Jul 9, 2024; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Atlanta Braves designated hitter Marcell Ozuna against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
- The Atlanta Braves (51-40) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) on Thursday night in Phoenix looking to win 3 of 4 against their NL West opponent.
- Max Fried (7-4, 3.18 ERA) gets the start for Atlanta, while Arizona will counter with Brandon Pfaadt (3-6, 4.19 ERA).
- Keep reading to get our top picks for Thursday night’s National League action.
The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks finish off their 4-game series tonight at Chase Field. The Braves won the first 2 games of the series before the Diamondbacks fought back for a 7-5 win on Wednesday night. Thursday’s series finale is scheduled to start at 9:40 p.m. ET and can be seen on MLB.tv and regional broadcast networks.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Picks
- Over 8.0 runs (-105)
- Marcell Ozuna 2+ total bases (+100)
These 2 teams have provided plenty of offense this week, combining for 9, 8 and 12 total runs in the first 3 games, respectively. The 8-run game, which was the lowest of the series, featured All-Star Chris Sale on the mound for the Braves and ace Zac Gallen on the hill for the DBacks. Even with those 2 elite pitchers throwing their best stuff, the offenses combined for 8 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt and Max Fried might be solid hurlers in their own right, but they’re not Sale and Gallen. The ball is flying at Chase Field this summer, and I expect that to continue tonight. I like these teams to combine for 9+ runs once again. I’ll be taking over 8.0 runs for -105 odds at bet365.
Current Braves hitters don’t have a ton of experience against Pfaadt, but there is one player who stands out — All-Star slugger and Home Run Derby participant Marcell Ozuna. It’s a small sample size, yes, but the Big Bear is 2-for-3 against Pfaadt with a double, a home run and 4 RBI. That’s about as good as it gets.
I’ll take Ozuna to have another big night against Pfaadt on Thursday. His odds to post 2+ total bases are +100 on bet365. That’s pretty good value.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+135) | -120 | O 8.0 (-105) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +1.5 (-160) | +100 | U 8.0 (-115) |
Odds via bet365 as of Thursday, July 11. Use bet365 promo code SBDXLM when you sign up now to receive a choice of welcome bonuses — a first-bet safety net of up to $1,000 or $150 in bonus bets when you place an initial $5+ wager.
The Braves are slight favorites in this matchup, sporting -120 moneyline odds. If you think Atlanta can score a convincing win by 2 or more runs, you’ll find +135 odds on bet365. The Diamondbacks are +100 on the moneyline and -160 to keep the score within a run. The run total is set at over/under 8.0 runs. As discussed earlier, I’m going with the over at -105 odds. If you want to fade me, the under currently sports -115 odds.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers
| Max Fried | VS | Brandon Pfaadt |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 3-6 |
| 3.18 | ERA | 4.19 |
| 21.2% | SO% | 22.4% |
Fried has been the better pitcher so far this year, with an ERA just over a run better than Pfaadt’s. The difference has been primarily in the number of home runs they’ve allowed. Fried has limited opponents to just 8 homers in 102 innings of work, while Pfaadt has allowed 14 dingers in 107.1 innings of work.
Fried had a rough outing his last time out on July 5, giving up 2 home runs and allowing 5 runs against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are the best team in baseball as things stand on July 11, though. The Diamondbacks are a game under .500.
Pfaadt was sharp his last time out, striking out 6 and allowing only 1 run against the San Diego Padres in a game the Diamondbacks won 7-5 in extra innings. However, Pfaadt only lasted 4.1 innings in that outing. He’ll need to be better on Thursday night if he wants to factor into the decision.
These guys have similar strikeout rates — good, but not elite. Look for plenty of balls to be put into play tonight. And with the way the ball has been traveling in Phoenix, that could lead to plenty of runs being scored.
Adam is an avid college sports fan, covering both football and basketball. During the summer months, he’s all-in on MLB action, favoring pitcher strikeout parlays.
The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 11 in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. As fans gear up for the game, many are turning to expert picks, odds, and probable pitchers to help them make informed decisions on how to bet on the game.
Expert Picks:
When it comes to expert picks for the Braves vs Diamondbacks game on July 11, many analysts are leaning towards the Braves as the favorites to win. The Braves have been playing solid baseball recently and have a strong lineup that is capable of putting up runs against any pitching staff. However, the Diamondbacks should not be counted out, as they have shown flashes of brilliance this season and have the potential to pull off an upset.
Odds:
As of now, the odds for the Braves vs Diamondbacks game on July 11 are favoring the Braves to win. The odds may change as game day approaches, so it’s important to keep an eye on them if you’re planning on placing a bet. Bettors should also consider factors such as injuries, recent performance, and head-to-head matchups when making their decision.
Probable Pitchers:
The probable pitchers for the Braves vs Diamondbacks game on July 11 are expected to be Max Fried for the Braves and Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Fried has been a reliable starter for the Braves this season, posting a 2.74 ERA and a 6-5 record. Gallen, on the other hand, has struggled at times but has shown flashes of potential with a 4.17 ERA and a 1-4 record.
Overall, the Braves vs Diamondbacks game on July 11 is shaping up to be a competitive matchup between two talented teams. Fans and bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see how the game unfolds and which team comes out on top. As always, it’s important to do your research and consider all factors before placing a bet on the game.
