Friday Night Football Prediction, Pick & Odds for New Mexico vs San Diego State

• The San Diego State Aztecs are 2.5-point favorites when they host the New Mexico Lobos Friday night
• The Lobos have dropped nine straight games to the Aztecs
• Read below for New Mexico vs San Diego State betting line, prediction and pick

There’s no doubt that the New Mexico Lobos (3-6, 2-3 Mountain West) can put up points. The question Friday night is: can they put up enough to end a skid to the San Diego State Aztecs (3-5, 2-1 Mountain West) that’s reached nine games?

SDSU is a slight home favorite for this one, but both teams are struggling, both having lost two in a row coming in and with only three wins on the season.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Odds

The Aztecs are 4-4 at home this year, and are 2.5-point favorites in the college football odds.

Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm ET at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, with FS1 carrying the broadcast.

Odds as of November 7 at 9pm ET. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 11 College Football matchup.

Lobos: Great Offense, Terrible Defense

New Mexico is just outside the Top 25 in the nation in scoring, putting up 34.8 points per game, which is good for third in the Mountain West.

Powered by a rush attack that ranks eight in college football at 230.9 yards per game, and a Top-50 passing game that rings up 249.2 yards, the Lobos can light up any scoreboard. In fact, they have scored at least 45 points in four of their last five games.

However, all those points can’t help the Lobos outscore their defensive woes. They are second last in the MWC, allowing 38.9 points per game.

They are outside the Top 130 in yards per play (7.1), rush yards allowed (237.2) and rush per rush (131). They also grade out to a brutal 111th in pass yards allowed.

NO STOPPING DEVON.

📺TruTV #GoLobos | #EarnedNotGiven pic.twitter.com/vwN46uTwZV

— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) November 2, 2024

Wyoming outlasted UNM 49-45 last game because it got whatever it wanted, throwing for 342 yards while rushing for 262.

That woeful defense somehow overshadowed the fact the Lobos went berserk running the ball, posting 412 rushing yards.

Junior Eli Sanders went for 205 yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries, which was somehow topped by pivot Devon Dampier running for 207 yards, and three scores, on just 12 carries.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State is coming off its worst beating of the year, as the 15th-ranked Boise State Broncos crushed them 56-24, handing them their first conference loss on the year.

While they don’t usually bleed points like New Mexico, the Aztecs are still fourth-worst in scoring defense in the conference, giving up 27.6 points per game.

Unlike the Lobos, though, they don’t have an offense that can go toe-to-toe with the opposition, putting up 22.5 points per game, the fourth-lowest output in the MWC.

New Mexico vs San Diego State Last 5 Games

Most times, an offense that was outside the Top 105 in total yards, rushing and yards per play would be in trouble in any matchup, but stacked to New Mexico’s defense, the Aztecs are in position to shake their two game losing streak.

No team is worth trusting in this one, but one thing we can count on is New Mexico scoring and getting scored on. The Lobos have allowed 35 points in eight of nine games this season, the get-right opponent for any struggling offense.

They also allow have the seventh-most turnovers lost in the NCAA, with 12 interceptions and six fumbles. Those extra possessions for SDSU should help, and the scoreboard lights will feel the effects.

• Pick: Over 66 points (-110)

Friday Night Football Prediction, Pick & Odds for New Mexico vs San Diego State

The New Mexico Lobos will be facing off against the San Diego State Aztecs in an exciting Friday night football matchup. Both teams are coming off of tough losses in their previous games and will be looking to bounce back with a win.

The odds for this game currently have San Diego State as the favorite, with a spread of -7.5 points. The over/under is set at 45 points, indicating that oddsmakers are expecting a relatively low-scoring game.

When it comes to predicting the outcome of this game, there are a few key factors to consider. San Diego State has a strong defense that is ranked among the best in the nation, allowing just 17.3 points per game. On the other hand, New Mexico has struggled on both sides of the ball, ranking near the bottom of the country in both scoring offense and defense.

Offensively, San Diego State is led by quarterback Lucas Johnson, who has thrown for over 1,000 yards and 6 touchdowns this season. The Aztecs also have a strong rushing attack, led by running back Greg Bell, who has rushed for over 500 yards and 4 touchdowns.

New Mexico will need to find a way to slow down San Diego State’s offense if they want to have a chance at pulling off the upset. The Lobos will likely rely on their own rushing attack, led by running back Bobby Cole, who has rushed for over 400 yards and 3 touchdowns this season.

In terms of a prediction for this game, it’s hard to overlook the strength of San Diego State’s defense and their balanced offensive attack. While New Mexico has shown flashes of potential this season, they have struggled to put together a complete game against tough opponents.

Ultimately, I predict that San Diego State will come out on top in this matchup, covering the spread and winning by a comfortable margin. The final score prediction is San Diego State 28, New Mexico 14.

As always, it’s important to remember that anything can happen in college football, and upsets are always a possibility. So be sure to tune in to Friday night’s game to see how it all unfolds.