- The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles meet in the AFC title game on Jan. 26
- The public likes the Commanders to cover as heavy road underdogs
- See the Commanders vs Eagles public-betting splits and final injury reports, below
For the third straight week, the Washington Commanders (14-5, 7-3 away, 12-6-1 ATS) are heavy road underdogs in the NFL playoffs. This Sunday, rookie QB Jayden Daniels and company travel to Lincoln Financial Field to face the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3, 10-1 home, 12-7 ATS) as 6.5-point ‘dogs. With two impressive road wins already under their belt, the Commanders are getting a considerable amount of love from the betting public.
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Public Betting Splits
Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Commanders | +6.5 | 62% | 68% | 47.5 | 73% | 86% | +250 | 49% | 31% |
Philadelphia Eagles | -6.5 | 38% | 32% | 47.5 | 27% | 14% | -300 | 51% | 69% |
The current Commanders vs Eagles betting splits show 62% of ATS handle on Washington to cover the spread as 6.5-point road underdogs.
NFL public betting percentages as of 10:13 pm ET, January 25.
This spread opened Philadelphia -4.5 last Sunday before being bet up two full points over the course of the week.
The Eagles are getting the vast majority of moneyline tickets (69%) but the larger average bets are on Washington to win straight-up, as the moneyline handle is almost evenly split at 51/49% in favor of the hometown Eagles.
The latest NFL odds list the Eagles as -300 home chalk on the moneyline with the Commanders at +250 to pull off the upset.
The game total has also moved significantly. The over/under opened at 48.5 and has come down a full point to 47.5 as of late Saturday night. The public is now betting heavily on the over, though, with 73% of O/U handle and 86% of O/U tickets on the over at this point. So don’t be surprised if it moves back up half a point before kickoff.
Commanders vs Eagles Injury Reports
WAS Commanders | Injury | Game Status |
---|---|---|
Sam Cosmi (G) | Knee | Out |
Daron Payne (DT) | Finger/Knee | Out |
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (DE) | Shoulder | Questionable |
Jeff Driskel (QB) | Illness | Questionable |
PHI Eagles | Injury | Game Status |
Britain Covey (WR) | Neck | Out |
Byron Young (DT) | Hamstring | Out |
Cam Jurgens (C) | Back | Questionable |
Both teams are in relatively good shape, injury-wise. Washington is slightly worse off with both starting guard Sam Cosmi and starting defensive tackle Daron Payne listed as out.
Cosmi played over 99% of snaps for the Commanders in the regular season and 100% in the Divisional Round victory over Tampa Bay before getting injured in Washington’s thrilling 45-31 upset over the Lions in Detroit. Cosmi helped Washington grade out at sixth overall in rushing offense per PFF.
Payne played 69% of snaps for the Washington defense in the regular season, registering four sacks from the interior of the line along with five tackles-for-loss. The Washington defense isn’t great against the run at the best of times. The team was shredded by Saquon Barkley and the Eagles ground game in both regular-season meetings (439 total rushing yards in two games). The downgrade from Payne, the #13 overall pick in 2018, to backup Sheldon Day, a fourth-rounder in 2016, could be considerable.
On the Philadelphia side, the biggest injury concern is starting center Cam Jurgens, who is listed as questionable with a back injury. Jurgens has taken over 90% of snaps for the Eagles offense over the last two seasons. He missed the first two practices this week before being a limited participant on Friday.
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When it comes to making informed decisions on sports betting, two key factors that bettors often consider are public-betting splits and injury reports. In this article, we will compare the public-betting splits and injury reports for the upcoming matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles.
Public-betting splits refer to the percentage of bets placed on each team by the general public. This information can give bettors insight into where the public’s money is going and potentially help them make more informed decisions. In the case of the Commanders vs. Eagles matchup, the public-betting splits currently show that a majority of bets are being placed on the Eagles. This could indicate that the public believes the Eagles have a better chance of winning the game.
On the other hand, injury reports provide valuable information on which players may be sidelined or playing through injuries. For the Commanders, key players like quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and wide receiver Curtis Samuel are currently listed as questionable for the game. On the Eagles side, wide receiver DeVonta Smith and defensive end Derek Barnett are also listed as questionable. These injury reports could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game and should be taken into consideration when placing bets.
When comparing the public-betting splits and injury reports for the Commanders and Eagles, bettors should weigh both factors carefully before making their final decision. While public sentiment may favor the Eagles, injuries to key players on both teams could level the playing field. Ultimately, bettors should conduct thorough research and analysis to make the most informed bets possible.