France vs Portugal Euro 2024 Quarterfinals: Les Bleus Favored in Betting Odds

France vs Portugal Euro 2024 Quarterfinals: Les Bleus Favored in Betting Odds
France defender Theo Hernandez speaking to the referee at the 2022 World Cup

Dec 14, 2022; Al Khor, Qatar; France defender Theo Hernandez (22) talks with FIFA referee Cesar Ramos during a pause in play against Morocco during the second half of a semifinal match during the 2022 World Cup at Al Bayt Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Yukihito Taguchi-USA TODAY Sports

  • Despite continuing to spurn chances, France eked out a 1-0 win over Belgium on Monday
  • Portugal saw off underdog Slovenia in a penalty shootout to set-up a massive quarterfinal clash with Les Bleus
  • See the opening France vs Portugal odds, including the three-way moneyline and odds to advance

France (2-2-0) survived a low-scoring affair with Belgium on Monday thanks to a late own-goal from Jan Vertonghen and now moves onto face another top-ten team in the quarterfinals in the form of Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal, who escaped Slovenia 3-0 in penalties later in the day.

The opening France vs Portugal odds slightly favor Les Bleus to move on, but both sides are in plus-money to win the game in regular time.

France vs Portugal Odds

Team Moneyline Total To Advance
France +140 Over 2.5 (+125) -143
Portugal +225 Under 2.5 (-152) +115
Draw +230

France is listed as a +140 favorite to win in 90 minutes and -143 to advance to the semifinals. Portugal is a +225 underdog to win in regular time and +115 to advance. A 90-minute draw has opened at +230.

France and Portugal will meet on Friday, July 5, at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg at 3:00 pm ET.

Odds as of July 1 at bet365. See the available bet365 promotions to use on Euro 2024. 

France’s odds to win the tournament improved to +400 after the win over Belgium. Portugal moved from +850 to +750 in the Euro 2024 odds after ousting Slovenia.

Unexpected Goalscoring Issues Continue to Plague France

No French players scored from the run of play in the group stage – the team’s only two goals from a Maximilian Wober own-goal against Austria and a Kylian Mbappe penalty against Poland. That concerning trend continued against Belgium; France was held scoreless for 85 minutes and only an unfortunate own-goal from Jan Vertonghen broke the nil-nil tie.

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Adding in a 0-0 home draw with Canada in the final pre-tournament friendly, it has now been over 450 minutes since a French player has scored aside from Mbappe’s penalty.

France has still looked the better side in all four of its tournament games to date, though. They have generated 7.19 xGF over their four matches and surrendered just 2.40 xGA, per Flashscore. They held Belgium to 0.22 xGA on five attempts (two on target).

Portugal Survive Stout Slovenia

The Portuguese side that tallied five goals (plus another ruled out by VAR) in its first two matches went ice-cold in its final group-stage game against Georgia (2-0 loss) and then failed to solve Jan Oblak and Slovenia over 120 minutes of regular time and stoppage time in the round of 16. Despite controlling the vast majority of possession, Portugal’s attack lacked both quality and imagination against the smallest nation in Euro 2024, generating just three shots on target in the first 90 minutes.

Cristiano Ronaldo had multiple free kicks from within 25 yards but couldn’t find the target, and then spurned a penalty in extra time, thanks to a world-class save from Jan Oblak.

https://twitter.com/Euro24Hub/status/1807885970102182100

Portugal would eventually claim victory in a shootout, winning 3-0 on penalties as keeper Diogo Costa starred, but it was an altogether disappointing performance from a team that started this tournament so brightly.

Making matters worse, Portugal has an ugly 6-3-19 record against France all-time, according to 11v11.com. But they are 1-2-1 against the French in four matches since 2016. The most-recent – during the group stage at the last Euro – ended in a 2-2 draw in June 2021. Karim Benzema, who has since retired from the national team, had both goals for the French, while Ronaldo scored a pair of penalties for Portugal.

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In a highly anticipated matchup in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals, France will face off against Portugal in what is sure to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams have shown their quality throughout the tournament, but it is Les Bleus who are currently favored in the betting odds.

France, the reigning World Cup champions, have been in scintillating form so far in the tournament. Led by their talismanic forward Kylian Mbappe, they have breezed through the group stages and looked dominant in their Round of 16 match against Belgium. With a squad full of world-class talent such as Antoine Griezmann, N’Golo Kante, and Paul Pogba, France are rightly seen as one of the favorites to win the tournament.

On the other hand, Portugal have also been impressive in Euro 2024. Led by their captain Cristiano Ronaldo, they topped their group and secured a hard-fought victory against Italy in the Round of 16. With a mix of experienced veterans like Pepe and young talents like Joao Felix, Portugal have shown that they have what it takes to compete with the best teams in Europe.

Despite Portugal’s strong showing, it is France who are favored in the betting odds for this quarterfinal matchup. The French team’s attacking prowess and solid defense make them a formidable opponent for any team, and many believe that they have what it takes to overcome Portugal and advance to the semifinals.

However, football is a game of surprises, and anything can happen on the day. Portugal will be looking to prove the doubters wrong and cause an upset against the favored French team. With two of the best players in the world in Mbappe and Ronaldo on display, this promises to be a match full of excitement and drama.

As fans eagerly await this clash of titans, one thing is for certain – both teams will leave everything on the field in their quest for a spot in the Euro 2024 semifinals. Whether France’s favoritism in the betting odds will translate into victory remains to be seen, but one thing is certain – this quarterfinal matchup is not to be missed.