May 23, 2024; Washington, DC, USA; President Joe Biden shakes hands with Vice President Kamala Harris as he and First Lady Jill Biden host President William Ruto and First Lady Rachel Ruto of the Republic of Kenya for a State Visit to the United States on May 23, 2024 at the White House in Washington, D.C.. Mandatory Credit: Jasper Colt-USA TODAY
- Joe Biden has tested positive for COVID and his odds to win the Democratic nomination are plummeting
- Vice-President Kamala Harris has, as a result, improved dramatically in the Democratic nomination odds for 2024
- See the updated Democratic nomination odds as of July 18, along with the latest odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election on Nov. 5
Incumbent President Joe Biden, already a divisive choice to run for re-election in 2024 at 81 years of age and in declining mental acuity, has seen his odds to win the 2024 Democratic Nomination sink dramatically after a positive COVID test on Thursday.
Biden had become the odds-on favorite (again) in the last week as he insisted he was staying in the race barring health issues. But health issues arose on Thursday when he revealed he tested positive for COVID.
2024 Democratic Nomination Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | -200 |
| Joe Biden | +250 |
| Michelle Obama | +1100 |
| Gavin Newsom | +1400 |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +2500 |
| Hillary Clinton | +4000 |
| Robert Kennedy Jr | +8000 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +10000 |
Biden’s odds were close to -300 earlier in the week and now sit at +250. Harris, meanwhile, has shortened to -200 to lead the Democratic ticket on Nov. 5. Harris already made history as the first female and black Vice-President when she and Biden defeated incumbent Donald Trump and Mike Pence in 2020.
Odds as of July 18 at bet365.
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
In a surprising turn of events, former Vice President Joe Biden’s odds of securing the Democratic nomination for the 2020 presidential election have taken a hit following his positive COVID-19 test. The news comes as a blow to Biden’s campaign, which had been gaining momentum in recent weeks.
Biden’s diagnosis has raised concerns about his ability to continue campaigning effectively in the final stretch leading up to the election. With less than a month to go until Election Day, the timing of his positive test could not be worse for his chances of securing the nomination.
The impact of Biden’s diagnosis on his campaign remains to be seen, but early indicators suggest that his odds of winning the nomination have decreased significantly. This development has left many Democratic voters feeling uncertain about the future of the party’s candidacy and has opened the door for other candidates to potentially step in and fill the void left by Biden’s absence.
Despite this setback, Biden’s campaign team remains optimistic about his chances of recovering from the virus and continuing to push forward in the race for the Democratic nomination. They have assured supporters that Biden is in good spirits and is determined to overcome this obstacle in order to continue fighting for the presidency.
In the meantime, other Democratic candidates are ramping up their efforts to capitalize on Biden’s absence and gain ground in the race for the nomination. With the election rapidly approaching, every moment counts, and candidates are eager to make the most of this unexpected turn of events.
As the situation continues to unfold, it is clear that Biden’s positive COVID-19 test has had a significant impact on his chances of securing the Democratic nomination. The coming days will be crucial in determining how this development will shape the outcome of the election and whether Biden will be able to bounce back from this setback.
