which is a career-low for the tight end (outside of his rookie season, when he played in just one game).

However, he just posted 117 yards on seven catches in the Divisional Round against the Texans, and that number is much more inline with what we expect from Kelce, especially in the playoffs. The future Hall-of-Famer is averaging 99.1 receiving yards over his last 14 playoff games, and has posted at least 80 yards in 11 of the 14.

He was awfully quiet in their game against the Bills earlier this season, only recording eight yards on two catches. I think he explodes in this one.

Xavier Worthy Anytime TD

I discussed why I love a Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown in my Conference Championship NFL TD Picks. You can read more about it there, but the gist is that Worthy is seeing a lot of red zone looks, and he’s a threat every time he touches the ball, which has been often since Marquise Brown joined the lineup.

Higher-Probability Conference Championship NFL Parlay

If you didn’t want to go with the longshot parlay above, and instead want to play a safer parlay that still meets the criteria for most parlay boosts available, I have put together the three-leg NFL parlay above that comes to +139 odds at DraftKings. You can get very close with +137 odds at bet365, but most other sportsbooks do not allow you to play alt team totals.

Here are some quick notes on why I like the three legs in this parlay:

• Commanders Over 13.5 Points: Washington has scored at least 14 points in every game this season, and have actually never scored less than 18. Though, one of those 18-point performances did come against Philadelphia in Week 11. They followed it up with 36 in their Week 16 meeting with the Eagles. I certainly appreciate how good Philadelphia’s defense is, but I can’t see Washington scoring less than two touchdowns.
• Xavier Worthy 40+ Receiving Yards: Excluding the Week 18 game where Worthy (and the starters) didn’t really play, the rookie WR has recorded at least 40 receiving yards in each of his last eight games. He posted 61 yards against the Bills earlier this season, and I like him to be used often Sunday.
• Bills +7.5 Alt Spread: I went into detail on why I like the Bills in the AFC Championship in my NFL Picks for Conference Championships. I feel really good teasing them through both 3 and 7, as I think they have a really good chance to win this game outright. They beat the Chiefs by nine points in Week 11, though that game was in Buffalo, and each of their last two playoff losses to the Chiefs were by less than seven points. Josh Allen at the very least keeps this one close.

If you’re looking to make some serious money on the upcoming NFL conference championships, then parlay betting might be the way to go. Parlay betting allows you to combine multiple bets into one, increasing your potential payout significantly. And with odds of 103-1, the potential for a big payday is certainly enticing.

To get 103-1 odds on NFL parlay picks for the conference championships, you’ll need to do some careful research and strategic planning. Here are some tips to help you increase your chances of hitting that big payout:

1. Research the Teams: Before placing any bets, it’s crucial to do your homework on the teams playing in the conference championships. Look at their recent performance, injuries, and head-to-head matchups. This information will help you make informed decisions when selecting your parlay picks.

2. Look for Value: When selecting your parlay picks, look for value in the odds. Don’t just pick the favorites – consider underdogs that have a realistic chance of winning. This will increase your potential payout if they come through.

3. Mix and Match: To get odds of 103-1, you’ll likely need to include several different bets in your parlay. Mix and match different types of bets, such as moneyline, point spread, and over/under, to increase your odds of hitting that big payout.

4. Consider Prop Bets: In addition to traditional game bets, consider including prop bets in your parlay. Prop bets offer a wide range of options, from player performance to game outcomes, and can add an extra layer of excitement to your parlay picks.

5. Manage Your Bankroll: Parlay betting can be risky, so it’s important to manage your bankroll wisely. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and avoid chasing losses by betting more than you should.

By following these tips and strategies, you can increase your chances of getting 103-1 odds on NFL parlay picks for the conference championships. Remember to do your research, look for value in the odds, mix and match different types of bets, consider prop bets, and manage your bankroll responsibly. With a little luck and skill, you could be on your way to a big payday. Good luck!