- We’ve made our UNLV vs San Jose State prediction for Friday night
- The Mountain West odds favor the #23 Rebels by 7.5 points on the road
- Read below for UNLV vs San Jose State prediction, pick and odds for Friday Night Football
The UNLV Rebels (8-2, 4-1 Mountain West) head to CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (6-4, 3-3) in a crucial Friday night Mountain West Conference matchup on November 22. Kickoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET on FS1.
The stakes couldn’t be higher for the 23rd-ranked Rebels. They need this win to keep their conference title hopes alive. UNLV’s having a breakthrough season under Coach Barry Odom and they’ll try to keep their perfect road record intact – they’ve won five straight away from home. They’re also hunting for their first-ever win at CEFCU Stadium.
The Spartans are looking to bounce back after Boise State roughed them up 42-21 last week. A win would give them eight on the season – something they haven’t done since 2012.
Vegas has UNLV as 7.5-point road favorites, with the total sitting at 60 points. Sharp bettors have already made their presence felt, pushing that number down from the opening line of 62-63.
UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction
UNLV has been turning heads all season long. They’ve already knocked off Oregon State and San Diego State, and their offense has been lighting up scoreboards. They’re putting up nearly 40 points per game behind dual-threat QB Hajj-Malik Williams and playmaking receiver Ricky White III.
But they’ve hit some speedbumps lately. The Rebels couldn’t punch it in when they got close against SDSU, failing on multiple goal-line chances. Now they’re facing a San Jose State defense that’s giving up 26 points per game.
Here’s what makes this interesting: The Spartans are tough against the run, allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. That’s bad news for a UNLV team that loves to pound the rock – they’re sixth in the country with 249 rushing yards per game.
San Jose State can move the ball through the air. QBs Walker Eget and Emmett Brown have been slinging it around, mostly looking for Nick Nash, who’s been a monster with 95 catches and 14 touchdowns.
NAAASSHHH!😤😤@nick3nash #ThisIsSparta | #AllSpartans pic.twitter.com/368nD3rN54
— San José State Football (@SanJoseStateFB) November 17, 2024
But UNLV’s secondary is no joke. They’ve picked off 16 passes this year and only give up 6.7 yards per throw. That’s significantly better than what the Spartans usually see.
Look for a slower game than the stats might suggest. Both teams’ strengths match up with the other’s best defensive unit. I’m expecting plenty of yards but drives that stall out in the red zone.
- Prediction: UNLV 34, San Jose State 17
- Best Bet: Under 60 points (-115 at DK)
UNLV vs San Jose State Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
UNLV | -7.5 (-110) | -280 | Over 60 (-105) |
San Jose State | +7.5 (-110) | +220 | Under 60 (-115) |
The numbers tell us UNLV’s the clear favorite here. That 7.5-point spread gives them a 73% chance to win, while San Jose State sits at +220 on the moneyline (31.3% implied odds). The oddsmakers are showing respect to UNLV’s 8-2 record, top-25 ranking, and impressive road streak.
But don’t sleep on the Spartans at home. They’re 4-1 at CEFCU Stadium this year, with their only loss coming to #13 Boise State. When they’re home dogs of 7 or more, they’re 1-1 against the spread.
Odds as of November 22, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out DraftKings review or browse other top college football betting apps.
The total’s seen some interesting action. It opened at 62-63 but sharp money hammered it down to 60. That lines up with what we’re expecting – a slower-paced game with some red zone troubles on both sides.
Worth noting: The under’s been money lately, hitting in four of SJSU’s last five and all of UNLV’s last four. The public’s leaning over because of the offensive numbers, but the smart money’s saying otherwise.
UNLV vs San Jose State Injuries
UNLV:
- WR Jacob De Jesus (knee) – Probable. De Jesus looked good in his return last week, grabbing seven balls for 75 yards and adding 42 on the ground against SDSU.
San Jose State:
- No significant injuries reported.
Getting De Jesus back is huge for UNLV’s offense. He gives them another weapon alongside White III and makes them even tougher to defend.
Ultimately, I expect a battle between UNLV’s ground game and San Jose State’s stout run defense. The Spartans will move the ball through the air, but UNLV’s ballhawking secondary could make life tough in the red zone.
I like the under 60 here – there’s still some value at that number. Keep an eye on those UNLV vs San Jose State odds and UNLV vs SJSU picks as we get closer to kickoff.
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Friday Night Football Prediction, Pick & Odds for UNLV vs San Jose State (Nov. 22)
The UNLV Rebels will take on the San Jose State Spartans in a Friday night showdown on November 22nd. Both teams are looking to end their seasons on a high note, with UNLV hoping to secure a bowl bid and San Jose State looking to improve their record.
UNLV comes into this game with a 3-7 record, while San Jose State sits at 4-6. The Rebels have struggled on both sides of the ball this season, ranking near the bottom of the Mountain West Conference in both scoring offense and defense. However, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly in their upset win over Vanderbilt earlier in the season.
San Jose State, on the other hand, has been more consistent but still has room for improvement. The Spartans have a strong passing attack led by quarterback Josh Love, who has thrown for over 2,500 yards and 14 touchdowns this season. Their defense has also been solid, holding opponents to an average of 26 points per game.
In terms of odds, San Jose State is currently favored by 7 points according to most sportsbooks. The over/under for the game is set at 55 points, indicating that oddsmakers expect a relatively high-scoring affair.
In terms of a prediction, this game could go either way. UNLV has shown the ability to pull off upsets this season, while San Jose State has been more consistent overall. The key for the Rebels will be to establish a strong running game and limit turnovers, while the Spartans will need to continue to rely on their passing attack and solid defense.
Ultimately, I believe that San Jose State will come out on top in this matchup. They have the more balanced team and should be able to take advantage of UNLV’s struggles on both sides of the ball. Look for a close game, but expect the Spartans to cover the spread and come away with a victory.