Grammy Awards 2025: Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday, February 2nd

• The 2025 Grammy Awards will air live on Sunday, February 2nd on CBS and Paramount+
• Beyoncé leads all artists with 11 nominations; Kendrick Lamar, Billie Eilish, and Charli XCX earned 7 each
• Will Beyoncé finally win Album of the Year? See the odds and our picks for the top categories

Music’s biggest night, the 67th Annual Grammy Awards, will kick off on Sunday, February 2, 2025 at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The event, hosted by Trevor Noah, will be broadcast live on CBS and Paramount+.

Beyoncé leads the pack with 11 total nominations, bringing her career total to a record 99. Will this finally be the year she takes home the coveted Album of the Year award for Cowboy Carter? The superstar faces tough competition from the likes of Kendrick Lamar, Billie Eilish, and Charli XCX, who each scored 7 nominations.

Let’s dive into the current Kalshi market odds for the top categories at the 2025 Grammys. Sign up now with promo code “DIME” to get a $10 bonus!

Album of the Year Odds & Prediction

Beyoncé’s Cowboy Carter Makes Strong Push

While Charli XCX’s Brat generated immense buzz during “Brat Summer” and was an integral part of the cultural zeitgeist, industry experts point to Beyoncé’s Cowboy Carter as the top contender. The album is a groundbreaking fusion of country, R&B and pop that spotlights Black contributions to American music. Its impact has resonated with critics and fans alike.

Beyoncé’s strong momentum in the prediction markets, where Cowboy Carter has surged 17 points recently, only bolsters its front-runner status. After losing in this category three times before, often controversially, it feels like the Recording Academy is ready to finally crown Queen Bey. The album’s cultural significance and undeniable quality make it our updated pick.

Although Billie Eilish’s Hit Me Hard and Soft holds a slight edge in the market odds, music insiders believe Beyoncé’s album carries more weight as an important historical document. Jay-Z even called out his wife’s previous Album of the Year snubs while accepting an honorary award at last year’s ceremony. With the combination of strong odds and a “due factor” narrative, Cowboy Carter emerges as the clear favorite.

Record of the Year Odds & Prediction

Kendrick Lamar’s “Not Like Us Poised to Pull Upset

Although Sabrina Carpenter’s addictive earworm “Espresso” has the highest odds, music analysts make a compelling case for Kendrick Lamar’s “Not Like Us”. The diss track transcended its origins to become a universal anthem of pride and identity. It dominated conversations, inspired memes and pushed rap in bold new directions.

With growing momentum in the Kalshi markets and resounding critical acclaim, “Not Like Us” has the qualities Grammy voters historically recognize in the prestigious Record of the Year category. If it prevails, Lamar would become just the second rap artist to win, following Childish Gambino’s “This Is America”. Espresso is the safe choice, but Not Like Us would be the most impactful winner.

Another factor working in Lamar’s favor is the recent lawsuit filed by Drake against Universal over the song’s release. While you’d think controversy might hurt its chances, the final round of Grammy voting was already complete by the time the lawsuit made headlines. If anything, the added publicity may have spurred more voters to recognize the track’s undeniable influence. In a tight race, the cultural relevance of “Not Like Us” gives it the edge over “Espresso”.

Song of the Year Odds & Prediction

Billie Eilish’s Award to Lose

Billie Eilish’s “Birds of a Feather“ holds a commanding lead in the Song of the Year odds with a 66% implied probability and strong upward momentum. The track’s soaring vocals, intimate songwriting and polished production represent Eilish at her absolute best. With a previous win in this category for “What Was I Made For?”, the 23-year-old phenom is on the brink of joining legends with multiple victories

While some industry insiders make compelling cases for Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars’ “Die With a Smile” and Chappell Roan’s “Good Luck Babe!”, it’s difficult to bet against Eilish’s proven track record with the Recording Academy. Kendrick Lamar’s “Not Like Us” sits second in the odds, but rap songs rarely triumph in this songwriting-focused category.

Despite the star power of the other nominees, the market has spoken – and it’s overwhelmingly in favor of Eilish. Though Gaga/Mars and Roan certainly penned emotionally resonant songs, “Birds of a Feather” feels like a generational achievement in composition and performance from one of music’s brightest talents. Expect Billie to add to her collection with another Song of the Year trophy.

Best New Artist Odds & Prediction

Roan-Carpenter Battle for Best New Artist

The Best New Artist category is a two-horse race between Chappell Roan and Sabrina Carpenter. Roan’s breakthrough with The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess and chart-topping hit “Good Luck, Babe!” make her the odds-on favorite. However, we can’t ignore Sabrina Carpenter’s undeniable impact this year, as she’s reached Katy Perry in 2008 & Billie Eilish in 2019 levels of pop cultural cachet.

While Roan has the edge in the Kalshi markets with a 73% implied probability compared to Carpenter’s 23%, I believe it’s much closer than those odds suggest. With Carpenter’s momentum still growing and the voters’ tendency to reward artists with more name recognition, a Sabrina Carpenter upset at +750 odds is the best value bet in the category.

It’s worth noting that Doechii, despite sitting third in the odds, has run a masterful Grammy campaign with late-night performances, a Genius sit-down and an eye-catching “Denial is a River” music video. She’s positioned herself as the most exciting new voice in hip-hop.

If voters are seeking to recognize the most dynamic fresh talent regardless of mainstream popularity, Doechii could shock the world. Still, with over $620,000 traded on this market, the combined wisdom of bettors clearly favors Roan and Carpenter.

Taylor Swift Grammy Odds

Swift Expected to Get Snubbed at 2025 Grammys

Despite releasing her blockbuster The Tortured Poets Department album and embarking on the massive Eras Tour, Taylor Swift appears likely to leave the 2025 Grammys empty-handed based on the Kalshi markets. The highest probability is a 44% chance she wins zero awards, with a 34% shot at just one trophy.

Swift has only a 15% implied probability of announcing a new album at the ceremony according to over $26,000 in trade volume. Her nominations in the major categories, including “Fortnight” with Post Malone for Record of the Year, is given virtually no chance by the market.

Odds via Kalshi as of February 2nd, 2025. Sign up now with promo code “DIME” for a $10 bonus!

The Grammy Awards, one of the most prestigious events in the music industry, are set to take place on Sunday, February 2nd, 2025. As music fans eagerly anticipate the star-studded ceremony, speculation is rife about who will take home the coveted trophies in the various categories. With so much talent in the industry, predicting the winners can be a challenging task. However, there are some frontrunners who are likely to dominate the night.

One of the most highly anticipated categories is Album of the Year. In 2025, some of the top contenders for this award include Taylor Swift’s highly acclaimed album “Reputation,” Kendrick Lamar’s groundbreaking “DAMN.,” and newcomer Billie Eilish’s debut album “When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?” All three artists have had a phenomenal year in terms of critical and commercial success, making them strong contenders for Album of the Year.

In the Best New Artist category, there are several up-and-coming artists who have made a significant impact in the music industry. Some of the artists to watch out for include Lizzo, Megan Thee Stallion, and Rosalía. These artists have garnered widespread acclaim for their unique sound and style, making them favorites to win the award for Best New Artist.

When it comes to the Best Pop Solo Performance category, artists such as Ariana Grande, Ed Sheeran, and Beyoncé are expected to dominate. Each of these artists has had a successful year with hit singles that have resonated with audiences worldwide. It will be interesting to see who ultimately takes home the award in this highly competitive category.

In addition to these categories, there are also several other awards up for grabs, including Best Rap Album, Best Country Album, and Song of the Year. With so much talent in the industry, predicting the winners can be a daunting task. However, music fans can expect an exciting night filled with memorable performances and well-deserved accolades for some of the biggest names in music.

As the Grammy Awards draw closer, fans and critics alike will be eagerly awaiting the results to see which artists will come out on top. With so many talented musicians in contention, it promises to be a night to remember for music lovers everywhere. Stay tuned for more updates and predictions as we get closer to the big night on Sunday, February 2nd, 2025.