- The Buccaneers and Falcons meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 5 on October 3
- Baker Mayfield should have all day in the pocket versus an Atlanta defense that can’t generate pressure
- Keep reading for the Buccaneers vs Falcons player prop odds, and best bets below
NFC South rivals clash on Thursday Night Football, as the Buccaneers visit the Falcons in Week 5. Both teams feature plenty of big name talent, and players like Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans are sure to be very popular targets in the NFL player props market.
Our Buccaneers vs Falcons player props card starts with Mayfield, but not in a category you might expect.
Buccaneers vs Falcons Player Props
Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Baker Mayfield (TB) | 21.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 239.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +110 | U -140) |
Kirk Cousins (ATL) | 20.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 226.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +115 | U -150) |
Rusher | Rush Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Rec Yds |
Bucky Irving (TB) | 9.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 42.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 54.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Rachaad White (TB) | 10.5 (O +110 | U -145) | 32.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 58.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Bijan Robinson (ATL) | OFF | 65.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 97.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) | OFF | 32.5 (O -125 | U -105) | OFF |
Baker Mayfield (TB) | 3.5 (O +125 | U -165) | 10.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Mike Evans (TB) | 4.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 58.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 23.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Chris Godwin (TB) | 6.5 (O +110 | U -140) | 66.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 21.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Cade Otton (TB) | 3.5 (O +115 | U -150) | 27.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 14.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Drake London (ATL) | 5.5 (O +120 | U -160) | 61.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 21.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | OFF | 30.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 15.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
Bijan Robinson (ATL) | OFF | 27.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 12.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
Mayfield’s completions prop sits at 21.5, which is one more than counterpart Kirk Cousins. His passing yardage prop is 13 yards higher than Cousins, but his rushing attempts is the prop that looks the most enticing.
Odds as of Oct. 1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code before making any bet on Thursday Night Football this week.
Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop #1: Baker Mayfield Rush Attempts
The Buccaneers are listed as 1.5-point underdogs in the Week 5 NFL odds, which suggests a neutral game script for the bulk of the night. Mayfield is extremely mobile and capable of big plays with his legs, but he wants to drop back and pass.
Baker Mayfield.
Sam Darnold.
Geno Smith.I’m not saying this is the case 100% of the time, but how much more evidence do we need that some QB busts were only busts because they went to bad organizations.
— Brett Kollmann (@BrettKollmann) September 29, 2024
With weapons like Evans and Godwin, who can blame him. Baker’s rushing production comes when he’s flushed from the pocket, but the Atlanta defense is immune to generating pressure.
The Falcons rank fourth worst in pass rush win rate per Pro Football Focus. They blitz at a bottom-10 clip, and have only produced a 4.3% QB hurry rate. Mayfield should have all day in the pocket, which will likely translate to plenty of passing success. Play the under on his rushing attempts, and give serious consideration to the over on his passing completions.
- Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Baker Mayfield Under 3.5 Rush Attempts (-165); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop #2: Chris Godwin Receptions
Speaking of Mayfield completions, we’re expecting him to target Godwin early and often in this matchup. Atlanta has been strong against boundary wide receivers, but has bled production to the slot.
Chris Godwin 2024 Receiving Stats
Opponent | Targets | Receptions | Yards |
---|---|---|---|
Eagles | 9 | 6 | 69 |
Broncos | 9 | 6 | 53 |
Lions | 8 | 7 | 117 |
Commanders | 8 | 8 | 83 |
Tampa’s number one priority on offense this season was getting Godwin lined up more in the slot, and the results have paid dividends. Godwin is averaging seven catches per game so far, drawing at least eight targets each week. He’s out snapped Evans in every outing this season, establishing himself as Mayfield’s number one option and helping the Bucs creep up the Super Bowl 59 odds board.
- Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Chris Godwin Over 6.5 Receptions (+110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Buccaneers vs Falcons Touchdown Scorer Props
Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
---|---|---|
Bijan Robinson (ATL) | +475 | -125 |
Mike Evans (TB) | +750 | +115 |
Drake London (TB) | +900 | +155 |
Chris Godwin (TB) | +900 | +155 |
Bucky Irving (TB) | +900 | +155 |
Rachaad White (TB) | +1000 | +175 |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | +1200 | +240 |
Darnell Mooney (ATL) | +1200 | +225 |
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) | +1300 | +275 |
Ray-Ray McCloud (ATL) | +1700 | +350 |
Shifting to the touchdown props, where we’re going to take a very chalky approach. The Bucs defense has allowed a league-low one passing touchdown this season, but has been gashed for 7 TD on the ground.
That’s music to Bijan Robinson’s ears, who boasts the shortest anytime TD odds at -125. Robinson has earned twice as many rush attempts as backfield mate Tyler Allgeier, and is the only Falcon to earn carries inside the 5-yard line. He’s also exceptional in the pass game giving him more outs for this prop, but when he does find the end zone it will likely be on the ground.
- Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
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As the Tampa Bay Buccaneers prepare to take on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 5 of Thursday Night Football, fans and bettors alike are looking for the best player prop bets to place their money on. With two high-powered offenses facing off, there are plenty of opportunities to cash in on some exciting player performances.
One player prop bet to consider is Tom Brady’s passing yards. The Buccaneers quarterback has been on fire this season, throwing for over 1,200 yards and 12 touchdowns in just four games. Against a Falcons defense that has struggled to stop the pass, Brady could have a big night through the air. Taking the over on his passing yards total could be a smart bet.
Another player prop bet to keep an eye on is Mike Evans’ receiving yards. The Buccaneers wide receiver has been a favorite target of Brady’s this season, racking up over 250 yards and four touchdowns in four games. With the Falcons likely focusing on stopping the run game, Evans could have a big game catching passes downfield. Betting on him to go over his receiving yards total could pay off.
On the Falcons’ side, Calvin Ridley is a player to watch when it comes to player prop bets. The wide receiver has been a standout performer for Atlanta this season, with over 400 receiving yards and four touchdowns in four games. Against a Buccaneers defense that has struggled against the pass, Ridley could have a big night. Taking the over on his receiving yards total could be a smart bet.
Overall, there are plenty of player prop bets to consider for the Buccaneers vs Falcons matchup in Week 5 of TNF. Whether you’re betting on Brady’s passing yards, Evans’ receiving yards, or Ridley’s performance, there are opportunities to cash in on some exciting player performances. As always, make sure to do your research and bet responsibly.