New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers during the 2023 season opener.
- Week 1 is almost over but before we can close the book, the New York Jets will take on the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football
- My favorite way to get down on the NFL is by betting players props and there are a few worth considering Monday night
- See below to find two of my favorite Jets vs 49ers player props to bet for this MNF matchup
We’ve got one more game on the Week 1 slate and, honestly, we need to get down on it. After tonight, there will be two straight days of no NFL. The last thing we want to do is look back at tonight as a wasted opportunity. I’ve done that before and the second I woke up that Tuesday, I instantly regretted my decision to not bet Monday Night Football. It was a nightmare.
The only real issue I see is the fact that the matchup between the New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers feels like a boring one. If you like offense that is. It’s not that either team lacks playmakers on the offensive side of the ball though. The problem is that both defenses are about as good as it gets. Still, there are ways to bet this thing if we’re just able to hold our noses and bet some unders. Feels wrong, but also right.
Jets vs 49ers Player Prop Picks
| Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (Jets) | 22.5 (Ov -106 / Un -122) | 235.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) | Under 235.5 Passing Yards (-113) |
| Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
| Brock Purdy (49ers) | 21.5 (Ov +102 / Un -132) | 240.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) | Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-113) |
Both of tonight’s NFL player-prop picks are on the quarterbacks to stay under their passing-yardage totals. For the Jets’ Aaron Rodgers, that’s 235.5 yards. For the Niners’ Brock Purdy, it’s 240.5 yards.
Odds as of September 9 at Fanduel Sportsbook. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering.
Please Forgive Us, Aaron Rodgers
I’ve been an over guy since I can remember. We’re talking back to second grade here. Maybe even further back than that. But here’s the thing. We all have to grow up as gamblers and realize when an over just can’t win. It’s the Circle of Life. Our hands are tied.
I just hope Aaron Rodgers doesn’t see this and, if he does, I hope he forgives us for what we’re about to do.
It has been 543 days since Aaron Rodgers said “I’ve made it clear that my intention was to play and my intention was to play for the New York Jets,”
Now we are 1 day away from getting to really see it 🔥 pic.twitter.com/inFlerqJ0T
— NYJ MIKE (@NyjMike) September 8, 2024
Here’s the thing about tonight’s game; it should be played slow. Like real slow. Like both teams trying to keep the ball on the ground for the entire first half as to not make a mistake that has them playing from behind. Now throw in the fact that we’re dealing with two top-ten defenses and we have a recipe for an under. There’s nothing us over guys can do about it.
As for Rodgers, he hasn’t played an NFL game in forever. The man legit only played four plays last season before rupturing his Achilles. We have to give him some time before we can expect him to be chucking it all around in San Francisco. My guess is he’ll be a game manager tonight with running back Breece Hall being “the guy”.
Rodgers will barely crack 200 yards. Feels right.
- The Pick: Aaron Rodgers Under 235.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Brock Purdy Suffers Too
As much as I hate taking one under, I hate taking two unders in the same game twice as much. It just feels weird. Like why even watch this thing if we’re just going to hope nothing happens? What are we a bunch of defense heads?
Still, when we see the books mess up, we have to take it to them, even when it is an actual good player that we’re betting against.
“I don’t think he gets the recognition he deserves”
– Quincy Williams on Brock Purdy pic.twitter.com/S98Hsx2DIH
— Jets Videos (@snyjets) September 3, 2024
The thing about Brock Purdy is he’s actually good. Go back and watch his film if you don’t believe me. He can make every throw and, on top of that, he has some of the best weapons in the league to work with. We’re talking Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle. Their roster looks like a Pro Bowl roster.
But even a Pro Bowl roster is going to have trouble putting up passing yards in a ball-control game, especially against an elite defense like the Jets’. They only gave up 241+ passing yards four times last season. So no matter how much I want to take an over in this thing, the under on Brock Purdy’s passing yards is the move. Feels right.
- The Pick: Brock Purdy Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-113)
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.
As the New York Jets prepare to take on the San Francisco 49ers in their season opener on September 9th, fans and bettors alike are looking for the best player prop bets to make for the game. Player prop bets are a popular type of wager that allows bettors to place bets on specific player performances rather than just the outcome of the game.
One player prop bet that stands out for this matchup is the over/under on total passing yards for Jets quarterback Sam Darnold. Darnold is entering his third season in the NFL and has shown flashes of potential, but consistency has been an issue for him. The over/under for Darnold’s passing yards in this game is set at 250 yards. Considering the 49ers’ strong defense led by players like Nick Bosa and Richard Sherman, betting the under on this prop bet could be a smart move.
Another player prop bet to consider is the over/under on total rushing yards for 49ers running back Raheem Mostert. Mostert emerged as the lead back for the 49ers last season and had a breakout performance in the playoffs. The over/under for Mostert’s rushing yards in this game is set at 75 yards. Given the Jets’ struggles against the run last season, betting the over on this prop bet could be a profitable choice.
For those looking for a more risky prop bet, consider betting on the first touchdown scorer of the game. Both teams have talented offensive weapons, so there are several players who could potentially score the first touchdown. Wide receivers like Jamison Crowder for the Jets and Deebo Samuel for the 49ers are solid options, as they are both big-play threats who can find the end zone early in the game.
Overall, when placing player prop bets for the New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers game on September 9th, it’s important to consider factors like each team’s strengths and weaknesses, individual player performances, and recent trends. By doing your research and making informed decisions, you can increase your chances of winning your prop bets and enjoying a successful betting experience.