College Football Week 13: Analyzing the Odds, Prediction, and Pick for Alabama vs Oklahoma

  • Alabama continues its playoff quest against Oklahoma in SEC College Football in Week 13
  • The latest Alabama vs Oklahoma odds favor the Crimson Tide by 13.5 points
  • Read below for Alabama vs Oklahoma prediction, picks and odds

On Saturday, November 23, 2024, college football fans get an SEC game on primetime ABC. That is the good news. The not-so-good news is that Alabama-Oklahoma is not your father’s Alabama-Oklahoma.

This game comes as one team is battling for college football playoff seeding. Now, the other is battling for SEC relevance. Oklahoma is 1-5 in the SEC and 5-5 overall. This is a far cry from the Sooners teams of years past.

The Oklahoma Sooners play host to the Alabama Crimson Tide as 13.5-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 49 points, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The game will be on ABC and ESPN+, with kickoff scheduled promptly for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction

Both Alabama and Oklahoma have had their ups and downs in 2024. On the other hand, the Crimson Tide are still well-entrenched in the college football playoff race. The seventh-ranked Alabama team may have had their statement win two weeks ago at LSU. Yes, the Crimson Tide routed the Tigers 42-13. Alabama has won four of their past five contests, while Oklahoma has dropped four of their last five.

Oklahoma losing twice at home and getting blown out by Texas and South Carolina was a real eye-opener for Brent Venables and the Sooner faithful. The Sooners did lose narrowly to Missouri, but those Tigers are not the same as the LSU Tigers at this point. Oklahoma’s attack is nowhere near as explosive as it used to be, averaging 25.1 points per game while allowing 21.9.

Jackson Arnold has been okay for Oklahoma, but he is no Jalen Milroe. Arnold has nearly 1,000 fewer passing yards and three fewer passing touchdowns. Milroe is also a little more mobile, and Arnold is not facing the Alabama defense. Also, the Crimson Tide has yielded a mere 20 points in the last three games. Oklahoma is going to see a Front Seven that puts an offensive line under plenty of pressure for a full 60 minutes.

Alabama Wants To Keep Rolling

Okay, this game will illustrate what the Crimson Tide want to do. Now, the good news is the weather figures to not be too adverse. No one is seeing snow in Oklahoma, unlike Cleveland on Thursday night. Anyway, a playoff spot and better seeding is what Alabama truly is coveting.

The Alabama Crimson Tide statement game against LSU from a couple weeks ago is telling. Here is a look at what happened down in Baton Rouge.

YouTube video

The big worry for Oklahoma is Alabama’s ability to put pressure on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Jalen Milroe can break down a defense like the Sooners, as he did against LSU. Alabama’s defensive front can put pressure on Jackson Arnold to make mistakes.

I’m predicting an Alabama cover and win. Oklahoma may get overwhelmed by Alabama’s speed on both sides of the ball.

Alabama-Oklahoma Pick:

  • Alabama -13.5 (-110)

Alabama vs Oklahoma Spread

College football Week 13 spreads are out for Alabama vs Oklahoma and other games, as this SEC contest begins at 7:30 p.m. ET

Watch For More Alternate Spreads

Yes, that first-quarter spread is a mere 3.5. Do look at that for a little plus-money action on Saturday night (Alabama +105 via DraftKings).

Alabama vs Oklahoma Odds

Alabama is favored by 13.5 points with -520 moneyline odds, implying a 83.87% win probability for the Crimson Tide. Oklahoma is currently a +390 underdog, representing a 20.41% chance to win, per the oddsmakers.

The total is set at 47 points, with even give and take on both sides. This offers some hope as Alabama is upping their offensive output.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama -13.5 (-110) -520 Over 47 (-110)
Oklahoma +13.5 (-110) +390 Under 47 (-110)

Odds as of November 22, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Browse the best College Football betting app for Akron-Kent State.

Some notable line movement: This game spanned from the 12.5 to 14 point range. The spread money and betting money stands firm in the 75-80% range with Alabama Saturday night.

Alabama vs Oklahoma Head to Head

The programs have met six times in their history, with the last four results going as follows:

  • Dec 29, 2018: Alabama 45, Kent State 34
  • Jan 2, 2014: Oklahoma 45, Alabama 31
  • Sep 6, 2003: Oklahoma 20, Alabama 13
  • Sep 7, 2002: Oklahoma 37, Alabama 27

The last two meetings occurred in the Orange and Sugar Bowls, respectively. These games feel like a lifetime ago.

Simply, Oklahoma will try to turn back the clock. However, Alabama knows what is at stake on Saturday night. Expect the Crimson Tide to rise up again on the road.

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In what is sure to be one of the most highly anticipated matchups of College Football Week 13, the Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the Oklahoma Sooners in a clash of two powerhouse programs. Both teams have had successful seasons thus far, with Alabama boasting an impressive 10-1 record and Oklahoma sitting at 9-2.

When it comes to analyzing the odds for this game, it’s no surprise that Alabama is favored to come out on top. The Crimson Tide have been dominant all season, with their only loss coming at the hands of Texas A&M in a close game back in October. Led by Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Young at quarterback, Alabama’s offense has been explosive, averaging over 41 points per game. Their defense has also been solid, holding opponents to just 20.5 points per game.

On the other side, Oklahoma has had a strong season as well, but they have shown some vulnerabilities along the way. The Sooners have relied heavily on their offense, which is led by quarterback Caleb Williams and running back Kennedy Brooks. However, their defense has struggled at times, giving up an average of 28.5 points per game.

In terms of prediction, it’s hard to bet against Alabama in this matchup. They have the more complete team and have proven themselves against tough competition throughout the season. However, Oklahoma has the talent to make this game interesting, especially if their offense can get going early.

As for a pick, I would lean towards Alabama to come out on top in this game. Their offense is just too potent and their defense should be able to contain Oklahoma’s high-powered attack. Look for Bryce Young to have a big game and lead the Crimson Tide to a victory in what should be a thrilling contest between two of college football’s elite programs.