Euro 2024 Match Preview: Netherlands vs France – Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups for June 21

Euro 2024 Match Preview: Netherlands vs France - Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups for June 21
France forward Kylian Mbappe celebrating a goal against Argentina at the 2022 World Cup

Dec 18, 2022; Lusail, Qatar; France forward Kylian Mbappe (10) celebrates after scoring a goal against Argentina on a penalty kick for his third goal of the match during extra time of the 2022 World Cup final at Lusail Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Yukihito Taguchi-USA TODAY Sports

  • Netherlands and France battle for first place in Group D on Friday at Euro 2024
  • France won two meetings against the Netherlands in 2023
  • See the Netherlands vs France odds, predictions, betting trends, and starting lineups on June 21

First place in Group D is on the line when the Netherlands (1-0-0) meet France (1-0-0) at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig at 3:00 pm ET on Friday, June 22. A win for either side would guarantee them top spot in the quartet and a berth in the round of 16.

French striker Kylian Mbappe is expected to be in the starting lineup – avec face protection – after suffering a broken nose in France’s 1-0 win over Austria on Monday. The Netherlands, who came back from a 1-0 deficit to beat Poland 2-1 on Sunday, have an extra day of rest in their legs, but oddsmakers still give world #2 France the edge in Thursday’s Euro 2024 odds.

Netherlands vs France Odds

Team Moneyline Total
Netherlands +260 Over 2.5 (+100)
France +115 Under 2.5 (-125)
Draw +225 N/A

Les Bleus are +115 favorites to pick up the full three points with the Netherlands at +260 and the draw at +225. The over/under is set at 2.5 goals with the under slightly favored at -125.

Odds as of June 21 at bet365. See how to land bet365 free bets for Euro 2024. 

France is also the outright favorite in the Euro 2024 odds at +370. The Netherlands are the sixth-favorite at a considerably longer +1475.

While France won their opener, they didn’t actually get a goal off of their own boots. The lone tally in their 1-0 over Austria was an own goal from defender Maximilian Wober. France produced four shots on target and did have a significant edge in Expected Goals For (1.77 to 0.89), according to xgscore.io.

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Netherland vs France Projected Lineups

Netherlands France
Bart Verbruggen (GK) Mike Maignan (GK)
Nathan Ake (LB) Theo Hernandez (LB)
Virgil van Dijk (CB) Dayot Upamecano (CB)
Stefan de Vrij (CB) William Saliba (CB)
Denzel Dumfries (RB) Jules Kounde (RB)
Joey Veerman (LMF) Adrien Rabiot (LMF)
Tijjani Reijnders(CMF) N’Golo Kante(CMF)
Jerdy Schouten (RMF) Antoine Griezmann (RMF)
Cody Gakpo (LW) Marcus Thuram (LW)
Xavi Simons (RW) Ousmane Dembele (RW)
Memphis Depay (STR) Kylian Mbappe (STR)

The Netherlands were involved in a considerably more open game with Poland. Their elite backline conceded in the 16th minute but Cody Gakpo answered back in the 29th before substitute Wout Weghorst potted the winner in the 83rd. The Dutch had 65% of possession and fired 20 shot attempts but only four were on target.

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Netherlands Last 10 Matches

Opponent Opp. FIFA Rank Date Location Result
Poland 26 Jun 16, 2024 Neutral W 2-1
Iceland 70 Jun 10, 2024 Home W 4-0
Canada 48 Jun 6, 2024 Home W 4-0
Germany 16 Mar 26, 2024 Away L 2-1
Scotland 39 Mar 22, 2024 Home W 4-0
Gibraltar 198 Nov 21, 2023 Away W 6-0
Ireland 60 Nov 18, 2023 Home W 1-0
Greece 51 Oct 16, 2023 Away W 1-0
France 2 Oct 13, 2023 Home L 2-1
Ireland 60 Sep 10, 2023 Away W 2-1

With the win over Poland, Netherlands improved its record to 8-0-2 in its last ten matches, including friendlies. Their last setback was a highly respectable 2-1 loss away at Germany on March 26. However, they also lost their last meeting with France 2-1 at home last October.

France Last 10 Matches

Opponent Opp. FIFA Rank Date Location Result
Austria 33 June 16, 2024 Neutral W 1-0
Canada 72 Jun 7, 2024 Home D 0-0
Luxembourg 74 Jun 5, 2024 Home W 3-0
Chile 3 Mar 26, 2024 Home W 3-2
Germany 5 Mar 23, 2024 Home L 2-0
Greece 69 Nov 21, 2023 Away D 2-2
Gibraltar 171 Nov 18, 2023 Home W 14-0
Scotland 9 Oct 17, 2023 Home W 4-1
Netherlands 24 Oct 13, 2023 Away W 2-1
Germany 39 Sep 12, 2023 Away L 2-1

France is only 6-2-2 over its last ten matches with a pair of losses to Germany (home and away), plus draws with Greece (2-2 away) and Canada (0-0 home).

Netherlands vs France Prediction

France got the better of the Netherlands both times they met in qualifying (2-1 away, 4-0 home) but I expect a different outcome on Thursday. The Netherlands have been on an absolute tear over the past few months, the setback to Germany notwithstanding. They boast arguably the best backline in the tournament (Nathan Ake, Virgil van Dijk, Stefan de Vrij, and Denzel Dumfries) and the French attack has looked a little out of sorts in its last few matches.

With Mbappe less than 100%, look for the Netherlands to pull at least a point out of Thursday’s match and keep their hopes of topping the group alive.

Netherlands vs France picks:

  • Netherlands moneyline or draw (-165)
  • Under 2.5 goals (-125)
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The highly anticipated Euro 2024 match between the Netherlands and France is set to take place on June 21st, and fans are buzzing with excitement. Both teams have a rich history in international football and are known for their talented players and competitive spirit. In this article, we will provide a match preview, predictions, picks, odds, and potential lineups for this thrilling encounter.

The Netherlands, also known as the Oranje, have a strong squad led by their captain and star player, Virgil van Dijk. The team has a mix of experienced veterans and young talents such as Frenkie de Jong and Matthijs de Ligt. Under the guidance of their coach, Frank de Boer, the Netherlands will be looking to make a statement in this match against their fierce rivals.

On the other hand, France, the reigning World Cup champions, are a formidable force in international football. Led by their captain, Hugo Lloris, and star players like Kylian Mbappe and N’Golo Kante, Les Bleus have a well-balanced team with strength in every department. Coached by Didier Deschamps, France will be aiming to continue their winning streak and secure a victory against the Netherlands.

In terms of predictions, this match is expected to be a close and intense battle between two top European teams. Both sides have the quality to score goals and create chances, so we can expect an entertaining and high-scoring game. However, France may have a slight edge due to their recent success and strong squad depth.

As for picks, betting on France to win or both teams to score could be good options for this match. The odds are likely to be in favor of France, but the Netherlands are always capable of causing an upset. It could also be worth considering betting on over 2.5 goals being scored in this match given the attacking prowess of both teams.

In terms of potential lineups, the Netherlands could field a starting XI consisting of players like van Dijk, de Jong, de Ligt, Memphis Depay, and Georginio Wijnaldum. Meanwhile, France could line up with players such as Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, Paul Pogba, Raphael Varane, and Benjamin Pavard.

Overall, the Netherlands vs France match at Euro 2024 promises to be an exciting clash between two top European teams. Fans can expect a thrilling encounter with plenty of goals and drama. Whether you are supporting the Oranje or Les Bleus, this match is not to be missed.