- The Los Angeles Chargers travel to battle the New England Patriots in Week 17
- The New England Patriots are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. top 10 scoring defenses
- Explore all the Chargers vs Patriots odds, player props, predictions, and picks for Dec. 28
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6, 10-4-1 ATS) look to secure a playoff spot against the New England Patriots (3-12, 6-8-1 ATS) in Week 17 NFL action. This AFC matchup kicks off the NFL’s Saturday triple-header on December 28 at 1pm ET, with the game broadcast on NFL Network.
The Chargers are riding high after a crucial 34-27 win over the Denver Broncos last week. Meanwhile, the Patriots fell on the road by a score of 24-21 to the Buffalo Bills.
Look for all our Chargers vs Patriots predictions, player props and the odds below.
Chargers vs Patriots Prediction
- Pick: Chargers -4.5 (-110)
These teams are heading in drastically different directions. Jerod Mayo’s Patriots are simply looking to build momentum for a brighter future, while Jim Harbaugh’s Los Angeles Chargers aim to make some noise in the NFL playoffs. The gap between the coaching of Mayo and Harbaugh is reason enough to back the Chargers. However, Justin Herbert and company will be a motivated bunch as they look to clinch a playoff spot.
The Chargers have gone a spectacular 6-1 SU against teams with losing records this season. On top of that, Los Angeles are a fantastic 9-2 ATS as favorites. Harbaugh’s squad is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against AFC opponents.
Chargers HC Jim Harbaugh on playing in cold Foxborough weather: “These guys are young, they’re healthy, and their heart pumps warm blood. It pumps it from the arteries to the veins to the tributaries to the capillaries. Throughout their whole body. You just play ball.”
“Now I… pic.twitter.com/kY2ZWirwhe
— Alex Insdorf (@alexinsdorf99) December 26, 2024
Herbert has averaged 30.8 passing attempts this season, while tossing for 242.3 yards on 7.9 yards per attempt. The former Oregon star has thrown 18 touchdowns and just interceptions on the year.
Additionally, the Chargers defense has been sublime. Jesse Minter’s unit ranks seventh in EPA per play and second in points (18.3) allowed per game. Outside of a few sensational plays from rookie quarterback Drake Maye, there’s little reason to believe the Patriots can keep up with the Chargers offense. Bet on Los Angeles to cover the spread.
Chargers vs Patriots Player-Prop Picks
| Player | Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Johnson | Under 36.5 Receiving Yards | -113 |
| Justin Herbert | Under 14.5 Rushing Yards | -113 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | Over 42.5 Rushing Yards | -113 |
Don’t expect to see Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston have many targets in this Chargers vs Patriots contest. Johnston will likely be shadowed by Patriots corner Christian Gonzalez who is quickly earning a reputation as a top man-cover corner. The former TCU star has covered this number in only two of his last five games. Fade Johnston’s 36.5 receiving yardage prop against the Patriots.
Justin Herbert has failed to surpass 14.5 rushing yards in three of his past four games. In a game that the Chargers project to win, with a banged-up ankle, don’t expect to see number 10 on the move too much. Los Angeles has far bigger games coming up, and they’ll want Herbert as healthy as possible heading into the playoffs.
We are so blessed to get to root for Justin Herbert the next decade+ pic.twitter.com/H9j7qXSvgi
— ♠️ (@FeelLikeSpade) December 24, 2024
Rhamondre Stevenson has surpassed this line in five of his last six games. He should find plenty of room to roam against a Chargers defense surrendering over 125 yards to opposing running backs over the last five weeks. While they’ve been fantastic against the pass, Los Angeles defense surrenders 4.7 yards per carry. Back Stevenson to rumble to over 42.5 rushing yards.
Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | -4.5 (-110) | -225 | Over 43.5 (-102) |
| New England Patriots | +4.5 (-110) | +188 | Under 43.5 (-120) |
Odds as of December 27 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Discover the best NFL betting apps for Chargers vs Patriots.
The latest NFL point spreads have the Chargers as 4.5-point favorites and -225 on the moneyline, with the Patriots as +134 moneyline underdogs. The Chargers vs Patriots total is sitting at 42.5.
According to our NFL public betting splits, 77% of the spread wagers are on the Chargers to cover, while 26% of the money is on the Patriots.
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As the NFL regular season winds down, one of the most anticipated matchups on December 28th is the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the New England Patriots. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning and a win in this game could be crucial for their postseason hopes. Let’s take a closer look at the odds, predictions, and player props to consider for this exciting matchup.
The odds for this game currently favor the New England Patriots, who are listed as 3.5-point favorites. The Patriots have been playing well in recent weeks and their defense has been one of the best in the league. However, the Chargers are no slouches either, with a high-powered offense led by quarterback Justin Herbert. This game could easily go either way, making it a tough one to predict.
In terms of predictions, many experts believe that this game will be a close one, with both teams having the potential to come out on top. The Patriots’ defense will likely be key in slowing down Herbert and the Chargers’ offense, while the Chargers will need to find a way to contain Patriots quarterback Cam Newton and their rushing attack. Ultimately, it could come down to which team makes fewer mistakes and executes their game plan more effectively.
When it comes to player props to consider, there are a few key players to keep an eye on in this matchup. For the Chargers, Justin Herbert will be the focal point of their offense and will likely have a big game throwing the ball. Look for him to target wide receiver Keenan Allen and tight end Hunter Henry frequently in the passing game. On the defensive side of the ball, Joey Bosa will be a player to watch as he looks to disrupt Cam Newton and the Patriots’ offense.
For the Patriots, Cam Newton will need to have a strong game both passing and running the ball in order for them to come out on top. Running back Damien Harris could also have a big game against a Chargers defense that has struggled against the run at times this season. On defense, cornerback Stephon Gilmore will be tasked with slowing down Keenan Allen and limiting big plays in the passing game.
Overall, this matchup between the Chargers and Patriots has all the makings of a competitive and exciting game. With playoff implications on the line for both teams, expect a hard-fought battle that could come down to the wire. Keep an eye on key players like Justin Herbert, Cam Newton, and Joey Bosa as they look to make an impact and lead their teams to victory.
