- The final Ole Miss vs Michigan State odds have moved in favor of the Spartans in the Sweet 16 on Friday
- Ole Miss has already won two straight games as a plus-money underdog
- See the closing Ole Miss vs Michigan State odds (spread, total, and moneyline) plus public-betting splits and score projections
The #6 Ole Miss Rebels (24-11, 18-16-1 ATS) look to win a third straight March Madness game as underdogs when they square off with the #2 Michigan State Spartans (29-6, 24-10-1 ATS) at State Farm Arena in Atlanta on Friday night at 7:09 pm ET on CBS. The Spartans opened as slight favorites last Sunday and, just hours from tip-off, the Ole Miss vs Michigan State odds have moved in MSU’s favor.
Final Ole Miss vs Michigan State Odds
Michigan State is now a 3.5-point favorite against the spread and -175 on the moneyline (compared to -162 in the opening line), giving the Spartans a 63.64% implied win probability. The Rebels’ odds to advance have grown from +136 to +145, which carries a 40.82% implied win probability.
Odds as of March 28 at BetMGM. Get the best March Madness betting promos for the Sweet 16 today.
As was the case with the vast majority of Sweet 16 games, the over/under in Ole Miss/Michigan State has grown significantly over the few days. After opening at 142.5, the game total is now sitting a full two points higher at 144.5.
Ole Miss will be the first SEC team that Michigan State has faced this season. The Rebels played one Big Ten team in the regular season, falling 80-78 to Purdue on a neutral court in San Diego in late November. MSU beat Purdue by nine (75-66) but had the luxury of home-court advantage.
The line movement towards the Spartans is somewhat supported by the score projections at the three main college basketball analytics sites: KenPom, Haslam, and Torvik. All three project an MSU win by at least three points, but only one has the Spartans covering +3.5.
Ole Miss vs Michigan State Score Projection
While KenPom, Haslam, and Torvik often spit out similar score projections for March Madness games, the Ole Miss vs Michigan State predictions are more uniform than most. All three have the total and margin of victory within a single point of each other.
The Rebels were 1.5-point underdogs to the #11 UNC in the first round even though they rated better than the Tar Heels at KenPom and were projected to win by a point (78-77). Chris Beard’s team jumped out to an insurmountable 44-26 halftime lead and cruised to a 71-64 win, getting a game-high 20 points from leading scorer Sean Pedulla (15.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.9 SPG).
Ole Miss was projected to lose 75-71 to #3 Iowa State in the second round, but wound up thumping the Cyclones 91-78. Pedulla once again led the way with 20 points and eight dimes.
Michigan State routed #15 Bryant 87-62 in round one, exceeding the 19-point projected margin of victory (85-65). Their matchup with #10 New Mexico played out almost exactly as predicted, just a little lower scoring; MSU took an eight-point win (71-63) against a projected score of 77-69. Coen Carr (8.0 PPG, 3.7 RPG) had a team-high 18 points against Bryant, while leading scorer Jaden Akins (12.7 PPG, 3.5 RPG) led the way with 16 against New Mexico.
Standout freshman Jase Richardson, a projected top-ten pick in the upcoming NBA draft odds, is looking to recover from an ugly six-point performance on 1-of-10 shooting from the field against the Lobos.
MSU vs Ole Miss Public Betting Splits
Friday’s March Madness public betting splits are in line with the odds movement for the game as a whole. Michigan State is getting 62% of ATS handle and 63% of moneyline handle (along with well-over 50% of ATS and moneyline wagers).
The public’s strongest take on Ole Miss vs MSU, though, is reserved for the game total. The public has currently placed 91% of O/U tickets and 86% of O/U handle on the over which, as mentioned, has already grown two points from the opening line.
The Spartans head into Friday’s game as a +2800 bet in the odds to win March Madness. Ole Miss has the longest odds of the 12 remaining teams at +10000.
-
BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
-
CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
-
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
-
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IF YOUR BET WINS
-
FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
-
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
The upcoming matchup between Ole Miss and Michigan State is shaping up to be an exciting one, with both teams looking to secure a win and improve their standing in the college football rankings. As fans gear up for the game, many are turning to odds, public betting trends, and score predictions to get a better sense of how the game may play out.
When it comes to the odds for the Ole Miss vs Michigan State game, sportsbooks are currently favoring Michigan State as the slight favorite. The Spartans are coming off a strong season and have shown themselves to be a formidable opponent on both offense and defense. However, Ole Miss is not to be underestimated, as they have also had a solid season and have proven themselves to be a tough team to beat.
In terms of public betting trends, it appears that the majority of bettors are leaning towards Michigan State to come out on top in this matchup. This could be due to their higher ranking and overall strong performance throughout the season. However, it’s important to keep in mind that public betting trends are not always indicative of the actual outcome of the game, as upsets can and do happen in college football.
As for score predictions, it’s always a bit tricky to predict the exact outcome of a game, especially when two evenly matched teams are facing off. That being said, many experts are predicting a close game with a final score that could go either way. Both teams have the potential to put up points on the board, so fans can expect an exciting and high-scoring matchup between Ole Miss and Michigan State.
Overall, the Ole Miss vs Michigan State game is shaping up to be a must-watch for college football fans. With odds favoring Michigan State, public betting trends leaning towards the Spartans, and score predictions pointing to a close game, it’s sure to be a thrilling showdown between two talented teams. Be sure to tune in and see how it all plays out on game day.